Vermont Senate winner? (2028)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 7, 2029 · $3.2K traded · $589 at stake · prices read 79 min ago

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The odds

90%Democratic party
  • Democratic party90%
  • Republican party9%

How the odds have moved

Democratic party: 94% on Oct 20, 90% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Democratic party 90% 88¢ 93¢ $1.08 2.9K
Republican party 9% 7¢ 11¢ $9.09 5.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Vermont Senate

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  • Who is Phil Scott? Meet Vermont's 82nd governorWPTZ · 14 days agoVermont Gov. Phil Scott is running for a sixth term in office this Election Day, facing challenger Amanda Janoo. But who is Scott, and what issues is he campaigning on? Scott, 68, is the 82nd governor of the state of Vermont and a…
  • Letter to the Editor: Kim Gleason is the right choice for Vermont SenateColchester Sun · 19 days agoThis letter is from Rep. Doug Bishop (D-Colchester). This letter is from Rep Doug Bishop (D-Colchester). Smart, committed, and engaged voices are what we need in the Vermont State House to take on Vermont’s challenges and Kim…
  • State senate candidate forum held in the Kirk Alumni CenterThe Middlebury Campus · 19 days agoCandidates for Addison County state senator positions gave speeches at the Kirk Alumni Center. On Oct. 5, the four candidates running for Addison County’s two state senator seats held a forum at Middlebury College’s Kirk Alumni Center to…
  • Opinion: Janoo has the chops to governAddison Independent · 19 days agoAddison County, Vermont · Since 1946 If you’re like many others in Vermont, you have lost confidence in Governor Scott. In his years as Governor, Vermont has declined on many fronts, including healthcare and affordability of housing, among…
  • Opinion: Vote no on Prop 3Addison Independent · 19 days agoAddison County, Vermont · Since 1946 One extremely important item to vote on this Nov. is the proposed addition to the Vermont Constitution that is entitled “Proposal 3.” This proposed addition reads in part “No law shall be adopted that ……
  • Answering the callWilliston Observer · 19 days agoHave you received your ballot yet? A printing snafu reported by the Vermont Secretary of State’s office last week delayed mail-outs of General Election ballots by a week. And the slowed pace of U.S. Postal Service delivery has been a…
  • Elect Dave Wolk For Vt. SenateMountain Times · 20 days agoDear Editor, It is rare for a candidate for the Vermont Senate, who is trying to unseat one of three incumbents, to enter the race with the breadth and depth of experience across all branches of government that Dave Wolk has. Elect Dave…
  • Sen. Peter Welch Discusses Affordability, Washington Divisions And Local Concerns During Rutland VisitMountain Times · 20 days agoHome / Featured / Sen. Peter Welch discusses affordability, Washington divisions and local concerns during Rutland Visit U.S. Sen. Peter Welch met with approximately 20 community members at The Hub CoWorks in downtown Rutland on Tuesday…
  • Bruce Roy, Candidate for the Chittenden Southeast District Part 1orcamedia.net · 28 days agoOctober 19, 2026 [MS] LGBTQ+ Story Hour 10/13/2026 October 19, 2026 [EMSB] October 19, 2026 [CS] U-32 High School Ensemble Concert LIVE 10/22/2026 at 5:30PM 71st Annual Meeting 9/27/2026 October 14, 2026 - Edward Farrar Utility District…
  • Bruce Roy, Candidate for the Chittenden Southeast District Part 2orcamedia.net · 28 days agoOctober 19, 2026 [MS] LGBTQ+ Story Hour 10/13/2026 October 19, 2026 [EMSB] October 19, 2026 [CS] U-32 High School Ensemble Concert LIVE 10/22/2026 at 5:30PM 71st Annual Meeting 9/27/2026 October 14, 2026 - Edward Farrar Utility District…

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All senate ›
Elections › Senate

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

98%None
  • None98%
  • AK2%
  • All 7<1%▼ 3
125 more
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH, TX<1%▼ 2
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, TX<1%▼ 3
  • AK, IA, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
Elections › Senate

Next Senate Democratic Leader? (2028)

88%Chuck Schumer
  • Chuck Schumer88%▼ 2
  • Chris Van Hollen10%▲ 2
  • Brian Schatz1%▼ 1
10 more
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Mark Warner<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Raphael Warnock<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Patty Murray<1%
  • Tammy Baldwin<1%
  • Jon Ossoff<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jacky Rosen<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2028 · $27K today
Elections › Senate

Next Senate Majority Leader?

89%Chuck Schumer
  • Chuck Schumer89%▼ 4
  • Chris Van Hollen9%▲ 4
  • Brian Schatz2%▼ 1
8 more
  • John Thune<1%
  • John Barrasso<1%
  • Steve Daines<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Patty Murray<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Mark Kelly<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions