Michigan Governor margin of victory

Kalshi Elections › Governors Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $15.8K traded · $11K at stake · prices read 67 min ago

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The odds

9.66median
-123
Median 9.66Middle half 8.81 – 10.5

How the odds have moved

Median: 9.67 on Oct 19, 9.66 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Democrats, 2+ pts 99% 98¢ 1.9K
Democrats, 5+ pts 99% 98¢ 5.0K
Democrats, 8+ pts 99% 11¢ 99¢ $1.01 7.5K
Democrats, 11+ pts 11% 9¢ 99¢ 7.4K
Democrats, 14+ pts 11% 100¢ 9.2K
Democrats, 17+ pts 11% 88¢ $1.14 1.7K
Democrats, 20+ pts 11% 88¢ $1.14 419

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Michigan Governor

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  • Michigan Governor-elect Jocelyn Benson shares her plans for healthcare, moreCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Interview with…
  • Michigan Governor resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for the 2026 Michigan Governor general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. AP's guide to this race When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178…
  • Michigan governor-elect Jocelyn Benson announces transition team and plansCBS News · 5 days agoNovember 4, 2026 / 5:07 PM EST / CBS Detroit From election night celebrations to planning her first days in office, Michigan Governor-elect Jocelyn Benson says her victory sends a clear message about what Michiganders want from their next…
  • Election 2026 Michigan GovernorBluefield Daily Telegraph · 4 days agoBluefield Daily Telegraph Michigan gubernatorial candidate Rep. John James, R-Mich., speaks during an campaign event Monday, Nov. 2, 2026, in Rochester Hills, Mich. - What to know after Israel's election results give neither Netanyahu nor…
  • Michigan Governor-elect Benson takes victory lap in LansingWEMU-FM · 4 days agoWEMU Michigan Governor-elect Benson takes victory lap in Lansing Michigan Governor-elect Jocelyn Benson dropped by the state Capitol Thursday to meet with legislative leaders. Democrats held the trifecta – the state House, Senate and…
  • Jocelyn Benson wins Michigan governor’s race, extending Democratic controlNBC News · 6 days agoBREAKING: Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs wins re-election in Arizona; Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson wins race for governor Democrat Jocelyn Benson will be Michigan’s next governor, NBC News projects, succeeding term-limited…
  • Jocelyn Benson’s campaign promises as Michigan governorWDIV · 5 days agoDETROIT — Michigan Governor-elect Jocelyn Benson is preparing to take office after defeating Republican John James by more than 11 percentage points, outlining an ambitious agenda focused on affordability, education, health care, and…
  • Jocelyn Benson outlines priorities after winning Michigan governor’s raceWDIV · 5 days agoDETROIT — Michigan Governor-elect Jocelyn Benson says her administration will focus on lowering costs, improving the economy, and protecting residents’ rights as she prepares to take office. At her first news conference as Governor-elect…
  • Jocelyn Benson defeats John James in Michigan governor's raceWEMU-FM · 6 days agoThe Associated Press has called Michigan’s governor’s race for Democrat Jocelyn Benson. Colin Jackson has more. Jocelyn Benson defeats John James in Michigan governor's race Democrat Jocelyn Benson wins Michigan's midterm election race for…
  • ‘We’re all speechless’: Fmr. Michigan governor reacts to Haley Stevens’ endorsement of Mike RogersNBC News · 7 days agoNBC News ‘We’re all speechless’: Fmr. Michigan governor reacts to Haley Stevens’ endorsement of Mike Rogers ‘A lot of drama’: Michigan voters react to Haley Stevens’ endorsement of Mike Rogers Campaign of ‘hate’ towards El-Sayed is…
  • Jocelyn Benson elected next Michigan governorFOX 2 Detroit · 6 days agoFOX 2 Detroit Jocelyn Benson was declared the winner by FOX News of Michigan’s gubernatorial race with a 10 point lead.
  • Jocelyn Benson defeats John James, wins Michigan governor’s race9and10News.com · 6 days ago9and10News.com Jocelyn Benson defeats John James, wins Michigan governor’s race LANSING — Jocelyn Benson has defeated Republican U.S. Rep. John James to win Michigan’s governor’s race, moving from the Secretary of State’s office…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions