Curfew in a major French city by...?
>99%October 24
- October 24>99%▲ 69
- October 31>99%▲ 68
- November 15>99%▲ 63
1 more
- December 31>99%▲ 49
Install
How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
The odds
2.06median
1.504.50
Median 2.06Middle half 1.78 – 2.34
How the odds have moved
Median: 2.06 on Oct 20, 2.06 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | <1% | 0¢ | $4.6K | |||
| 2 | 89% | 89¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | $161K | |
| 3 | 10% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $62K | |
| 4+ | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $17.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: UK Prime Ministers
Search ›- UK Prime Minister slams Russell Brand's 'horrifying' actionsPrime Minister Andy Burnham has praised the bravery of Russell Brand’s victims after describing the convicted comedian’s actions as “horrifying”. Brand, 51, is facing years behind bars after being convicted of raping one woman and sexually…
- Putin ruled out of G20 summit in Manchester — UK Prime MinisterRussian President Vladimir Putin will not receive an invitation to the G20 summit, which will take place in Manchester in November 2027, according to UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham. The Russian President's attendance at the summit is ruled…
- Open letter to the UK Prime Minister: Organisations across business, trade unions and civil society call for mHREDD legislation | Ethical Trading InitiativeOpen letter to the UK Prime Minister: Organisations across business, trade unions and civil society call for mHREDD legislation On 21 October 2026, 20 leading businesses, including seven of the UK’s major supermarkets, joined the British…
- EAM Jaishankar meets Australian and UK Prime Ministers at CHOGM 2026, discusses bilateral cooperationFollowing his meeting with Albanese, Jaishankar described the interaction as a positive engagement in a post on X. The meeting came amid continued efforts by New Delhi and Canberra to deepen their Comprehensive Strategic Partnership…
- St John’s: EAM S. Jaishankar Meets UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham #GallerySt John’s: External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar meets United Kingdom Prime Minister Andy Burnham on the sidelines of the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting (CHOGM) 2026 in Antigua and Barbuda, on Wednesday, November 4, 2026…
- UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham and Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband Join Hell’s Gate Steel Orchestra in Playing SteelpanSt. John's · Fri 6 Nov, 6:12 PM · ☁️ 29°C Overcast Caribbean Union Bank celebrates international recognition for Antigua and Barbuda’s musical heritage after two senior British officials join members of the orchestra during CHOGM 2026…
- GITFiC welcomes UK Prime Minister’s openness to slaveryBy Albert Allotey, GNA Accra, Nov. 04, GNA – The Ghana International Trade and Finance Conference (GITFiC) has welcomed the encouraging position expressed by UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham, regarding Britain’s historical involvement in the…
- UK Prime Minister Says Poundland Can Be Saved, Urges TalksBriefs Finance helps everyday people get better with money and invest with confidence, from getting out of debt all the way to investing like an expert. It starts with Market Briefs, a free five-minute daily newsletter, and grows into…
- King Charles jokes about umbrella strop and UK prime ministers during final CHOGM addressThe monarch joked about a moment he demanded an umbrella while in Antigua and Barbuda(Image: Getty Images) The King made a joke at his own expense as he hosted Commonwealth leaders at the end of his Caribbean trip, saying he would provide…
- UK Prime Minister Pledges to Combat Islamophobia in Meeting with Muslim LeadersBritish Prime Minister Andy Burnham has pledged to tackle rising Islamophobia and anti-Muslim hate speech while promoting social cohesion, during a meeting with Muslim community leaders at 10 Downing Street in London. The meeting, attended…
- WATCH: UK Prime Minister Falls Mid-Pitch While Playing Cricket, Gets Back Up To Continue BattingThe incident unfolded as Burnham tried to make it safely to the other end of the pitch. Having set off for a quick single, he soon realised that completing the run would be difficult. He attempted to change direction and return to his end…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions