Chile rate decision in October (Oct 27, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Economy › Central banks Closed Oct 27 · $188 today · $9.3K traded · $6.1K at stake

Settled Maintain current rateA day before, traders gave it 94%.

The last odds before it closed

93%Maintain current rate

✓ Maintain current rate93%
Cut more than 25bps3%▼ 1
Cut 1-25bps3%
Hike 1-25bps3%
Hike more than 25bps2%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 96% on Oct 20, 93% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Last odds	Contracts
✓ Maintain current rate	93%	8.9K
✗ Cut more than 25bps	3%	1.8K
✗ Cut 1-25bps	3%	1.4K
✗ Hike 1-25bps	3%	13.1K
✗ Hike more than 25bps	2%	8.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Chile

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Aidan Chiles throws for 3 TD, runs in 2 more, and No. 24 Northwestern beats Rutgers 42-14CBS News · 16 days agoOctober 24, 2026 / 3:28 PM CDT / AP Aidan Chiles threw for three touchdowns for the third time this season and rushed for two others to lead No. 24 Northwestern past Rutgers 42-14 on Saturday for a fourth straight victory. Caleb Komolafe…
Kast’s multipronged security agenda: The bipartisan construction of a police state in ChileWorld Socialist Web Site · 15 days agoPresented by Kast on August 5 around four pillars—“relentless pursuit,” “apprehend without excuses,” “prosecute with the full force of the law,” and “sentencing without leniency”—the ACOT’s concrete content is a battery of measures aimed…
Chile Strengthens Port Controls As China’s Fishing Fleet Expands Logistics Network – AnalysisEurasia Review · 16 days agoAmid growing international scrutiny of China’s distant-water fishing fleet over allegations of illegal fishing, forced labor, and concerns about its implications for maritime security, Chilean authorities have stepped up inspections of…
Mag. 4.4 earthquake - Provincia de El Loa, Region de Antofagasta, Chile, on Sunday, Oct 25, 2026, at 01:23 pm (Universal Time) -narrow 920 body · 16 days agoDetailed info, map, data, reports, updates about this earthquake: Moderate mag. 4.4 earthquake - Provincia de El Loa, Region de Antofagasta, Chile, on Sunday, Oct 25, 2026, at 01:23 pm (Universal Time) - Look up quakes in: Mag. 4.4…
Traders encouraged to tap Chile marketDaily Tribune · 16 days agoPhilippine exporters are being encouraged to explore Chile as a potential destination for their products, with a proposed bilateral trade agreement expected to improve market access and create new opportunities for local businesses in…
Mag. 3.9 earthquake - Off Coast OF Antofagasta, Chile, on Sunday, Oct 25, 2026, at 05:22 am (Universal Time) -narrow 920 body · 16 days agoDetailed info, map, data, reports, updates about this earthquake: Light mag. 3.9 earthquake - Off Coast OF Antofagasta, Chile, on Sunday, Oct 25, 2026, at 05:22 am (Universal Time) - Look up quakes in: Mag. 3.9 earthquake - Off Coast OF…
Mag. 4.0 earthquake - 95 km southwest of Copiapo, Copiapo, Region de Atacama, Chile, on Sunday, Oct 25, 2026, at 09:17 am (Universal Time) -narrow 920 body · 16 days agoDetailed info, map, data, reports, updates about this earthquake: Moderate mag. 4.0 earthquake - 95 km southwest of Copiapo, Copiapo, Region de Atacama, Chile, on Sunday, Oct 25, 2026, at 09:17 am (Universal Time) - Look up quakes in: Mag…
Santiago Marathon in Chile on 16 May 2027The Rio Times · 16 days agoSantiago’s marathon runs on Sunday, 16 May 2027. Entry opened on Thursday, 15 October 2026. The Itaú Santiago Marathon runs on Sunday, 16 May 2027, from the Palacio de La Moneda in central Santiago, Chile. Entry is open for a marathon, a…
Ironman 70.3 Pucón in Chile on 10 January 2027The Rio Times · 16 days agoCHILE · PUCÓN TRIATHLON The Itaú IRONMAN 70.3 Pucón triathlon is on Sunday, 10 January 2027, in a lake town in southern Chile. Registration is open, and visitors should check the volcano alert before they book. The Itaú IRONMAN 70.3 Pucón…
Lithium Chile (OTCMKTS:LTMCF) Stock Price Up 15.2% – Should You Buy?Markets Daily · 16 days agoPosted by Mitch Edgeman on Oct 24th, 2026 Shares of Lithium Chile Inc. (OTCMKTS:LTMCF – Get Free Report) were up 15.2% on Thursday. The stock traded as high as $0.2073 and last traded at $0.2073. 1,822 shares were traded during mid-day…
College football highlights: Aidan Chiles torches Rutgers with five TDs - NBC SportsNBC Sports · 16 days agoAidan Chiles brought his best to Ryan Field on Saturday afternoon, where he recorded five total touchdowns to lead Northwestern to a lopsided win over Rutgers. Highlights: Chiles torches Rutgers with five TDs

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Economy › Central banks

Bank of England decision in December?

58%No change

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25 bps increase42%▲ 4
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Economy › Central banks

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

89%No Change

No Change89%▲ 1
25 bps decrease7%▲ 1
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Bank of Canada Decision in December?

68%No Change

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Economy › Central banks

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

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25 bps increase76%▲ 11
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCentral Bank of Chile, Trading Economics

Trading closedOct 27, 2026 4:59 PM ET

Traded$9.3K (33,526 contracts)

Today$188

This week$1.3K

At stake$6.1K

In the news21 headlines today, 218 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Central Bank of Chile takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its October Monetary Policy Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions