The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
No prison time
62%
▲ 4
60¢
63¢
$1.59
$636K
60+
19%
▼ 3
18¢
20¢
$5.00
$241K
<20
5%
▲ 1
4¢
7¢
$15.15
$128K
40–60
3%
2¢
4¢
$22.73
$31.6K
20–40
2%
1¢
4¢
$25.64
$65K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Reportan que Rubio negocia un acuerdo militar en VenezuelaFox News · 7 h agoSegún reportes, Marco Rubio negocia un acuerdo militar para desplegar tropas de EE.UU. en Venezuela a largo plazo mientras Delcy Rodríguez promete un plan económico hacia 2040. Reportan que Rubio negocia un acuerdo militar en Venezuela…
Mysterious billionaire shows off ‘America’s oil’ — and Trump’s VenezuelaThe Washington Post · 41 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. A visit to the…
The Destruction of Venezuela’s Economy under Chávez and MaduroMises Institute · 3 days agoIn the Venezuelan case, the first beneficiaries were the state and its circle of associates, while those who bore the effects last were workers, teachers, and retirees, whose incomes lost purchasing power before they could spend them in…
Persad-Bissessar: ‘Is the refinery for Maduro?’Stabroek News · 4 h ago(Trinidad Express) Will the Government allow Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro to purchase the Petrotrin refinery? This was one of several questions raised by Opposition Leader Kamla Persad-Bissessar who stated that Governments rejection…
The Destruction Of Venezuela’s Economy Under Chávez And Maduro – OpEdEurasia Review · 3 days agoIn the Venezuelan case, the first beneficiaries were the state and its circle of associates, while those who bore the effects last were workers, teachers, and retirees, whose incomes lost purchasing power before they could spend them in…
Florida’s most Venezuelan city put the Republican Party on noticeThe Washington Post · 2 days agoOf all the places that got swept up in the Democratic “blue wave,” one of the most unlikely was the heart of the Venezuelan diaspora in the U.S. Doral, a city in South Florida often called “Doralzuela” for its large concentration of…
Hegseth faces possible impeachment over Iran war, boat strikes and Maduro RaidTask & Purpose · 6 h agoPublished Nov 9, 2026 3:35 PM EST Republican Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky filed articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Monday, accusing the country’s top civilian defense official of usurping congressional…
Special Report 6: Was Nicolás Maduro Much More Brutal Than Hugo Chávez?Liberty Nation News · 36 h agoIndependent news and opinion from a constitutional perspective. Your morning advantage. Critical news, fearless analysis, and the truth mainstream media won't tell you—delivered before your first coffee. Special Report 6: Was Nicolás…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions