Bank of Korea Decision (Nov 26, 2026)
<1%Hike 50+ bp
- Hike 50+ bp<1%
- Hike 25 bp<1%
- Hold<1%
- Cut 25 bp<1%
1 more
- Cut 50+ bp<1%
Install
Bank of Korea rate decision in November (Nov 25, 2026 meeting)
The odds
97%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps97%▼ 1
- Maintain current rate2%▲ 1
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
How the odds have moved
Hike 1-25bps: 74% on Oct 22, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 7, 12 AM ETHike 1-25bps: 90% → 98%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 28, 12 AM ETHike 1-25bps: 74% → 89%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 23, 12 AM ETHike 1-25bps: 74% → 68%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 97% | ▼ 1 | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 2.4K |
| Maintain current rate | 2% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 421 |
| Cut 1-25bps | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 202 | ||
| Hike more than 25bps | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.8K | ||
| Cut more than 25bps | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 968 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on ForecastEx
- Bank of Korea rate decision in November (Nov 25, 2026 meeting)Hike 50+ bpKalshi 97%ForecastEx <1%97 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The same question on Polymarket
- Bank of Korea rate decision in November (Nov 25, 2026 meeting)Cut 25 bpKalshi 1%Polymarket <1%1 pts apart
Bank of Korea decision in November?
97%25 bps hike
- 25 bps hike97%
- No Change2%
- 50+ bps hike1%
- 25 bps cut<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps cut<1%
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Bank of Korea
Search ›- Harvard's Rogoff to Speak at Bank of Korea on Debt and GrowthLecture Set for the 12th on "Rethinking Secular Stagnation" Talk for BOK Staff Comes at Governor Shin Hyun-song's Invitation The BOK's Economic Research Institute will host the lecture for bank staff on the 12th, the central bank said on…
- Bank of Korea expects inflation near 3% in NovemberBreakingthenews.net
- Bank of Korea: "Inflationary Pressure Persists in Personal Services and Durable Goods"The Bank of Korea projects that the consumer price index will remain in the high 2 percent range through November. Accumulated cost pressures are currently being reflected in prices for services and durable goods, while international oil…
- Citi Maintains Forecast for Rate Hikes in November and Next February Despite KOSPI PlungeCitibank Korea has maintained its forecast that the Bank of Korea will raise the base interest rate by 0.25 percentage points each in November and February of next year, despite the sharp decline in the KOSPI. While rising semiconductor…
- Bank of Korea Surveys 31 Financial Firms on Crypto Crash ImpactThe Bank of Korea is asking 31 banks and brokerages how an exchange shutdown, a crypto market slump or heavy losses at another financial firm would affect them. The survey covers 18 banks and 13 brokerages, with responses due Nov. 4. It…
- AI Labor Displacement and the Next Great Economic DivideTable 1. Labor Costs and First Year of Sustainable Robotic Production by Economy In 2036, if 80% of tasks are automated, the cost of human-equivalent work will decrease from $51/hr to $15/hr in Germany. Vietnam's cost would remain near…
- Korea's chip-driven growth faces risks from potential US data center curbsKorea is facing growing concerns that a sharp stock market decline triggered by fears of U.S. restrictions on artificial intelligence (AI) data center construction could spill over into the real economy, as such curbs, if implemented…
- Korea's dependency ratio to rise from OECD's lowest to highest by 2048Older people line up for a free lunch outside Tapgol Park in Jongno District, Seoul, Nov. 1. Yonhap Korea is on course to have the highest total dependency ratio among OECD members by 2048, up from the lowest this year, as population aging…
- Korean bonds gain as stock rout sends investors seeking safetyThe Kospi is shown in the dealing room at the Hana Bank headquarters in Seoul, after the index plummeted by more than 6% to close just barely above the 5,000-point mark South Korea’s stock market suffered another sharp sell-off on Friday…
- Bank of Korea Surveys 31 Banks and Brokerages on Crypto RisksThe Bank of Korea has reportedly asked banks and brokerages how crypto-related risks could affect their operations. The questions cover hacks, market crashes and losses at other financial firms. The central bank began surveying 18 banks…
- Seoul’s current account surplus hits a new highThe Star Seoul’s current account surplus hits a new high SEOUL: South Korea’s current account surplus jumped to a record in September, fuelled by booming semiconductor exports as global investment in artificial intelligence (AI) continues…
- IBK expands Kosdaq support with new MOU, W337.5b in TF investmentsExpanded financial and management support for listed firms Industrial Bank of Korea has agreed to expand financial and non-financial support for Kosdaq-listed companies in partnership with the Korea Association of Kosdaq Listed Companies…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions