Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $6 today · $71.1K traded · $15K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

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The odds

1%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 3% on Oct 20, 1% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yes 1% 1¢ 1¢ $90.91 $71.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Amendment

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  • Veteran 'forced out' of Army seeks scheme amendmentBBC News · 15 days agoAges 18, Louise Lingard-Snape gained a place in the military band An Army veteran who says she was "forced out" of the military for being gay is seeking an amendment to the government's financial redress scheme. Louise Lingard-Snape, 58…
  • Miami-Dade mayor Daniella Levine Cava speaks on Amendment 3 opposition and county budget woesCBS News · 14 days agoCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Miami-Dade mayor…
  • Colorado pro-life sidewalk counselor battles state 'bubble law' she says curtails First AmendmentFox News · 14 days agoWendy Faustin and attorney Roger Byron speak exclusively with Fox News Digital about Colorado's abortion clinic "bubble law" and their First Amendment concerns. A Colorado woman who offers abortion alternatives outside clinics is battling…
  • Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava speaks on Amendment 3, MDSO decision to pull security detailCBS News · 15 days agoThe midterm elections are just over a week away, and millions of people across the U.S., including here in South Florida, have already cast their vote. CBS News Miami's Austin Carter was joined by Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava who…
  • First Amendment advocates sue Trump admin over media bansJust The News · 14 days agoThe plaintiffs specifically ask the court to declare the policy a violation of the First Amendment, block its enforcement, and award them attorneys' fees. A group of First Amendment advocates sued the Trump administration over its attempt…
  • CREDAI Chennai Welcomes Amendments to Building Rulesdeccanchronicle.com · 13 days agoCredai Chennai has welcomed the Tamil Nadu government’s amendments to the Combined Development and Building Rules, 2019, saying they would improve urban land utilisation, simplify approvals and expand housing options. The amendments…
  • Alibaba and the Forty Lobbyists, and the First AmendmentReason Magazine · 13 days agoEugene Volokh | 10.27.2026 6:02 PM From a long opinion yesterday by Judge Eumi Lee (N.D. Cal.) in Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. v. U.S. Dep't of Defense: The court issued a preliminary injunction, concluding § 4663 likely violates the Free…
  • Election 2026: What is Louisiana's Amendment 10?The Center Square · 13 days ago(The Center Square) - Louisiana voters will decide Nov. 3 whether to allow property tax breaks for owners who restore abandoned or rundown buildings across the state. Proposed Constitutional Amendment 10 would allow local governments to…
  • Is Amendment 3 already impacting city decisions?ECB Publishing · 13 days agoLazaro Aleman ECB Publishing, Inc. Concerns about current budgetary constraints and how proposed increased property tax exemptions may affect local governments’ revenues if voters approve Amendment 3 in November are already causing…
  • Can Amendment 1 pass without Ron DeSantis’ support?@Fla_Pol · 13 days agoNovember’s Amendment 1 would increase the amount of money that could be kept in the budget stabilization fund to 25% of general revenue collections. But the ballot measure has a major opponent in term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis. He calls it…
  • PTI Parliamentary Party Decides To Conditionally Support 28th AmendmentUrduPoint · 13 days agoSanaullah Nagra (@) Published October 27, 2026 | 11:48 PM A majority of members decided that the 28th Amendment will be supported if PTI founder Imran Khan is released, sources said. ISLAMABAD, (UrduPoint / Pakistan Point News - 27th Oct…
  • DPDP Act: Centre open to amendment to protect journalistic freedomBusinessLine · 13 days agoAmid concerns from news publishers that a new law could constrain investigative reporting, Information Technology Minister Ashwini Vaishnaw on Wednesday said the Digital Personal Data Protection (DPDP) Act does not infringe press freedom…

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

37%Pete Hegseth
  • Pete Hegseth37%▼ 5
  • Will Scharf31%▼ 11
  • Trent McCotter28%▼ 9
37 more
  • Stanley Woodward28%▼ 6
  • Amy Gleason27%▼ 7
  • Christopher Landau26%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick25%▲ 5
  • Kash Patel23%▼ 1
  • Doug Collins21%▲ 1
  • Brad Cooper20%
  • Dan Caine20%▼ 2
  • Steven Cheung19%▼ 17
  • Kevin Hassett19%▲ 4
  • Linda McMahon18%▼ 3
  • Sergio Gor18%▼ 7
  • Peter Navarro17%▼ 1
  • Brooke Rollins17%
  • Marco Rubio14%▼ 2
  • Chris Wright14%
  • Doug Burgum14%
  • John Ratcliffe14%▲ 3
  • Scott Turner13%▲ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.13%▼ 4
  • Steve Witkoff13%▼ 5
  • Mehmet Oz13%▼ 1
  • Bill Pulte13%▼ 1
  • Kelly Loeffler13%▼ 6
  • Joe Gebbia13%▲ 2
  • Jamieson Greer12%▲ 1
  • Mike Huckabee12%▲ 1
  • Tom Homan11%
  • Todd Blanche11%▼ 4
  • Rodney Scott10%
  • Sean Duffy10%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz10%▼ 8
  • Russell Vought8%
  • Lee Zeldin8%▲ 1
  • Scott Bessent8%▼ 1
  • Tilman Fertitta8%▲ 2
  • Brendan Carr5%▼ 2

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

99%Susie Wiles
  • Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
  • None before 2027<1%▼ 17
  • J.D. Vance<1%▼ 1
18 more
  • Marco Rubio<1%▼ 17
  • Scott Bessent<1%▼ 2
  • Pete Hegseth<1%▼ 33
  • Doug Burgum<1%▼ 2
  • Brooke Rollins<1%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick<1%▼ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%▼ 3
  • Scott Turner<1%
  • Sean Duffy<1%
  • Chris Wright<1%▼ 1
  • Linda McMahon<1%
  • Doug Collins<1%
  • Lee Zeldin<1%▼ 1
  • Russell T. Vought<1%
  • John Ratcliffe<1%
  • Jamieson Greer<1%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz<1%▼ 2
  • Kelly Loeffler<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions