Who will run for U.S. Senate in 2028?

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Jul 1, 2028 · $18 today · $7.6K traded · $3.1K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

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The odds

82%Ben Wikler
  • Ben Wikler82%▲ 1
  • Tim Burchett82%▲ 1
  • Mike Dunleavy52%▲ 1
  • Rich McCormick36%▲ 1
  • Jeff Jackson30%▲ 1
  • Brian Kemp25%▲ 1
  • Pat Grassley21%▲ 1
  • Chris Sununu19%▲ 1
  • Thomas Massie17%
  • Joe Lombardo17%
  • Bryan Steil16%
  • Ritchie Torres15%▲ 2
8 more
  • Letitia James13%▲ 1
  • Don Davis12%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene8%
  • Kari Lake7%▲ 1
  • Doug Ducey7%
  • Spencer Pratt6%▲ 2
  • Lara Trump5%
  • Dan Bongino4%

How the odds have moved

Ben Wikler: 55% on Nov 2, 82% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 7, 11 PM ETBen Wikler: 87% → 81%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Ben Wikler 82% ▲ 1 78¢ 86¢ $1.16 8.1K
Tim Burchett 82% ▲ 1 78¢ 86¢ $1.16 200
Mike Dunleavy 52% ▲ 1 47¢ 56¢ $1.79
Rich McCormick 36% ▲ 1 31¢ 40¢ $2.50
Jeff Jackson 30% ▲ 1 25¢ 34¢ $2.94 149
Brian Kemp 25% ▲ 1 20¢ 29¢ $3.45 998
Pat Grassley 21% ▲ 1 16¢ 25¢ $4.00
Chris Sununu 19% ▲ 1 15¢ 23¢ $4.35 619
Thomas Massie 17% 13¢ 21¢ $4.76 674
Joe Lombardo 17% 12¢ 21¢ $4.76 50.00
Bryan Steil 16% 11¢ 20¢ $5.00
Ritchie Torres 15% ▲ 2 11¢ 19¢ $5.26 26.00
Letitia James 13% ▲ 1 8¢ 17¢ $5.88 971
Don Davis 12% 7¢ 16¢ $6.25
Marjorie Taylor Greene 8% 5¢ 10¢ $10.00 1.6K
Kari Lake 7% ▲ 1 2¢ 12¢ $8.33 43.00
Doug Ducey 7% 2¢ 11¢ $9.09
Spencer Pratt 6% ▲ 2 1¢ 11¢ $9.09 59.00
Lara Trump 5% 9¢ $11.11
Dan Bongino 4% 8¢ $12.50

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: U.S. Senate, Ben Wikler, Tim Burchett

Search ›
  • Mississippi U.S. Senate resultsAP News · 5 days agoLive results for the 2026 Mississippi U.S. Senate general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Mississippi U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits…
  • Alaska U.S. Senate resultsAP News · 5 days agoAlaska U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026 AP News Alaska U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night…
  • Louisiana U.S. Senate resultsAP News · 5 days agoLive results for the 2026 Louisiana U.S. Senate general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Louisiana U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for…
  • Georgia U.S. Senate resultsAP News · 5 days agoGeorgia U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026 AP News Georgia U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night…
  • El-Sayed makes history as first Muslim elected to U.S. SenateCNN · 4 days agoCNN El-Sayed makes history as first Muslim elected to U.S. Senate Arab American Institute President James Zogby discusses Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed's historic win in Michigan and the impact of the GOP's anti-Arab and anti-Muslim…
  • There’s No Need to Appoint Pete Hegseth to the U.S. SenateNational Review · 4 days agoNational Review
  • Idaho U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News · 5 days agoAP News Idaho U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
  • Massachusetts U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News · 5 days agoAP News Massachusetts U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
  • Oregon U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News · 5 days agoAP News Oregon U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics…
  • Tennessee U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News · 5 days agoAP News Tennessee U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
  • Rhode Island U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News · 5 days agoAP News Rhode Island U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…
  • South Dakota U.S. Senate Election Live Results 2026AP News · 5 days agoAP News South Dakota U.S. Senate results AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and…

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Elections › Senate

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

98%None
  • None98%
  • AK1%
  • All 7<1%▼ 3
125 more
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH, TX<1%▼ 2
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, TX<1%▼ 3
  • AK, IA, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
Elections › Senate

Next Senate Democratic Leader? (2028)

88%Chuck Schumer
  • Chuck Schumer88%▼ 3
  • Chris Van Hollen12%▲ 5
  • Brian Schatz1%▼ 1
10 more
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Mark Warner<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Raphael Warnock<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Patty Murray<1%
  • Tammy Baldwin<1%
  • Jon Ossoff<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jacky Rosen<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2028 · $272K today
Elections › Senate

Next Senate Majority Leader?

89%Chuck Schumer
  • Chuck Schumer89%▼ 5
  • Chris Van Hollen8%▲ 4
  • Brian Schatz1%▼ 1
8 more
  • John Thune<1%
  • John Barrasso<1%
  • Steve Daines<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Patty Murray<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Mark Kelly<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions