Who will visit the White House in 2026?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $5 today · $77.2K traded · $31.3K at stake · prices read 16 min ago

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The odds

69%Hakeem Jeffries
  • Hakeem Jeffries69%▼ 1
  • Mark Carney25%
  • Anutin Charnvirakul9%
  • Abdel Fattah al-Sisi8%
  • Abelardo de la Espriella8%
  • Claudia Sheinbaum8%
  • John Ternus8%▼ 1
  • Abiy Ahmed7%▼ 1
  • Hun Manet6%
  • Jaxson Dart6%
  • Barack Obama5%
  • Lionel Messi5%
10 more
  • Bola Ahmed Tinubu4%
  • Gavin Newsom4%
  • Joe Biden4%▲ 2
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene4%
  • Cristiano Ronaldo3%
  • Reza Pahlavi3%
  • Eric Adams3%
  • Jerome Powell2%
  • Pope Leo XIV1%
  • Vladimir Putin1%

How the odds have moved

Hakeem Jeffries: 35% on Oct 20, 69% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 4, 11 PM ETHakeem Jeffries: 64% → 70%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Elon Musk >99% 18.3K
✓ Xi Jinping >99% 43.5K
✓ Bill Maher 86% $1.16 5.5K
Hakeem Jeffries 69% ▼ 1 67¢ 70¢ $1.43 7.3K
Mark Carney 25% 22¢ 27¢ $3.70 7.7K
Anutin Charnvirakul 9% 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 5.5K
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi 8% 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 5.4K
Abelardo de la Espriella 8% 6¢ 10¢ $10.00 1.1K
Claudia Sheinbaum 8% 7¢ 9¢ $11.24 4.6K
John Ternus 8% ▼ 1 5¢ 10¢ $10.00 16.7K
Abiy Ahmed 7% ▼ 1 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 6.7K
Hun Manet 6% 1¢ 10¢ $10.20 660
Jaxson Dart 6% 4¢ 7¢ $14.29 424
Barack Obama 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.49 2.0K
Lionel Messi 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 696
Bola Ahmed Tinubu 4% 2¢ 7¢ $13.51 234
Gavin Newsom 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.95 4.7K
Joe Biden 4% ▲ 2 1¢ 6¢ $15.87 1.7K
Marjorie Taylor Greene 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.95 4.3K
Cristiano Ronaldo 3% 1¢ 5¢ $18.52 3.0K
Reza Pahlavi 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.41 14.1K
Eric Adams 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.64 2.9K
Jerome Powell 2% 1¢ 4¢ $26.32 1.3K
Pope Leo XIV 1% 1¢ 2¢ $55.56 6.5K
Vladimir Putin 1% 0¢ 2¢ $50.00 6.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Hakeem Jeffries, Mark Carney, Anutin Charnvirakul

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions