Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Jon Ossoff
27%
▲ 2
27¢
27¢
$3.65
$14.9M
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
16%
16¢
16¢
$6.21
$15.9M
Gavin Newsom
9%
▼ 2
9¢
9¢
$11.11
$28.7M
Pete Buttigieg
6%
6¢
6¢
$17.86
$12.4M
Kamala Harris
5%
▼ 1
5¢
5¢
$18.52
$14.8M
Josh Shapiro
5%
5¢
5¢
$21.28
$10.6M
Andy Beshear
4%
4¢
4¢
$24.39
$13.7M
Raphael Warnock
4%
4¢
4¢
$27.78
$34.6M
Ro Khanna
2%
▼ 1
2¢
3¢
$40.00
$11.9M
Wes Moore
2%
2¢
2¢
$41.67
$18.8M
Mark Kelly
2%
2¢
2¢
$52.63
$18.2M
James Talarico
2%
▼ 1
2¢
2¢
$55.56
$12M
J.B. Pritzker
2%
2¢
2¢
$62.50
$15.9M
Abdul El-Sayed
1%
1¢
1¢
$71.43
$1.9M
Rahm Emanuel
1%
1¢
1¢
$83.33
$14.8M
Chelsea Clinton
1%
▲ 1
1¢
1¢
$83.33
$51.1M
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
1¢
1¢
$12.6M
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
1¢
1¢
$12.3M
Cory Booker
1%
1¢
1¢
$26.8M
Roy Cooper
1%
1¢
1¢
$32.5M
Michelle Obama
<1%
0¢
1¢
$26.8M
Shawn Fain
<1%
1¢
$757K
Ruben Gallego
<1%
0¢
0¢
$9.3M
Jon Stewart
<1%
0¢
0¢
$24.9M
Hillary Clinton
<1%
0¢
0¢
$44.4M
Bernie Sanders
<1%
0¢
0¢
$53M
Chris Murphy
<1%
0¢
0¢
$17.7M
Chris Van Hollen
<1%
0¢
0¢
$2.9M
Stephen A. Smith
<1%
0¢
0¢
$23.5M
Mark Cuban
<1%
0¢
0¢
$23.9M
Gina Raimondo
<1%
0¢
0¢
$36.2M
Zohran Mamdani
<1%
0¢
0¢
$39.1M
Jared Polis
<1%
0¢
0¢
$27.6M
Barack Obama
<1%
0¢
0¢
$34.5M
Phil Murphy
<1%
0¢
0¢
$43M
Hunter Biden
<1%
0¢
0¢
$44.9M
Jasmine Crockett
<1%
0¢
0¢
$36.5M
Abigail Spanberger
<1%
0¢
0¢
$3.2M
Hakeem Jeffries
<1%
0¢
0¢
$2.6M
Elissa Slotkin
<1%
0¢
0¢
$2.1M
Josh Stein
<1%
0¢
0¢
$2.7M
Mitch Landrieu
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.4M
Tim Walz
<1%
0¢
$44.4M
MrBeast
<1%
0¢
$41.3M
Oprah Winfrey
<1%
0¢
$54.7M
John Fetterman
<1%
0¢
$26.1M
Liz Cheney
<1%
0¢
$39M
LeBron James
<1%
0¢
$44.4M
George Clooney
<1%
0¢
$43.9M
Andrew Yang
<1%
0¢
$49.3M
Beto O’Rourke
<1%
0¢
$43.1M
Kim Kardashian
<1%
0¢
$43M
Graham Platner
<1%
0¢
$8.7M
Adam Schiff
<1%
0¢
$717K
Alex Padilla
<1%
0¢
$1.1M
Adam Hamilton
<1%
0¢
$985K
Scott Colom
<1%
0¢
$495K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Gavin Newsom’s sees dramatic shift in presidential odds after midterm electionCalifornia Post · 2 days agoCalifornia Gov. Gavin Newsom‘s hopes of making it to the White House may be taking a hit after the midterm elections, with his odds of winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination plunging to an all-time low on prediction markets…
Jon Ossoff wins 2028 straw poll at progressive conferenceWashington Examiner · 37 h agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
Could outgoing California Gov. Gavin Newsom run for President?CBS News · 8 h agoGov. Gavin Newsom, who will leave office as California governor in January, is among the possible Democratic candidates for the 2028 presidential election. LA Times California Politics Editor Phil Willon talks about the possibility. Could…
Gov Gavin Newsom’s death row commutations spark backlashFox News · 3 days agoFox News Gov Gavin Newsom’s death row commutations spark backlash Orange County DA Todd Spitzer criticizes California Gov. Gavin Newsom for issuing the largest mass clemency orders in U.S. history on ‘Fox News @ Night.’
Why Republicans should fear Georgia Democrat Jon OssoffNew York Post · 3 days agoRepublicans have a lot of things to worry about after their catastrophic 2026 midterm, and one of them might be Jon Ossoff, the newly reelected Democratic senator from Georgia. The presidential buzz had begun even before Ossoff won…
Kamala Harris Gets Just 0.6% in 2028 Straw Poll as Jon Ossoff LeadsEURweb | Black News · 4 h agoRep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) finished second with 16.6%, followed by former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg at 13.9%, according to results published by Crooked Media. Harris’s six votes, or 0.6%, tied her for 16th place…
Report: Mamdani Seeks Sway in '28 Democratic Presidential RaceYahoo News · 17 h agoNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani is quietly working to build support for a progressive or labor-aligned candidate in the 2028 presidential election, Axios reported. He has been holding private meetings with prominent union leaders amid…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions