The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Alexi Giannoulias
73%
▲ 4
73¢
77¢
$1.30
39.9K
Brandon Johnson
11%
11¢
12¢
$8.33
29.3K
Susana Mendoza
8%
▼ 3
8¢
10¢
$10.10
33.1K
Willie Wilson
4%
▼ 1
2¢
6¢
$16.67
18.2K
Mike Quigley
3%
▼ 1
3¢
4¢
$27.78
16.0K
Matt Brewer
1%
▲ 1
1¢
2¢
$50.00
16.5K
Maria Pappas
1%
0¢
2¢
$50.00
10.2K
Joe Holberg
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
9.4K
George Cardenas
<1%
1¢
$100.00
655
Liam Stanton
<1%
1¢
$100.00
7.8K
Lisa Madigan
<1%
1¢
$100.00
582
Lisa Nee
<1%
1¢
$100.00
John Kitover
<1%
1¢
$100.00
2.5K
Toni Brooks
<1%
1¢
$100.00
101
Rahm Emanuel
<1%
0¢
0¢
1.1K
Paul Vallas
<1%
0¢
0¢
878
Kam Buckner
<1%
0¢
0¢
811
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chicago Mayor, Alexi Giannoulias, Brandon Johnson
Chicago mayoral candidate Susana Mendoza calls for building more housingCBS News · 11 days agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Chicago mayoral candidate…
In City Club speech, Chicago mayoral candidate Susana Mendoza touts "growth plan"CBS News · 11 days agoOctober 29, 2026 / 2:49 PM CDT / CBS Chicago Retiring Illinois Comptroller and Chicago mayoral candidate Susana Mendoza addressed the City Club of Chicago this week, introducing what she called a growth plan for Chicago. In the speech on…
All 50 Chicago aldermen take pay raise, Mayor Brandon Johnson skips itChicago Tribune · 10 days agoAs Chicago’s 50 aldermen scramble to balance the city’s budget, they will have one new cost to pay for: raises they gave themselves. Every member of the City Council elected to take the 2027 pay bump, according to budget documents…
Rep. Mike Quigley updates purpose of his political committee to suggest mayoral bidCBS News · 12 days agoOctober 2, 2025 / 8:23 AM CDT / CBS Chicago U.S. Rep. Mike Quigley (D-Illinois) updated the purpose of his state campaign committee to indicate he is running for Chicago mayor. In a filing with the Illinois State Board of Elections on…
Illinois governor still opposed to Chicago mayor's 'head tax' planTelegraphHerald.com · 11 days agoIllinois Gov. JB Pritzker on Thursday reiterated his opposition to a per-employee corporate tax in Chicago, as Mayor Brandon Johnson again proposes one as part of his latest city budget pitch. Trump rally in Dubuque back on, RNC says…
Gov. JB Pritzker again takes dim view of Mayor Brandon Johnson’s head tax planChicago Tribune · 11 days agoGov. JB Pritzker on Thursday reiterated his opposition to a per-employee corporate tax in Chicago, as Mayor Brandon Johnson again proposes one as part of his latest city budget pitch. “I do not think that is a great way to provide revenue…
Chicago mayoral race: Why some of the 15 candidates could be knocked off the ballotFOX 32 Chicago · 13 days agoFifteen candidates have filed to challenge Mayor Brandon Johnson, but that crowded field may not last. Starting Tuesday, candidates can challenge their rivals’ petition signatures in an effort to knock them off the ballot. CHICAGO…
Hyde Park CollaBOOration aims to keep holiday safe for teensCBS News · 11 days agoCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Hyde Park CollaBOOration…
Who is running for Chicago mayor? What to know as nominating period endsNBC Chicago · 14 days agoThe deadline to submit 12,500 valid signatures to get onto the ballot in the Chicago mayoral race has officially passed, and a total of 16 candidates ultimately submitted those petitions. Among those who did were incumbent Mayor Brandon…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions