Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Yes
3%
▼ 1
3¢
4¢
$24.39
$28.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
WATCH: El-Sayed MOCKS Vance, Trump in victory speechFox News · 6 days agoFox News WATCH: El-Sayed MOCKS Vance, Trump in victory speech Michigan Sen.-elect Abdul El-Sayed mocked Vice President JD Vance and President Donald Trump in his victory speech.
El-Sayed mocks Trump, Vance in Michigan victory speechFox News · 6 days agoSenator-elect Abdul El-Sayed mocked President Donald Trump and his opponent Mike Rogers in a combative victory speech Tuesday night Michigan. El-Sayed mocks Trump, Vance in Michigan victory speech Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed mocked…
JD Vance blames Iran war and Israel for GOP midterm bloodbathNew York Post · 5 days agoVice President JD Vance broke his silence late Wednesday morning on the blue tsunami that completely wiped out Republicans across the country on Election Day, blaming the drubbing squarely on the war in Iran. One of the things the data…
Vance blames Republicans’ midterm losses on Iran war, cost of livingThe Washington Post · 5 days agoThe Washington Post Vice President JD Vance, a potential 2028 presidential contender, broke sharply with the president in owning the failures of the administration’s policies. Vice President JD Vance didn’t mince words on Wednesday about…
JD Vance Reveals 4 Major Reasons Republicans Faced Stunning Midterm DefeatNewsweek · 5 days agoNov 04, 2026 at 11:15 AM EST Vice President JD Vance explained four reasons why Republicans suffered stinging defeats in the midterm elections as Republicans grappled with losing both the House of Representatives and Senate to Democrats…
Vance reacts to GOP midterm losses, outlines how to win back votersFox News · 5 days agoFox News Vance reacts to GOP midterm losses, outlines how to win back voters Fox News' Martha MacCallum analyzes potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidates following key midterm wins and discusses social media reaction from Vice…
Vance blames Iran conflict for GOP midterm defeats: "The reason we lost is the war"CBS News · 5 days agoNovember 4, 2026 / 11:41 AM EST / CBS News Washington — Vice President JD Vance said Wednesday that he believes Republicans lost control of both chambers of Congress because of voters' opposition to the war in Iran and suggested that the…
Vance says the ‘real reason’ for GOP rout was anger over Iran warNBC News · 5 days agoBREAKING: Vance says the ‘real reason’ for GOP rout was anger over Iran war Hours after Democrats routed Republicans in the midterm elections, Vice President JD Vance blamed his party’s losses on Americans’ frustration over the U.S. war…
JD Vance Blames Midterm Losses on Trump’s War: “Everyone Knows Why We Lost”The Hollywood Reporter · 5 days agoThe vice president listed four reasons for Democrats reclaiming Congress, and they can largely be traced to his boss: "To the people who are pissed off and want to say, 'I told you so' — you’re right." JD Vance is getting into position for…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions