Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $1.3K today · $1.9M traded · $116K at stake · prices read 22 min ago

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The odds

3%chance▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 10% on Oct 20, 3% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yes 3% ▼ 1 3¢ 3¢ $29.41 $1.9M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Cuban

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  • Cuba grapples with ongoing economic and energy crisisNPR · 5 days agoNPR Cuba grapples with ongoing economic and energy crisis Cuba continues to grapple with a deepening economic and energy crisis, as widespread power outages, fuel shortages and rising tensions with the U.S. add to uncertainty across the…
  • Independent Cuban journalist Yoani Sánchez released after being detained in HavanaCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Independent Cuban…
  • Prominent Cuban journalist Yoani Sánchez detained in Havana; third independent reporter held this weekCBS News · 4 days agoNovember 5, 2026 / 8:49 PM EST / CBS Miami Award-winning Cuban independent journalist Yoani Sánchez was detained by authorities in Havana on Thursday, marking the third arrest of an independent journalist in the city this week. Sánchez…
  • US issues new Cuba sanctions, takes aim at sectors of Cuban economyCentral Oregon Daily · 4 days agoCentral Oregon Daily The United States Department of the Treasury is seen in Washington, D.C., U.S., August 30, 2020. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly WASHINGTON, Nov 5 (Reuters) - The United States on Thursday issued a determination paving the way…
  • Belarus Delivers Humanitarian Aid to CubaREFORM.news · 3 days agoReform.news Editorial Team · 6 November 2026, 13:52 Belarus has delivered humanitarian aid to the Children’s Clinical Hospital and the William Soler Pediatric Cardiology Center in Cuba. The handover ceremony took place on November 5, the…
  • The Cuban Vote Saved Florida@AmericanThinker · 4 days agoLuis Gonzalez | November 6, 2026 The numbers tell a story of political conviction, demographic change, and a community that refused to follow the prevailing tide. Florida’s gubernatorial contest was decided by 107,695 votes. Byron Donalds…
  • U.S. attempts of forcing Cuba to surrender "will continue to fail": Cuban foreign ministerBastillepost 巴士的報 · 4 days agoCuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodriguez Parrilla on Wednesday criticized the U.S. announcement of new sanctions against Cuba, saying that the U.S. aims to strangle the Cuban economy and cause the greatest possible harm to the Cuban people…
  • Nicaragua Omits Cuban and Venezuelan TroopsThe Rio Times · 4 days agofrom its new decree on foreign forces for early 2027. The decree, published on Thursday 29 October 2026, keeps Russia, China, Mexico and the United States. Earlier decrees for January to June 2026 and for July to December 2026 had named…
  • Cuban Woman in Italy Keeps Up Cleaning Habits: "Every Cuban Woman Will Understand!"CubaHeadlines · 4 days agoFriday, November 6, 2026 by Sofia Valdez Despite the passing of years and changing countries, certain Cuban traditions seem impossible to let go of. Claudia Gómez, a Cuban living in Italy for two years, has illustrated this by sharing her…
  • Cuba Detains Journalist Yoani SánchezThe Rio Times · 4 days agoCUBA · PRESS FREEDOM Cuban State Security agents detained Yoani Sánchez, a leading independent Cuban journalist, in Havana on Thursday 5 November 2026. Her newsroom says she was taken from the street near her home and that nobody knows…
  • Journalist Yoani Sanchez, activists released from detention in CubaKMVU FOX 26 Medford · 4 days agoAward-winning Cuban journalist Yoani Sanchez was freed after a brief detention in Havana Independent journalist Yoani Sanchez, who has won awards for her reporting on Cuba, and two prominent Cuban activists were released Thursday after…
  • China Warns US Over Cuba Sanctions on FirmsThe Rio Times · 4 days agoBeijing has told Washington to keep its sanctions away from China’s trade with Cuba. On Friday, 6 November, China’s Foreign Ministry vowed to protect two Chinese firms the United States blacklisted a day earlier. The clash widens the…

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

37%Pete Hegseth
  • Pete Hegseth37%▼ 5
  • Will Scharf30%▼ 13
  • Trent McCotter28%▼ 9
37 more
  • Stanley Woodward28%▼ 6
  • Amy Gleason27%▼ 7
  • Christopher Landau26%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick25%▲ 5
  • Kash Patel23%
  • Doug Collins21%▲ 1
  • Brad Cooper20%
  • Dan Caine20%▼ 3
  • Steven Cheung19%▼ 17
  • Kevin Hassett19%▲ 4
  • Linda McMahon18%▼ 3
  • Sergio Gor18%▼ 7
  • Peter Navarro17%▼ 3
  • Marco Rubio16%▼ 1
  • Brooke Rollins16%▼ 1
  • Chris Wright14%▼ 1
  • Doug Burgum14%
  • John Ratcliffe14%▲ 3
  • Scott Turner13%▲ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.13%▼ 4
  • Steve Witkoff13%▼ 5
  • Bill Pulte13%▼ 1
  • Kelly Loeffler13%▼ 6
  • Joe Gebbia13%▲ 2
  • Mehmet Oz12%▼ 2
  • Jamieson Greer12%
  • Tom Homan11%▲ 1
  • Mike Huckabee11%▼ 1
  • Todd Blanche11%▼ 2
  • Rodney Scott10%
  • Sean Duffy10%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz9%▼ 9
  • Russell Vought8%
  • Scott Bessent8%
  • Lee Zeldin8%▲ 1
  • Tilman Fertitta8%▲ 2
  • Brendan Carr5%▼ 3

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

99%Susie Wiles
  • Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
  • None before 2027<1%▼ 17
  • J.D. Vance<1%▼ 1
18 more
  • Marco Rubio<1%▼ 17
  • Scott Bessent<1%▼ 2
  • Pete Hegseth<1%▼ 33
  • Doug Burgum<1%▼ 2
  • Brooke Rollins<1%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick<1%▼ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%▼ 3
  • Scott Turner<1%
  • Sean Duffy<1%
  • Chris Wright<1%▼ 1
  • Linda McMahon<1%
  • Doug Collins<1%
  • Lee Zeldin<1%▼ 1
  • Russell T. Vought<1%
  • John Ratcliffe<1%
  • Jamieson Greer<1%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz<1%▼ 2
  • Kelly Loeffler<1%▼ 1

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