Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Kalshi Health › Outbreaks Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $1.4K traded · $603 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

2%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 2% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 72.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: outbreak, pandemic, Ebola

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  • Uganda calls for AU force to contain Ebola outbreaksemafor.com · 11 days agoIts health minister says AU personnel could provide medical and logistical support, and help ease a shortage of health workers Uganda has called on the African Union to consider deploying its standby peacekeeping and humanitarian force to…
  • Africa’s ‘unprecedented’ Ebola outbreak could reach UK, says top health officialthe Guardian · 13 days agoJean Kaseya, of the Africa CDC, warns of the illness spreading like Covid unless more funding is secured The “unprecedented” spread of the Ebola outbreak means it could reach the UK and other countries, according to one of Africa’s top…
  • Israel's election too close to call. And, the Ebola outbreak reaches grim milestoneNPR · 13 days agoMidterm ad spending has surpassed a record $11 billion, according to Ad Impact. An NPR analysis found that candidates in four major Senate races spent more than $15 million on fundraising ads in the 2025-26 election cycle. Meanwhile…
  • Congo Ebola outbreak kills more than 5,000The New Arab · 10 days agoStrikes blamed on Houthis target Yemen presidential palace US approves $2.1 billion Patriot missile sale to Ukraine Turkey and Israel's growing rivalry in the Horn of Africa US midterms 2026: Nine key issues shaping the election The 1956…
  • The Ebola outbreak is breaking records — and just marked a grim milestoneNPR · 13 days agoMarie Bakikula, a caregiver at a UNICEF-supported nursery in Mongbwalu in the Democratic Republic of Congo, works at an emergency nursery for Ebola orphans. Marie Ruwet/AFP/via Getty Images hide caption The fastest spreading Ebola outbreak…
  • Ebola vaccine trials begin in DRCNPR · 10 days agoNPR's Scott Detrow speaks with Dr. Meg Doherty, director of science for health at the World Health Organization, about the clinical trials to target the Bundibugyo species of the Ebola virus. Ebola vaccine trials begin in DRC NPR's Scott…
  • Saudi Arabia halts citizens’ travel to and from Kenya amid Ebola outbreakKhaleej Times · 10 days agoFri, Oct 30, 2026 | Jumada al-Awwal 18, 1448 | Fajr 05:07|DXB 30.7°C Saudi Arabia has introduced additional precautionary measures against the Ebola virus, including suspending travel to and from Kenya following an assessment of the…
  • Ebola outbreak surpasses 10,000 cases in Congo as deaths near 5,000Washington Examiner · 13 days agoThe Ebola outbreak spreading across the Democratic Republic of the Congo has surpassed 10,000 confirmed cases, with nearly 4,900 deaths reported across affected countries as the virus continues to spread beyond the country’s borders. The…
  • Central Region steps up Ebola surveillance amid outbreak concernsCitiNewsroom.com · 11 days agoThe Central Regional Health Directorate is stepping up Ebola surveillance and outbreak preparedness, urging health facilities to remain alert to suspected cases and strengthen infection prevention measures. Regional Director of Health…
  • Mpox outbreak hits California county as health officials probe US spreadCalifornia Post · 10 days agoA potentially dangerous strain of mpox has surfaced in California’s Central Valley, with health officials investigating whether the virus is spreading within the US. Four recent cases of Clade I mpox have been reported in Stanislaus…
  • Experts warn of wider spread as Ebola outbreak reaches plateauCityNews Toronto · 11 days agoPosted October 29, 2026 9:52 am. Nearly half the infected people in this outbreak have died, and some experts say there are reasons to worry this could grow into the worst Ebola outbreak in history. Others don’t think it will reach that…
  • African nations mobilize against widening Ebola crisissemafor.com · 11 days agoHealth officials from 45 African countries met Wednesday to coordinate a continent-wide response to an Ebola outbreak that has killed nearly 5,000 people in DR Congo and spread to Kenya and Nigeria, as an assessment presented at the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions