Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Yes
5%
4¢
6¢
$17.86
$78.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
SEC DeFi Guidance Focuses on Human Control in Regulatory DebateTokenPost · 6 days agowww.tokenpost.com Industry participants are divided over who should face compliance duties as Congress has yet to pass a crypto market-structure law. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has issued guidance on decentralized finance…
Democrats Sweep Congress as Kalshi Prices 6% Odds for CLARITY Act Before 2027Disruption Banking · 6 days agoDemocrats swept the House and Senate in the 2026 midterms. Kalshi now prices a 6% chance the CLARITY Act becomes law before 2027 as bitcoin recovers near $78,000. Democrats won control of both chambers of Congress in Tuesday’s US midterm…
Democrats Win Congress as Crypto Critic Sherrod Brown Returnscoininsider.org · 6 days agoDemocrats are expected to take control of both chambers of Congress after the Nov. 3 midterms, reshaping the path for U.S. crypto legislation when the new term begins in January. Sherrod Brown’s victory in Ohio also brings a prominent…
Democrats’ House Win Could Put Trump Family Crypto Under ScrutinyTokenPost · 5 days agoRep. Robert Garcia, who is expected to lead the House Oversight Committee, says the ventures will be a focus of a broader inquiry. Democrats are projected to retake the House, giving the incoming House Oversight Committee a path to…
$315B Stablecoin Supply Hits Record as USDC GainsCoinMarketCap Academy · 6 days agoTotal stablecoin supply rose by roughly $8 billion to a record $315 billion in the first quarter of 2026, according to CEX.IO data. The increase was the slowest pace of growth since Q4 2023, but it came during a quarter when the broader…
What’s at stake for crypto as the US votes in the 2026 midterms?Cointelegraph · 7 days agoCrypto groups spent about $176 million ahead of the US midterms, with control of Congress and the future of crypto legislation at stake. US voters head to the polls in midterm elections on Tuesday that could shift control of Congress and…
Bitcoin and the US Midterm Elections Report: Price History From 2010 to 2026cryptocurrency trends · 7 days agoA midterm is the US national election held two years after a presidential election. The president is not on the ballot. Voters choose all 435 members of the House of Representatives and about one-third of the 100 senators. Midterms decide…
US Congress Prepares to Bid Farewell to ‘Crypto Queen’ as Trump Backs Harriet Hagemanbloomingbit · 7 days agoAttention is turning to who will succeed Senator Cynthia Lummis, one of Washington’s most prominent cryptocurrency backers, after the Republican lawmaker said she will not seek re-election. Hageman won the Republican primary in August with…
Favorable election results won’t reverse macro pressures on Bitcoin, GSN CEO warnsCryptoNews · 6 days agoBitcoin traded around $77,302 early Tuesday after recovering above $77,600, as US midterm elections put political developments in focus. Yet, the outcome of the vote is unlikely to be the main driver of crypto prices, as financial…
1inch Counsel Expects U.S. Agencies to Lead Crypto RulemakingTokenPost · 6 days agoThe CLARITY Act remains stalled as the SEC pursues fundraising and token guidance and the CFTC seeks White House review of a crypto-market plan. 1inch deputy general counsel Maylea Ma expects U.S. agencies to lead crypto rulemaking over…
Polymarket Hits 100% Odds on Democratic Sweep as Trump Faces Crushing Midterm DefeatCoinGape · 6 days agoAllChained, live data on tokenized treasuries, funds and stablecoins. Who can buy tokenized funds? On-chain prediction market Polymarket reached 100% implied probability of a Democratic sweep of both the House and Senate on November 3…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions