The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ Karoline Leavitt
>99%
▲ 80
100¢
100¢
$77.1K
✓ Tulsi Gabbard
>99%
▲ 40
100¢
100¢
$101K
✓ Pam Bondi
>99%
▼ 2
100¢
100¢
$365K
✓ Dan Bongino
>99%
▲ 16
100¢
100¢
$5.1K
✓ Lori Chavez-DeRemer
>99%
▲ 17
100¢
100¢
$7.1K
Susie Wiles
>99%
▲ 58
100¢
100¢
$182K
Pete Hegseth
36%
▼ 6
35¢
36¢
$2.78
$404K
Howard Lutnick
22%
▲ 6
20¢
23¢
$4.35
$134K
Kash Patel
19%
▼ 2
18¢
19¢
$5.26
$343K
Kristi Noem
16%
▼ 7
13¢
19¢
$5.24
$106K
Markwayne Mullin
14%
▼ 4
13¢
14¢
$7.14
$7.5K
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
13%
▼ 3
12¢
14¢
$7.14
$119K
Marco Rubio
12%
11¢
12¢
$8.33
$25K
John Ratcliffe
11%
10¢
11¢
$9.09
$7.9K
Russell Vought
9%
8¢
9¢
$11.11
$4.8K
Tom Homan
9%
▲ 1
8¢
9¢
$11.11
$9.2K
Lee Zeldin
8%
7¢
8¢
$12.50
$40.9K
David Sacks
7%
▲ 1
6¢
8¢
$13.16
$15.8K
Scott Bessent
7%
▼ 1
6¢
7¢
$14.49
$82.9K
Dan Scavino
6%
6¢
7¢
$14.49
$4K
Stephen Miller
4%
▼ 2
3¢
4¢
$26.32
$60.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Susie Wiles’s exit adds to list of women leaving top roles in Trump administrationThe Washington Post · 2 days agoThe departure this week of Susie Wiles as President Donald Trump’s chief of staff adds to the growing list of women who have left their high-ranking positions in the administration and been replaced by men. Trump said Friday that he was…
Donald Trump Teases More Firings, Defends Pete HegsethNewsweek · 3 days agoNov 07, 2026 at 06:09 AM EST President Donald Trump said Friday that he may make “a few changes” to his administration after Republicans’ midterm defeat, while expressing confidence in Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. The president has…
Trump explains why he replaced Susie WilesFox News · 3 days agoFox News Trump explains why he replaced Susie Wiles President Donald Trump addresses Susie Wiles’ departure as White House chief of staff while speaking to reporters at the White House.
Stephen Miller will replace Susie Wiles as White House chief of staff | CNN PoliticsCNN · 3 days agoStephen Miller, longtime aide to President Donald Trump and architect of the administration’s immigration agenda, will become the White House chief of staff. Miller is set to replace Susie Wiles, who is departing the role days after the…
Trump justifies Susie Wiles exit with need to ‘make moves’Fox News · 3 days agoFox News Trump justifies Susie Wiles exit with need to ‘make moves’ Former White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany addresses Stephen Miller being tapped to succeed Susie Wiles as White House chief of staff to President Donald Trump on…
Trump on replacing Susie Wiles: ‘Sometimes in life, you have to make moves’Fox News · 3 days agoFox News Trump on replacing Susie Wiles: ‘Sometimes in life, you have to make moves’ Fox News correspondent Alexandria Hoff reports on President Donald Trump’s announcement that Stephen Miller will replace Susie Wiles as White House chief…
President Trump appoints Stephen Miller as chief of staff, replacing Susie WilesCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News President Trump appoints Stephen Miller as chief of staff, replacing Susie Wiles Harbor East's annual Magic of Merryland holiday festival returns on Saturday, November 21 Toys for the Dena Run is celebrating 15 years of giving…
Trump announces Stephen Miller will replace Susie Wiles as White House chief of staffCNN · 3 days agoCNN Trump announces Stephen Miller will replace Susie Wiles as White House chief of staff Susie Wiles, the White House chief of staff, is departing the role and will be replaced by Stephen Miller, a longtime aide to President Donald Trump…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions