Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $574K today · $732M traded · $10.2M at stake · prices read 5 min ago

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The odds

31%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance31%▼ 1
  • Marco Rubio20%▼ 1
  • Ron DeSantis15%
  • Tucker Carlson4%
  • John McEntee4%
  • Ted Cruz3%
  • Thomas Massie3%
  • Glenn Youngkin2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Nikki Haley1%
  • Byron Donalds1%
31 more
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Rand Paul1%
  • Joe Kent1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
  • Tom Cotton1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%

How the odds have moved

J.D. Vance: 44% on Oct 20, 31% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
J.D. Vance 31% ▼ 1 31¢ 31¢ $3.23 $17M
Marco Rubio 20% ▼ 1 20¢ 20¢ $5.05 $11.5M
Ron DeSantis 15% 14¢ 15¢ $6.54 $16.7M
Tucker Carlson 4% 4¢ 4¢ $26.32 $14M
John McEntee 4% 3¢ 4¢ $26.32 $1.6M
Ted Cruz 3% 3¢ 3¢ $33.33 $20M
Thomas Massie 3% 3¢ 3¢ $35.71 $6.4M
Glenn Youngkin 2% 2¢ 2¢ $41.67 $9.1M
Brian Kemp 2% 2¢ 2¢ $55.56 $18.5M
Donald Trump Jr. 2% 2¢ 2¢ $62.50 $9.9M
Nikki Haley 1% 1¢ 1¢ $10.9M
Byron Donalds 1% 1¢ 1¢ $44.9M
Donald Trump 1% 1¢ 1¢ $9.9M
Ivanka Trump 1% 1¢ 1¢ $9M
Josh Hawley 1% 1¢ 1¢ $20.7M
Rand Paul 1% 1¢ 1¢ $19.9M
Joe Kent 1% 1¢ 1¢ $9.9M
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1% 1¢ 1¢ $36.8M
Marjorie Taylor Greene 1% 1¢ 1¢ $7M
Tom Cotton 1% 1¢ 1¢ $2M
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. <1% 0¢ 0¢ $17M
Tim Scott <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.8M
Rick Scott <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.1M
Elon Musk <1% 0¢ 0¢ $32M
Katie Britt <1% 0¢ 0¢ $29.1M
Candace Owens <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.6M
John N. Kennedy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.1M
Pete Hegseth <1% 0¢ 0¢ $9.6M
Tulsi Gabbard <1% 0¢ 0¢ $15.2M
Vivek Ramaswamy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $16.3M
Greg Abbott <1% 0¢ 0¢ $21.6M
Elise Stefanik <1% 0¢ 0¢ $28.3M
Kristi Noem <1% 0¢ 0¢ $37.9M
Mike Pence <1% 0¢ 0¢ $43.9M
Steve Bannon <1% 0¢ 0¢ $23.2M
Kim Kardashian <1% 0¢ 0¢ $28.7M
Eric Trump <1% 0¢ 0¢ $10.7M
Doug Burgum <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.9M
Erika Kirk <1% 0¢ $19.2M
Matt Gaetz <1% 0¢ $21M
John Thune <1% 0¢ $38.7M
Tom Brady <1% 0¢ $33.3M
Mike Johnson <1% 0¢ $1M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Crypto.com

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

32%JD Vance
  • JD Vance32%
  • Marco Rubio19%
  • Ron DeSantis17%
  • Tucker Carlson5%
8 more
  • Glenn Youngkin4%
  • Ted Cruz4%
  • Brian Kemp4%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.3%
  • Nikki Haley3%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.3%
  • Tulsi Gabbard3%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy3%
Crypto.comCloses Feb 1, 2029 · $2.9K today · $2.9K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Kalshi

2028 Republican presidential nominee

34%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance34%
  • Marco Rubio18%▼ 3
  • Ron DeSantis17%
  • Tucker Carlson3%
39 more
  • Glenn Youngkin3%
  • Brian Kemp3%▲ 1
  • Ted Cruz3%
  • Thomas Massie2%
  • Donald J. Trump2%
  • Nikki Haley1%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Byron Donalds1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
  • Tom Cotton1%
  • Rand Paul1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Chris Christie<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • John Kennedy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Spencer Pratt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Jeff Bezos<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Nicki Minaj<1%
  • Lara Trump<1%
  • Ben Shapiro<1%
  • Wesley Hunt<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $115K today · $4.9M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Republican Presidential, J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio

Search ›
  • Trump Reflects on Republicans’ Midterm Losses, Reacts to J.D. Vance’s Own Analysis in ’60 Minutes’ InterviewThe Hollywood Reporter · 26 h agoThe president offers a few reasons why he believes the Democrats gave his party a crushing defeat last week. President Donald Trump reflected on the Republicans’ big losses last week with 60 Minutes correspondent Ross Douthat in his first…
  • Marco Rubio defends Pete Hegseth amid Massie's impeachment pushFox News · 5 h ago'America Reports' covers State Secretary Marco Rubio's defense of War Secretary Pete Hegseth amid a push for impeachment by Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky. Marco Rubio defends Pete Hegseth amid Massie's impeachment push 'America Reports' covers…
  • Marco Rubio defends Trump's Iran actionFox News · 30 h agoSecretary of State Marco Rubio defended President Donald Trump's actions against Iran on Sunday, arguing he confronted a national security threat that previous presidents failed to address. Marco Rubio defends Trump's Iran action Secretary…
  • Marco Rubio says US has right to defend itselfFox News · 30 h agoSecretary of State Marco Rubio speaks to reporters while traveling to a G7 meeting in Paris. Marco Rubio says US has right to defend itself Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks to reporters while traveling to a G7 meeting in Paris.
  • WJ Straw Poll: Ron DeSantis Surges in First Survey Since MidtermsThe Western Journal · 12 h agoFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis surged into second place in The Western Journal’s latest GOP 2028 Presidential Straw Poll, gaining 11 points in a week as support for Vice President J.D. Vance plunged. DeSantis received 16.6 percent of the vote…
  • Trump says he may not endorse in 2028 Republican presidential primaryMacon Telegraph · 26 h agoWASHINGTON - President Donald Trump said he may stay out of the 2028 Republican Party presidential primary and not endorse anyone to be his GOP successor. "Probably, not necessarily," Trump said in a Nov. 8 interview on CBS' "60 Minutes"…
  • Marco Rubio warns top staff against conflicts of interest as he tightens control of state department after midterms: reportNew York Post · 2 days agoWASHINGTON, Nov 7 (Reuters) – US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has moved to tighten control over the State Department, telling senior ​officials that staff must stay in their lanes and avoid actions that present conflicts of interest…
  • Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis plans another run at White HouseThe Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. Florida’s status as…
  • As MAGA Falters, Ron DeSantis Steps Out of the ShadowsNewsweek · 3 days agoNov 06, 2026 at 11:39 AM EST Florida’s outgoing governor Ron DeSantis has been fiercely criticizing Republicans since the GOP’s shellacking in the midterm elections, raising questions about whether the offensive is the opening gambit of…
  • Ron DeSantis cannot prevail against the political tideVillages-News.com · 20 h agoIt is a false hope that Ron DeSantis can take on the task of wading through the turbulent waters and come out successful. The election has clearly changed the landscape for the next decade. Democrats swept across blue and red states alike…
  • Ron DeSantis says U.S. went too far in Iran conflictThe Miami Times · 14 h agoWith 1,090 votes now separating him from U.S. Rep. María Elvira Salazar, Democrat Eliott Rodriguez is suing Miami-Dade Supervisor of Elections Alina Garcia to keep her from making ballot and recount decisions in Florida’s 27th…
  • Gov. Ron DeSantis Warns of More GOP Senate Lossestwitchy.com · 32 h ago"Republicans could lose even more Senate seats in 2028 if the GOP doesn't get its act together," tweets Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R). Gov. Ron DeSantis Warns of More GOP Senate Losses "Republicans could lose even more Senate seats in 2028…

Related markets

All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

28%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff28%▲ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
  • Gavin Newsom9%▼ 2
54 more
  • Pete Buttigieg6%
  • Kamala Harris5%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Raphael Warnock4%
  • Ro Khanna3%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • James Talarico2%▼ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker2%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%▲ 1
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Shawn Fain1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Adam Hamilton<1%
  • Scott Colom<1%
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

18%Jon Ossoff
  • Jon Ossoff18%▲ 1
  • JD Vance17%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%
55 more
  • Marco Rubio9%
  • Gavin Newsom8%
  • Ron DeSantis5%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris3%▼ 1
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Thomas Massie2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.<1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Cory Booker<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
  • James Fishback<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
Elections › President 2028

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

94%Pete Buttigieg
  • Pete Buttigieg94%
  • Andy Beshear92%▲ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker90%▲ 1
35 more
  • Rahm Emanuel88%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro88%▲ 3
  • Ro Khanna87%▼ 3
  • Gavin Newsom82%▼ 3
  • Cory Booker78%▼ 2
  • Mark Kelly76%▲ 1
  • Wes Moore73%▼ 3
  • Jon Ossoff73%▲ 5
  • Ruben Gallego70%▲ 23
  • Chris Van Hollen66%▼ 7
  • Kamala Harris64%▲ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez60%▲ 5
  • Mitch Landrieu60%
  • Raphael Warnock58%▼ 6
  • Elissa Slotkin46%▼ 8
  • Gretchen Whitmer45%▲ 4
  • Jared Polis35%
  • Phil Murphy27%
  • Chris Murphy27%▼ 2
  • Dean Phillips24%▲ 2
  • Mikie Sherrill22%
  • Shawn Fain21%▼ 2
  • Roy Cooper18%▲ 1
  • Amy Klobuchar14%▼ 4
  • Mark Cuban13%▼ 6
  • James Talarico12%▼ 1
  • Stephen A. Smith11%▼ 2
  • Hunter Biden11%▼ 4
  • John Fetterman10%▼ 2
  • Abigail Spanberger9%▼ 8
  • Jon Stewart8%
  • Michelle Obama7%
  • Tim Walz5%▲ 1
  • Hillary Clinton4%
  • Barack Obama2%
KalshiCloses Jan 1, 2028 · $16.8K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions