Next Press Secretary?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $78.6K today · $781K traded · $147K at stake · prices read 2 min ago

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The odds

14%Anna Kelly
  • Anna Kelly14%▲ 2
  • Monica Crowley4%
  • Harrison Fields3%
  • Taylor Rogers3%
  • Margo Martin3%▼ 1
  • Beni Rae Harmony3%
  • Maria Bartiromo3%
  • Natalie Harp2%
  • Katie Miller2%
  • Tricia McLaughlin2%
  • Elizabeth Pipko2%▲ 1
  • Rachel Campos-Duffy2%
21 more
  • Scott Jennings2%▼ 5
  • Liz Huston2%
  • Spencer Pratt2%
  • Kayleigh McEnany2%▼ 1
  • Karoline Leavitt2%▼ 1
  • Hogan Gidley2%
  • Lauren Bis2%
  • Alina Habba2%
  • Lara Trump1%
  • Laura Loomer1%
  • Katie Pavlich1%
  • Nicki Minaj1%
  • Dana White1%▼ 2
  • Kari Lake1%▼ 1
  • Jake Paul1%
  • Pat Adams1%
  • Kaelan Dorr<1%
  • Matthew Boyle<1%
  • Kush Desai<1%
  • Steven Cheung<1%
  • Ari Fleischer<1%

How the odds have moved

Anna Kelly: 14% on Oct 20, 14% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 7, 11 PM ETAnna Kelly: 17% → 11%
  2. Oct 23, 11 PM ETAnna Kelly: 18% → 26%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Anna Kelly 14% ▲ 2 14¢ 15¢ $6.67 $213K
Monica Crowley 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 $10.1K
Harrison Fields 3% 2¢ 5¢ $21.28 $2.6K
Taylor Rogers 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.64 $2K
Margo Martin 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 4¢ $23.81 $12.5K
Beni Rae Harmony 3% 2¢ 4¢ $28.57 $2.6K
Maria Bartiromo 3% 1¢ 4¢ $24.39 $20.3K
Natalie Harp 2% 1¢ 4¢ $26.32 $11.3K
Katie Miller 2% 1¢ 4¢ $28.57 $7.8K
Tricia McLaughlin 2% 2¢ 3¢ $40.00 $5.1K
Elizabeth Pipko 2% ▲ 1 0¢ 4¢ $24.39 $18.2K
Rachel Campos-Duffy 2% 1¢ 3¢ $30.30 $3.5K
Scott Jennings 2% ▼ 5 2¢ 2¢ $43.48 $103K
Liz Huston 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 $1.8K
Spencer Pratt 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 $999
Kayleigh McEnany 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $30.30 $6.7K
Karoline Leavitt 2% ▼ 1 0¢ 3¢ $29.41 $24.9K
Hogan Gidley 2% 1¢ 3¢ $32.26 $1.9K
Lauren Bis 2% 0¢ 3¢ $35.71 $555
Alina Habba 2% 1¢ 2¢ $41.67 $5K
Lara Trump 1% 0¢ 3¢ $40.00 $1.9K
Laura Loomer 1% 1¢ 2¢ $45.45 $2.7K
Katie Pavlich 1% 0¢ 2¢ $43.48 $7.3K
Nicki Minaj 1% 1¢ 2¢ $55.56 $13.4K
Dana White 1% ▼ 2 1¢ 1¢ $100.00 $269K
Kari Lake 1% ▼ 1 0¢ 1¢ $10.3K
Jake Paul 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $627
Pat Adams 1% 1¢ $100.00 $669
Kaelan Dorr <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.4K
Matthew Boyle <1% 0¢ 1¢ $600
Kush Desai <1% 0¢ 0¢ $241
Steven Cheung <1% 0¢ 0¢ $5.1K
Ari Fleischer <1% 0¢ 0¢ $403

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Press Secretary, Anna Kelly, Monica Crowley

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Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

35%Pete Hegseth
  • Pete Hegseth35%▼ 8
  • Will Scharf30%▼ 11
  • Amy Gleason28%▼ 5
37 more
  • Stanley Woodward28%▼ 4
  • Trent McCotter28%▼ 10
  • Howard Lutnick26%▲ 6
  • Christopher Landau25%
  • Kash Patel22%▼ 2
  • Doug Collins21%▲ 1
  • Brad Cooper20%▼ 1
  • Dan Caine19%▼ 4
  • Kevin Hassett19%▲ 1
  • Linda McMahon18%▼ 2
  • Steven Cheung18%▼ 14
  • Peter Navarro17%▼ 2
  • Sergio Gor17%▼ 8
  • Brooke Rollins16%▼ 1
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.15%▼ 1
  • Chris Wright14%
  • Doug Burgum14%
  • Marco Rubio14%▼ 3
  • John Ratcliffe14%▼ 2
  • Jamieson Greer13%▲ 2
  • Bill Pulte13%▼ 1
  • Scott Turner13%▲ 1
  • Kelly Loeffler13%▼ 6
  • Joe Gebbia13%▲ 2
  • Steve Witkoff12%▼ 6
  • Mehmet Oz12%▼ 2
  • Tom Homan12%▼ 2
  • Todd Blanche11%▼ 6
  • Mike Huckabee10%▼ 1
  • Rodney Scott10%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz10%▼ 8
  • Sean Duffy10%▼ 1
  • Russell Vought8%
  • Scott Bessent8%
  • Lee Zeldin8%
  • Tilman Fertitta7%▲ 1
  • Brendan Carr5%▼ 1

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

99%Susie Wiles
  • Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
  • None before 2027<1%▼ 17
  • J.D. Vance<1%▼ 1
18 more
  • Marco Rubio<1%▼ 17
  • Scott Bessent<1%▼ 2
  • Pete Hegseth<1%▼ 33
  • Doug Burgum<1%▼ 2
  • Brooke Rollins<1%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick<1%▼ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%▼ 3
  • Scott Turner<1%
  • Sean Duffy<1%
  • Chris Wright<1%▼ 1
  • Linda McMahon<1%
  • Doug Collins<1%
  • Lee Zeldin<1%▼ 1
  • Russell T. Vought<1%
  • John Ratcliffe<1%
  • Jamieson Greer<1%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz<1%▼ 2
  • Kelly Loeffler<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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