The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
✓ Alabama
>99%
▲ 3
100¢
100¢
$1.4K
✓ Alaska
>99%
▲ 25
100¢
100¢
$56.6K
✓ Arizona
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$86.2K
✓ California
>99%
99¢
100¢
$5K
✓ Connecticut
>99%
▲ 4
100¢
100¢
$465
✓ Delaware
>99%
▼ 2
100¢
100¢
✓ Florida
>99%
100¢
100¢
$43.6K
✓ Georgia
>99%
100¢
100¢
$2.8K
✓ Illinois
>99%
▲ 5
100¢
100¢
$4K
✓ Iowa
>99%
100¢
100¢
$3.3K
✓ Kentucky
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
✓ Maryland
>99%
100¢
100¢
$8.6K
✓ Michigan
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$2.2K
✓ Montana
>99%
▲ 4
100¢
100¢
$406
✓ Nebraska
>99%
▲ 24
100¢
100¢
$839
✓ Nevada
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$1.3K
✓ New Jersey
>99%
▼ 1
94¢
100¢
$5.6K
✓ New York
>99%
100¢
100¢
$3.2K
✓ North Carolina
>99%
▲ 1
100¢
100¢
$2.7K
✓ North Dakota
>99%
▲ 2
100¢
100¢
$15.4K
✓ Ohio
>99%
100¢
100¢
✓ Oklahoma
>99%
▲ 3
100¢
100¢
$589
✓ Pennsylvania
>99%
98¢
100¢
$1.4K
✓ South Carolina
>99%
▲ 3
100¢
100¢
$5.9K
✓ South Dakota
>99%
100¢
100¢
$8.6K
✓ Tennessee
>99%
▲ 18
100¢
100¢
✓ Texas
>99%
100¢
100¢
$4.3K
✓ Virginia
>99%
▲ 13
100¢
100¢
$6.5K
✓ Wisconsin
>99%
99¢
100¢
$598
Mississippi
>99%
▲ 2
99¢
100¢
$8.2K
Kansas
97%
▼ 2
94¢
100¢
$1.4K
Colorado
36%
▲ 9
9¢
62¢
$1.61
$559
Missouri
36%
▲ 8
12¢
59¢
$1.69
$224
Oregon
29%
▲ 12
10¢
47¢
$2.14
$20.6K
West Virginia
27%
▼ 4
12¢
41¢
$2.44
$101
Arkansas
18%
▲ 3
6¢
29¢
$3.45
$795
Louisiana
17%
▼ 13
15¢
19¢
$5.26
$1K
Idaho
16%
▲ 4
11¢
21¢
$4.76
$3.6K
Rhode Island
16%
▼ 6
4¢
28¢
$3.57
$126
Wyoming
16%
8¢
23¢
$4.35
$3.7K
Massachusetts
15%
▼ 3
11¢
19¢
$5.26
$281
Indiana
14%
▼ 4
8¢
21¢
$4.76
$513
Hawaii
13%
▲ 3
6¢
19¢
$5.26
$756
Maine
9%
▲ 4
6¢
12¢
$8.33
$1.1K
Washington
9%
▲ 1
5¢
13¢
$7.69
$4.5K
New Hampshire
9%
▼ 3
3¢
14¢
$7.14
$11.7K
Vermont
7%
▲ 1
4¢
10¢
$10.53
$5.5K
Minnesota
6%
▼ 3
5¢
6¢
$16.67
$5.1K
New Mexico
6%
▼ 2
5¢
6¢
$16.67
$3.9K
Utah
6%
▼ 7
5¢
6¢
$16.67
$1.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions