Wisconsin Senate winner? (2028)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 7, 2029 · $66 today · $6.9K traded · $2.3K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

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The odds

66%Democratic party
  • Democratic party66%
  • Republican party34%

How the odds have moved

Democratic party: 63% on Oct 20, 66% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Democratic party 66% 66¢ 68¢ $1.47 9.1K
Republican party 34% 32¢ 36¢ $2.78 2.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Wisconsin Senate

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  • Six battleground districts could determine majority control of the Wisconsin Senate on Nov. 3news.ballotpedia.org · 18 days agoThe Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee (DLCC) has targeted five Senate districts, including one that Democrats already hold. The Republican State Leadership Committee (RSLC) includes Wisconsin ... Six battleground districts could…
  • Marklein, Jacobson matchup could decide control of Wisconsin SenateThe Cap Times · 19 days agoOn social media, Democratic Rep. Jenna Jacobson has a video that claims her Republican Senate opponent, Sen. Howard Marklein, is "toast," a nod to a squishy stick of butter she's selling as campaign merchandise. Democratic state Rep. Jenna…
  • College Republicans host political candidatesThe Advance-Titan · 18 days agoGubernatorial candidate Tom Tiffany visited the UW-Oshkosh campus in collaboration with the student organization College Republicans Oct. 15. “We’ve (Tiffany and his family) lived the American dream right here in Wisconsin,” Tiffany said…
  • Your voter guide to Appleton-area, state elections on Nov. 3Yahoo News · 19 days agoThe Nov. 3 elections feature a governor's race, three state constitutional referendums, school referendums and races for the U.S. House and Wisconsin Legislature. There are a lot of resources for voters at myvote.wi.gov. You can: See what…
  • Republican Sen. Patrick Testin weighs Wisconsin Senate battleChannel3000.com · 22 days agoRepublican Sen. Patrick Testin during an interview with "For the Record" weighed in as Wisconsin Republicans work to protect their state Senate majority in an election that could reshape control of state government. MADISON, Wis. —…
  • Senate Republican Re-Election Chief Paints “Absolute Nightmare” of Dem WinsMacIver Institute · 20 days agoToney Hammers AG Josh Kaul Over Crime Lab Delays October 19, 2026 | Benjamin Yount Wisconsin Counties Association Warns of No Taxes on Tips, Silent on Act 10 October 16, 2026 | Benjamin Yount Dane County Judge Okays No Fault Late Ballots…
  • Early voting locations, deadlines and what is on the ballot in SheboyganAOL.com · 22 days agoSHEBOYGAN – Sheboygan County voters will choose candidates for statewide, congressional, state legislative and county offices in the Nov. 3 general election. Some voters also will decide local referenda. The School District of Sheboygan…
  • Lieutenant governor candidate Sarah Godlewski on campaign trailChannel3000.com · 22 days agoChannel 3000 - Nowlan Injury Law Warner Park Weathercam - Madison Packers activate Savion Williams, place three on injured reserve in flurry of Saturday roster moves Wisconsin woman performs CPR twice to save boyfriend after being struck…
  • Trump waives Russia-related sanctionsChannel3000.com · 22 days agoChannel 3000 - Nowlan Injury Law Warner Park Weathercam - Madison Packers activate Savion Williams, place three on injured reserve in flurry of Saturday roster moves Wisconsin woman performs CPR twice to save boyfriend after being struck…
  • Oct 18 - App forecastChannel3000.com · 23 days agoChannel 3000 - Nowlan Injury Law Warner Park Weathercam - Madison Packers activate Savion Williams, place three on injured reserve in flurry of Saturday roster moves Wisconsin woman performs CPR twice to save boyfriend after being struck…
  • Oct 18 Morning forecast - 3Channel3000.com · 23 days agoChannel 3000 - Nowlan Injury Law Warner Park Weathercam - Madison Packers activate Savion Williams, place three on injured reserve in flurry of Saturday roster moves Wisconsin woman performs CPR twice to save boyfriend after being struck…
  • Oct 18 Morning forecast - 1Channel3000.com · 23 days agoChannel 3000 - Nowlan Injury Law Warner Park Weathercam - Madison Packers activate Savion Williams, place three on injured reserve in flurry of Saturday roster moves Wisconsin woman performs CPR twice to save boyfriend after being struck…

Related markets

All senate ›

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

98%None
  • None98%
  • AK2%
  • All 7<1%▼ 3
125 more
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, OH<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, ME, TX<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH, TX<1%▼ 2
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, ME<1%▼ 1
  • AK, IA, KS, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, KS, TX<1%▼ 3
  • AK, IA, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, IA, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • AK, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • AK, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • AK, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, ME, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, KS, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
  • IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
  • IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
  • KS, ME, MI, TX<1%

Next Senate Democratic Leader? (2028)

88%Chuck Schumer
  • Chuck Schumer88%▼ 2
  • Chris Van Hollen10%▲ 2
  • Brian Schatz1%▼ 1
10 more
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Mark Warner<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Raphael Warnock<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Patty Murray<1%
  • Tammy Baldwin<1%
  • Jon Ossoff<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jacky Rosen<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2028 · $27K today

Next Senate Majority Leader?

89%Chuck Schumer
  • Chuck Schumer89%▼ 4
  • Chris Van Hollen9%▲ 4
  • Brian Schatz2%▼ 1
8 more
  • John Thune<1%
  • John Barrasso<1%
  • Steve Daines<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Patty Murray<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Mark Kelly<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions