France declares state of emergency by...?
2%December 31
- October 31<1%▼ 1
- December 312%▼ 2
Install
Curfew in a major French city by...?
The odds
>99%October 24
- October 24>99%▲ 69
- October 31>99%▲ 68
- November 15>99%▲ 63
- December 31>99%▲ 49
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 24 | >99% | ▲ 69 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $127K | |
| October 31 | >99% | ▲ 68 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $31.1K | |
| November 15 | >99% | ▲ 63 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $28.7K | |
| December 31 | >99% | ▲ 49 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $29.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Curfew
Search ›- 7 Curfew Breakers Walk Free in MauritiusAccording to a report of the hearing, a court in Mauritius sentenced 12 people for breaking the October curfew on Friday 30 October 2026, and seven of them were convicted but given no punishment. One more defendant was fined Rs 5,000…
- Women face 'hidden curfew' for exercise as evenings darkenThis autumn marks Let's Lift the Curfew's fourth year as sign-ups have already surpassed 10,000 people nationwide The clocks have gone back and, for many women, the freedom to exercise outdoors has gone with them as darker evenings bring a…
- New Jersey municipalities crack down on 'Goosey Night' pranks with strict youth curfewsOct 30, 2026, 12:28 PM Updated 18 min ago Municipalities across New Jersey are enforcing strict early curfews for minors starting tonight, as local officials move to prevent vandalism and public disturbances on Mischief Night. The annual…
- Police settle debate on November 5 firework rules including 'curfew' penaltiesPolice have clarified the rules on fireworks, including age limits and bans on throwing fireworks into streets or public spaces(Image: francesco riccardo iacomino/Getty) November 5 is annually celebrated across the UK and is known as…
- South Carolina sets Halloween curfew for some sex offendersThe South Carolina Department of Probation, Parole and Pardon Services announced it will be enforcing a statewide curfew along with other restrictions for sex offenders on Halloween night. SCDPPPS reported that the statewide curfew will…
- 17 Hudson Valley Towns Announce Curfews for HalloweenWe've compiled a list of 17 Hudson Valley communities that will have strict curfews aimed at keeping kids off the streets late on Halloween. With Halloween falling on a Saturday night this year, several towns and cities throughout…
- Covington sets 7 p.m. Halloween curfew for kids downtownCBS News Bay Area Evening Edition 11pm WBZ This Morning 6am CBS News Chicago 5am CBS News Detroit 6am CBS News Los Angeles Weekend 11pm CBS News Miami 6am CBS News Philadelphia 6am KDKA-TV Morning News 6am CBS News Texas 5am
- Covington sets 7 p.m. Halloween curfew for children 16 and younger downtownOctober 26, 2026 / 6:34 AM EDT / CBS Atlanta The Covington City Council voted Monday to require children 16 and younger to have adult supervision to remain on the Square after 7 p.m. on Halloween night, unless they qualify for an exemption…
- Appeals court mulls case on ‘expressive activities’ curfew at University of TexasFellowship of Christian University Students at UT Dallas; Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression ‘The First Amendment does not rise and fall with the sun,’ campus free speech attorney says The Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals is…
- Paris enforces curfew for second night amid widespread riotsFox News senior foreign affairs correspondent Greg Palkot reports from Paris on curfews imposed following widespread riots on ‘America’s Newsroom.’ ... Paris enforces curfew for second night amid widespread riots Fox News senior foreign…
- New Charlotte teen curfew starts November 1We are just days away from the city of Charlotte preparing to launch its highly debated teen curfew pilot program this Sunday, November 1. New Charlotte teen curfew starts November 1 CHARLOTTE, N.C. – We are just days away from the city of…
- Japan Indicts U.S. Marine For Robbery And Murder Of Okinawa Woman, As U.S. Imposes Month-Long CurfewZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero Japanese prosecutors have indicted a U.S. Marine on robbery and murder charges over the death of a woman in a hotel in Okinawa, according to NBC News…
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19%March 31, 2027
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions