Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Yes
1%
▼ 1
1¢
1¢
$28.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
PRESSED: Trump answers question on preemptive pardons for Elon MuskFox News · 6 days agoPresident Donald Trump responds to talk of arresting Elon Musk and nationalizing SpaceX, saying he would consider preemptive pardons if needed to protect him. PRESSED: Trump answers question on preemptive pardons for Elon Musk President…
Elon Musk's Neuralink offers MAJOR vision breakthroughFox News · 7 days agoFox News Elon Musk's Neuralink offers MAJOR vision breakthrough Elon Musk's Neuralink technology is offering a major breakthrough by restoring vision to those who are completely blind.
Elon Musk Mocks Sam Altman Over Claim Home PCs Are Wasting RAMDecrypt · 7 days agoElon Musk has mocked OpenAI CEO Sam Altman for arguing that the world's limited supply of computer memory would be better used in AI data centers than in people's home computers. Altman made the comments in an interview with the YouTube…
Elon Musk's Neuralink aims to restore sight to the blindFox News · 8 days agoKurt 'CyberGuy' Knutsson discusses Elon Musk's Neuralink Blindsight brain implant, which could restore vision to people who are completely blind. Elon Musk's Neuralink aims to restore sight to the blind Kurt 'CyberGuy' Knutsson discusses…
WATCH: Virginia Democrats call for Elon Musk to explain DOGE savings to CongresFox News · 7 days agoFox News WATCH: Virginia Democrats call for Elon Musk to explain DOGE savings to Congres Sen. Mark Warner, Sen. Tim Kaine and Rep. James Walkinshaw of Virginia react to Democrats call for a probe into Elon Musk if their party takes back…
Elon Musk throttles Grok Bot limits due to ‘unsustainably high’ costsTechCrunch · 7 days agoFounder Summit begins Nov. 4, 9:00 a.m. ET. Get your pass savings & deals before it starts. REGISTER HERE. Over Halloween weekend, some Grok Bot users awoke to something especially spooky: their weekly usage limits were unexpectedly maxed…
Inside Elon Musk’s plan to conquer a new industryThe Washington Post · 8 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. SpaceX is in talks to…
The ‘blockers’ who stood up to Elon Musk’s Doge – podcastthe Guardian · 8 days agoWhat happens when Elon Musk and a bunch of tech bros try to rip up the US government?Journalist Michael Lewis – the author of Moneyball and of The Big Short – talks to Nosheen Iqbal about his new book Blockers, which tracks the story of…
Elon Musk's SpaceX Reportedly Talking With EchoStar About A Boost Mobile DealDeadline · 7 days agoElon Musk‘s SpaceX has held talks with EchoStar about acquiring Boost Mobile or using its network, according to a report. The Washington Post, which reported the negotiations, said SpaceX had also approached Verizon, AT&T and T-Mobile but…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions