Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
7,311high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 7,311.
- Reaches 4,500>99%
- Reaches 4,750>99%
Already reached: ↑3.5k, ↑500, ↑1k, ↑2k, ↑3k, ↑4k
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Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
The odds
1%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 2% on Oct 20, 1% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $83.33 | $19.1M |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: outbreak, pandemic, Hantavirus
Search ›- Expert warns cruise passengers may face quarantine period after hantavirus outbreakThe President of the Canary Islands recently rejected plans for the ship to dock there Those stuck onboard the MV Hondius could be in quarantine for several weeks - a health expert has warned. The ship set sail from Argentina on a voyage…
- More than 5,000 die from Ebola in DR Congo's deadliest outbreakThere is no vaccine for this strain of the virus, but clinical trials are under way More than 5,000 people have died from an ongoing Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, government data shows. Eight of 26 provinces are now…
- Uganda calls for AU force to contain Ebola outbreakIts health minister says AU personnel could provide medical and logistical support, and help ease a shortage of health workers Uganda has called on the African Union to consider deploying its standby peacekeeping and humanitarian force to…
- Mpox outbreak hits California county as health officials probe US spreadA potentially dangerous strain of mpox has surfaced in California’s Central Valley, with health officials investigating whether the virus is spreading within the US. Four recent cases of Clade I mpox have been reported in Stanislaus…
- Congo Ebola outbreak deaths top 5,000 as fear of continent-wide spread mountsDeaths in Congo’s Ebola outbreak have topped 5,000 as the country grapples with the relentless spread of the disease and cases are recorded in other African countries, the latest government data on Saturday shows. Data from the Congolese…
- Families in the US are opting for earlier measles vaccinations amid outbreakParents are opting for a second shot of MMR vaccine sooner, which aligns with guidance in Germany, the UK and France Measles cases are accelerating in the US, with twice as many confirmed cases as last year, and more parents are opting for…
- E. coli outbreak lands 3 in hospital, health officials investigate link to pumpkin patchDr. Tyler Evans, an infectious disease physician and founder of Wellness Equity Alliance in California, speaks with Fox News Digital about E. coli infections linked to a California pumpkin patch that closed just days before Halloween. Five…
- California pumpkin patch tied to E. coli outbreak takes urgent action after 3 kids sent to ICUA popular California pumpkin patch linked to an E. coli outbreak that landed three children in intensive care has pulled the plug on the rest of its Halloween season. Brookshire Farms in San Luis Obispo County announced it would remain…
- Shadow Pandemic: What can be learned from the pandemic’s domestic violence ratesExplore our articles database by topic: The Perfect Storm: How domestic violence escalated during COVID-19 The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated already-dangerous dynamics for victims who were trapped at home with their abusers. Advocates say…
- Healthcare Cybersecurity & The Coronavirus PandemicThe pandemic isn’t stopping hackers from targeting healthcare providers. In fact, new vulnerabilities have emerged. In early April, INTERPOL warned of “a significant increase” in ransomware attempts against organizations responding to the…
- Endemic, epidemic, pandemic: What's the difference?The recent outbreak of the rare Andes hantavirus has once again drawn attention to terms that became widely familiar during the COVID‑19 pandemic: endemic, epidemic and pandemic. These concepts are often grouped together or misused in…
- UNAIDS Welcomes UN Pandemic Declaration AdoptionUNAIDS welcomes the adoption by the United Nations General Assembly of the Political Declaration on Pandemic Prevention, Preparedness and Response (PPPR) on 12 October 2026, a significant reaffirmation of global solidarity and multilateral…
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All outbreaks ›Measles cases in 2026?
7,628median
4,00011,000
Median 7,628Middle half 7,096 – 8,291
Next pandemic
20%Before 2030
- Before 203020%
- Before 202918%
- Before 202816%▲ 2
Pandemic in 2026?
2%chance▼ 1
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
7.23median
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Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year? (2026)
1%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions