AOC 2028 run × Mamdani endorsement

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Mar 1, 2028 · prices read 9 min ago

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The odds

55%AOC runs, Mamdani endorses her
  • AOC runs, Mamdani endorses her55%
  • AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses no one10%
  • AOC runs, Mamdani doesn't endorse her9%▲ 1
  • AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Ro Khanna5%▲ 2
  • AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Abdul El-Sayed4%▲ 2
  • AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Bernie Sanders4%▲ 2
  • AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Jon Ossoff4%▲ 1
  • AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Shawn Fain3%▲ 1
  • AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Sara Nelson3%▲ 1
  • AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Gavin Newsom3%▲ 1
  • AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Pete Buttigieg3%▲ 1
  • AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Kamala Harris3%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

AOC runs, Mamdani endorses her: 55% on Nov 13, 55% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
AOC runs, Mamdani endorses her 55% 55¢ 65¢ $1.54
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses no one 10% 9¢ 18¢ $5.56
AOC runs, Mamdani doesn't endorse her 9% ▲ 1 8¢ 15¢ $6.67
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Ro Khanna 5% ▲ 2 4¢ 10¢ $10.10
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Abdul El-Sayed 4% ▲ 2 4¢ 7¢ $15.38
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Bernie Sanders 4% ▲ 2 3¢ 6¢ $16.95
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Jon Ossoff 4% ▲ 1 3¢ 6¢ $16.13
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Shawn Fain 3% ▲ 1 3¢ 6¢ $16.95
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Sara Nelson 3% ▲ 1 3¢ 6¢ $17.86
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Gavin Newsom 3% ▲ 1 3¢ 5¢ $18.52
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Pete Buttigieg 3% ▲ 1 3¢ 5¢ $18.87
AOC doesn't run, Mamdani endorses Kamala Harris 3% ▲ 1 3¢ 5¢ $18.87

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mamdani

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