Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) (Before Nov 1, 2028)

Kalshi Elections › President 2028 Closes Oct 31, 2028 · $2 today · $4.7K traded · $4.3K at stake · prices read 50 min ago

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The odds

23%Rahm Emanuel
  • Rahm Emanuel23%▲ 2
  • Ro Khanna15%▲ 1
  • Pete Buttigieg10%▲ 2
  • Andy Beshear10%▼ 2
  • Kamala Harris9%
  • Gavin Newsom6%
  • Cory Booker5%▲ 1
  • Jon Ossoff3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Josh Shapiro2%▼ 1
  • J.B. Pritzker2%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez1%
21 more
  • James Talarico1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jasmine Crockett1%
  • Graham Platner1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama1%
  • Beto O'Rourke1%
  • Mitch Landrieu1%
  • Stephen A. Smith1%
  • Mark Cuban1%
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Ruben Gallego1%
  • Elissa Slotkin1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Andrew Yang1%
  • Roy Cooper1%
  • Jared Polis1%
  • Amy Klobuchar1%
  • Elizabeth Warren1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%

How the odds have moved

Rahm Emanuel: 28% on Oct 20, 23% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Rahm Emanuel 23% ▲ 2 23¢ 27¢ $3.70 3.7K
Ro Khanna 15% ▲ 1 15¢ 22¢ $4.55 3.3K
Pete Buttigieg 10% ▲ 2 9¢ 16¢ $6.25 7.7K
Andy Beshear 10% ▼ 2 10¢ 14¢ $7.14 6.2K
Kamala Harris 9% 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 6.4K
Gavin Newsom 6% 5¢ 9¢ $11.11 8.4K
Cory Booker 5% ▲ 1 2¢ 10¢ $10.00 512
Jon Ossoff 3% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.3K
Mark Kelly 2% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 69.00
Josh Shapiro 2% ▼ 1 4¢ $25.00 3.4K
J.B. Pritzker 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 3.1K
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 1.8K
James Talarico 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 118
Wes Moore 1% 2¢ $50.00 2.6K
Gretchen Whitmer 1% 2¢ $50.00 501
Jasmine Crockett 1% 2¢ $50.00
Graham Platner 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.00
Jon Stewart 1% 2¢ $50.00
Michelle Obama 1% 2¢ $50.00
Beto O'Rourke 1% 2¢ $50.00
Mitch Landrieu 1% 2¢ $50.00 127
Stephen A. Smith 1% 2¢ $50.00 1.00
Mark Cuban 1% 2¢ $50.00
Chris Murphy 1% 2¢ $50.00
Ruben Gallego 1% 2¢ $50.00
Elissa Slotkin 1% 2¢ $50.00 47.00
Raphael Warnock 1% 2¢ $50.00 76.00
Andrew Yang 1% 2¢ $50.00 70.00
Roy Cooper 1% 2¢ $50.00
Jared Polis 1% 2¢ $50.00
Amy Klobuchar 1% 2¢ $50.00 46.00
Elizabeth Warren 1% 2¢ $50.00
Gina Raimondo <1% 1¢ $100.00 63.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Democrat, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions