Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $520 today · $2.6M traded · $285K at stake · prices read 21 min ago

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The odds

1%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 1% on Oct 20, 1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Yes	1%		1¢	1¢	$100.00	$2.6M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Jeffrey Epstein

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Judge dismisses Trump’s $10 billion defamation suit over Jeffrey Epstein birthday card storyNBC News · 9 days agoA federal judge in Florida has tossed a revised version of President Donald Trump’s $10 billion defamation suit against the Wall Street Journal over a story about a birthday card he allegedly sent Jeffrey Epstein more than two decades ago…
Police probe Jeffrey Epstein’s time spent at Balmoral with Andrew Mountbatten-WindsorCNN · 11 days agoScottish police are investigating the time convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein spent with Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor at Balmoral, a private royal estate in Scotland which is a favored retreat for the monarchy. “We have received…
Police Scotland says it has received information on Jeffrey Epstein visit to Balmoral with Andrewthe Guardian · 11 days agoForce says ‘inquiries ongoing’ into visit to royal estate in Scotland, when Ghislaine Maxwell was also present Detectives are investigating time spent by Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell at the king’s…
Disgraced ex-Prince Andrew under fresh investigation over Balmoral trips with Jeffrey Epstein, Ghislaine Maxwell: copsNew York Post · 11 days agoDisgraced former UK Prince Andrew Mountbatten Windsor is under fresh investigation over new info about his activities with sex-trafficking pals Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell at the royal family’s Balmoral estate, UK police…
Goldman Sachs’ previous top lawyer finally poised to leave Wall Street giant after Jeffrey Epstein uproar: sourcesNew York Post · 11 days agoKathy Ruemmler isn’t being pushed out of Goldman Sachs, but the company is making plans for her eventual departure from the big investment bank, On The Money has learned. That departure could take place in the coming weeks, when the firm…
Trump Protester Sings Jeffrey Epstein Song as President Repeatedly HeckledNewsweek · 12 days agoOct 29, 2026 at 07:44 AM EDT President Donald Trump was heckled over his alleged ties to the late convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein during a rally in Ohio on Wednesday night. “Trump went on the Jeffrey Epstein plane! Trump went on the…
Heckler yells ‘Trump went on the Jeffrey Epstein plane’cnn.com · 12 days agoA few protesters interrupted President Trump during a midterm rally in Chillicothe, Ohio, with one shouting, âTrump went on the Jeffrey Epsteinâs plane.â All were seen escorted out of the venue. Heckler yells ‘Trump went on the…
Ex-Prince Andrew Faces New Police Questions Over Jeffrey Epstein’s Royal Castle VisitsNational Examiner · 10 days agoAndrew Mountbatten Windsor is facing further scrutiny over his connections to Jeffrey Epstein and Ghislaine Maxwell, this time involving visits to the royal family’s Balmoral estate in Scotland. Police Scotland confirmed that it has…
Abdul El-Sayed Has a Jeffrey Epstein Question for Donald TrumpYahoo News · 11 days agoAbdul El-Sayed responded to Donald Trump's latest insult with an unusual challenge for the president. The Michigan Senate hopeful offered to walk through a metal detector if Trump agreed to take a lie detector test. El-Sayed delivered his…
Police investigate former Prince Andrew's time with Jeffrey Epstein, Ghislaine Maxwell at BalmoralABC News · 10 days ago"The needs of victim survivors at the heart of those enquiries," police said. -- Authorities in Scotland are investigating information about time spent by Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, Ghislaine Maxwell and Jeffrey Epstein at Balmoral, the…
Democrats and Republicans trade explosive accusations over ties to Jeffrey Epstein in midterm race: ‘…call is coming from inside the house’The Mary Sue · 9 days agoEventually, Trump supported the legislation, which allowed the act to pass with near-unanimous Republican support. The current ad campaigns frequently ignore this final consensus, focusing instead on the procedural hurdles from earlier in…
Police Scotland Investigates Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, Jeffrey Epstein, and Ghislaine Maxwell at BalmoralNewsCord · 11 days agoPublished 30 Oct 2026, 17:21 UTCUpdated 30 Oct 2026, 17:28 UTC Police Scotland is investigating Balmoral stays involving Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, Epstein, and Maxwell. Inquiry began after receiving information and remains at a very…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$2.6M

Today$520

This week$1.2K

At stake$285K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that Jeff Epstein, the New York financier, is still alive between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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