Will California Proposition 42 receive more “Yes” votes than Proposition 40? (Nov 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Dec 11 · $4 today · $2.9K traded · $1.6K at stake · prices read 86 min ago

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The odds

97%chance▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 1% on Oct 23, 97% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 4, 11 PM ET85% → 98%
  2. Oct 28, 1 PM ET1% → 10%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 97% ▼ 1 94¢ $1.03 3.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: California Proposition, Proposition

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  • California Proposition 41 resultsAP News · 5 days agoLive results for the 2026 California proposition 41 election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. California Proposition 41 results When the nation waits for results, who do you…
  • California Proposition 37 resultsAP News · 5 days agoLive results for the 2026 California proposition 37 election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. California Proposition 37 results When the nation waits for results, who do you…
  • California Proposition 42 resultsAP News · 5 days agoLive results for the 2026 California proposition 42 election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. California Proposition 42 results When the nation waits for results, who do you…
  • California Proposition 39 resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for the 2026 California proposition 39 election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. California Proposition 39 results When the nation waits for results, who do you…
  • Latest on California Propositions 3, 39 and 40 resuls in midtermsCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News Latest on California Propositions 3, 39 and 40 resuls in midterms Steve Hilton addresses crowd after CBS News projects Xavier Becerra next California governor Xavier Becerra speaks after CBS News projects him next California…
  • Where California Propositions stand as votes are tallied: Prop 40 wealth tax, home loan funds and moreCalifornia Post · 5 days agoBallots are still being processed and counted across California, with several important Golden State propositions coming down to the wire, with final certification coming December 11. For the latest live election updates, follow the LA…
  • Proposition 43 rejected by California voters, AP projectsCBS News · 12 h agoUpdated on: November 8, 2026 / 3:29 PM PST / CBS LA California voters have rejected Proposition 43, the ballot measure aimed at making it harder to enact local tax measures, AP projects. Prop 43 would have made it harder to increase local…
  • Proposition 66: California Voters Approve Faster Death Penalty ProcessCBS News · 4 days agoNovember 22, 2016 / 8:32 PM PST / CBS Sacramento Proposition 66 continued to hold a 51 percent margin of support Tuesday after two weeks of counting millions of ballots in a contentious race that also saw voters reject a dueling measure to…
  • California Proposition 38 seeks to authorize state bonds for immunology medical researchCBS News · 6 days agoNovember 3, 2026 / 6:50 AM PST / CBS LA California voters are weighing Proposition 38, which would authorize the state to sell $8.4 billion in bonds to fund immunology research and therapies in state institutes and universities. This comes…
  • California's Proposition 4 would allow statewide public financing of political campaignsCBS News · 6 days agoNovember 3, 2026 / 6:47 AM PST / CBS LA California voters are set to decide on Proposition 4, which would let local governments establish public financing for candidates for political office. If passed, the initiative would fund portions…
  • California Proposition 1 seeks to authorize state bonds for housing affordability programsCBS News · 6 days agoNovember 3, 2026 / 6:28 AM PST / CBS LA As California faces a housing affordability crisis, voters will weigh Proposition 1, which aims to alleviate the issue through bond funding. The proposition is a legislative measure that would allow…
  • California Proposition 2 seeks to increase Rainy Day Fund deposit cap by 10%CBS News · 6 days agoNovember 3, 2026 / 6:43 AM PST / CBS LA California voters will determine whether to approve Proposition 2, a constitutional amendment that would increase the state's Rainy Day Fund deposit cap from 10% to 20% of its General Fund tax…

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