Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
September 30
<1%
0¢
$85.1K
December 31
5%
5¢
5¢
$20.41
$60.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Sen. Fetterman could have dramatic impact on US Senate after midtermsMacon Telegraph · 10 days agoU.S. Sen. John Fetterman isn't on the ballot, but he could have a dramatic impact on the Senate in the coming months. The Pennsylvania senator was elected in 2022 as a Democrat. But as he's shown staunch support for Israel, the U.S.'…
Russia loses 1,670 soldiers and 19 artillery systems over past dayYahoo News · 10 days agoRussia has lost 1,670 soldiers killed and wounded over the past day, bringing its total number of personnel losses to 1,588,170. Details: The total combat losses of the Russian forces between 24 February 2022 and 31 October 2026 are…
Democrats Say the Second Amendment Limits Gun Control. Just Don't Ask Them How.Lucianne · 10 days agoAmong the dozens of amicus briefs filed in defense of "assault weapon" bans last week, there are a few that stand out, either because of the ludicrous nature of their arguments or who's making them.... Democrats Say the Second Amendment…
Democratic and GOP strategists assess midterm landscape in final weekPBS News · 10 days agoTo discuss how the midterm races are shaping up in the final days, Amna Nawaz sat down with Democratic strategist Mo Elleithee and Republican strategist Doug Heye. Well, for more on how the races are shaping up in these final days, we turn…
Berlin mayoral hopeful gets police protection for party conferenceYahoo News · 11 days agoElif Eralp, a leading left-wing politician vying to become Berlin mayor, will receive police protection on Saturday during her party's conference, security sources told dpa on Friday. Eralp is in prime position to become the first far-left…
Trump Sends Video Greetings—and a Tariff Tease—to the Pro-Growth Faction@FreeBeacon · 11 days agoThe brief Trump video, shown on large screens at a Wednesday October 28 celebration event, encapsulated the complicated relationship between Trump and what is sometimes called the supply-side economics or economic freedom wing of the…
Have yourself a Janelle Monáe Halloween: Dress as a fish. Reinvent yourself.Yahoo News · 11 days agoJanelle Monáe is giving Heidi Klum a run for her money. 🐟🎃 Dressed as Phish Boy at their Wondaween Creature Carnival at the Santa Monica Pier, Monáe explained how embracing different creatures helps them transform into the next version of…
Pennsylvania senators take on senior loneliness in bipartisan roundtableYahoo News · 11 days agoPennsylvania's two senators made a rare joint, bipartisan appearance in Pittsburgh Thursday to ramp up the government's response to the national epidemic of lonely seniors. Researchers say one in three seniors report feeling lonely, and…
Man killed during flooding in the Four Corners area last weekYahoo News · 11 days agoEditor's Note: This story has been updated to show that the death occurred in the Four Corners area last week. NEW MEXICO (KRQE) – KRQE News has learned that a man was killed after he got swept away in floodwaters in the Four Corners area…
Washington frustrated by Netanyahu’s surprising election performanceYahoo News · 11 days agoIsrael's election deadlock has dashed hopes in Washington for a quick reset of the US-Israeli relationship, which has come under pressure during Benjamin Netanyahu's tenure. With all votes counted by Friday morning, neither the coalition…
US lawmakers aim to keep China's datacenter tech out of sensitive government systemsMarketScreener · 10 days agoPublished on 09/25/2026 at 06:32 pm EDT - Modified on 09/25/2026 at 06:50 pm EDT WASHINGTON, Sept 25 (Reuters) - A bipartisan group of US lawmakers introduced legislation on Friday to bar the federal government from equipping sensitive…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions