Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Jon Ossoff
19%
▲ 2
19¢
19¢
$5.29
$7M
JD Vance
17%
17¢
18¢
$5.71
$18.9M
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
12¢
12¢
$8.55
$14.4M
Marco Rubio
9%
9¢
9¢
$10.75
$13.5M
Gavin Newsom
8%
8¢
8¢
$12.99
$19.1M
Ron DeSantis
6%
▼ 1
6¢
6¢
$17.86
$13M
Kamala Harris
3%
▼ 1
3¢
3¢
$32.26
$9.8M
Pete Buttigieg
3%
3¢
3¢
$37.04
$8.7M
Josh Shapiro
3%
2¢
3¢
$35.71
$7.9M
Andy Beshear
2%
2¢
2¢
$50.00
$19.5M
Thomas Massie
2%
2¢
2¢
$55.56
$8.8M
Tucker Carlson
2%
2¢
2¢
$62.50
$14.6M
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
1¢
2¢
$66.67
$8.6M
Donald Trump
1%
1¢
1¢
$76.92
$11M
Raphael Warnock
1%
1¢
1¢
$76.92
$1.5M
James Talarico
1%
1¢
1¢
$71.43
$9.1M
Wes Moore
1%
1¢
1¢
$90.91
$13M
Mark Kelly
1%
1¢
1¢
$100.00
$1.1M
Ro Khanna
1%
1¢
1¢
$11.1M
Abdul El-Sayed
1%
1¢
1¢
$80.9K
JB Pritzker
1%
1¢
1¢
$13.4M
Ivanka Trump
1%
1¢
1¢
$8.9M
Ted Cruz
1%
1¢
1¢
$1M
Glenn Youngkin
<1%
0¢
1¢
$29M
Donald Trump Jr.
<1%
0¢
1¢
$14.2M
Rahm Emanuel
<1%
0¢
1¢
$859K
Gretchen Whitmer
<1%
0¢
0¢
$15.9M
Nikki Haley
<1%
0¢
0¢
$32.2M
Elon Musk
<1%
0¢
0¢
$28.4M
Michelle Obama
<1%
0¢
0¢
$19.7M
Jamie Dimon
<1%
0¢
0¢
$11.2M
Tom Cotton
<1%
0¢
0¢
$2.2M
Cory Booker
<1%
0¢
0¢
$23.9K
Tulsi Gabbard
<1%
0¢
$35.7M
Zohran Mamdani
<1%
0¢
$23.2M
Elissa Slotkin
<1%
0¢
$1.2M
Stephen Smith
<1%
0¢
$34.1M
Tim Walz
<1%
0¢
$45M
Vivek Ramaswamy
<1%
0¢
$38.2M
Greg Abbott
<1%
0¢
$35.5M
LeBron James
<1%
0¢
$55.2M
Kim Kardashian
<1%
0¢
$40.4M
Eric Trump
<1%
0¢
$19M
Pete Hegseth
<1%
0¢
$10.6M
Jalen Brunson
<1%
0¢
$3.3M
Abigail Spanberger
<1%
0¢
$979K
Hakeem Jeffries
<1%
0¢
$309K
Adam Schiff
<1%
0¢
$952K
Josh Stein
<1%
0¢
$1.1M
Alex Padilla
<1%
0¢
$854K
Candace Owens
<1%
0¢
$591K
Tim Scott
<1%
0¢
$1.1M
Mike Johnson
<1%
0¢
$411K
Doug Burgum
<1%
0¢
$422K
John N. Kennedy
<1%
0¢
$43K
Rick Scott
<1%
0¢
$521K
James Fishback
<1%
0¢
$46K
Marjorie Taylor Greene
<1%
0¢
$8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Abdul El-Sayed’s Win Could Launch Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Into the 2028 RaceThe Washington Sun · 4 days agoNovember 5, 2026 05:13 a.m. DETROIT — Democrat Abdul El-Sayed won Michigan’s Senate race with an unapologetic, progressive approach to politics — the type many Democrats were skeptical could win in a battleground state. He shares that…
Poll Of The Day: Will JD Vance Ever Be President?Newsweek · 4 days agoVote in today's poll: have Vice President JD Vance's chances of succeeding Donald Trump been wrecked by the GOP's midterm defeat? - Global Iran WarRussia-UkraineMiddle EastChina And AsiaLive BlogBetter PlanetAll World News Vice President…
President Trump weighs in on JD Vance's assessment of Republican lossesCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change President Trump weighs in on JD Vance's assessment of Republican losses Six people killed in Brooklyn house fire Author Michael…
JD Vance breaking with Donald Trump is a 'delicate dance,' GOP advisor saysFox News · 4 days agoFox News JD Vance breaking with Donald Trump is a 'delicate dance,' GOP advisor says Former NRSC senior advisor Matt Whitlock discusses Vice President JD Vance's comments on the Iran war's impact on the midterm elections on 'The Story.'
President JD Vance? More slogging through a sewer of odious politics.The Washington Post · 4 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Temperate Americans of…
JD Vance’s temporary crash pad near Mar-a-Lago asks $110K per monthNew York Post · 4 days agoRepublicans feeling the chill of a blue wave can seek sunny shelter at Vice President JD Vance‘s temporary Mar-a-Lago crash pad. It’s one of President Trump’s guest houses that is now on the market as a $110,000-a-month rental, or $1.32…
Inside Vice President JD Vance's blunt message for RepublicansFox News · 5 days agoFox News Inside Vice President JD Vance's blunt message for Republicans Fox News White House correspondent Aishah Hasnie has the latest on President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance's reactions to the Democratic Party's midterm…
Jon Ossoff showed Democrats how to channel voter anger about corruption and corporationsThe Washington Post · 5 days agoThe Washington Post Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff came into his re-election contest judged the most vulnerable incumbent in the Senate, the only Democratic senator running in a state Trump won two years ago. On election night, Ossoff was the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions