Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Zohran Mamdani
79%
▼ 1
78¢
84¢
$1.19
12.5K
Jessica Tisch
6%
4¢
9¢
$11.11
6.2K
Eric Adams
4%
4¢
5¢
$20.00
1.8K
Mark Levine
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
284
Brad Lander
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
379
Letitia James
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
284
Curtis Sliwa
1%
3¢
$33.33
75.00
Julie Menin
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
162
Donald Trump
1%
2¢
$50.00
53.00
Bill Ackman
1%
2¢
$50.00
52.00
Dave Portnoy
1%
2¢
$50.00
52.00
Andrew Cuomo
<1%
1¢
$100.00
135
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York City, Zohran Mamdani, Jessica Tisch
NYC’s Zohran Mamdani and LA’s Nithya Raman reveal their coldness toward the homelessNew York Post · 3 days agoThe unclaimed bodies of nine homeless New Yorkers who froze to death during the coldest weeks of our brutal 2025-26 winter were laid to rest this week at St. Thomas Church on Fifth Avenue. Conspicuous by his absence was Mayor Zohran…
Mamdani pushes ahead with New York City second-home tax proposalFox News · 5 days agoFox News Mamdani pushes ahead with New York City second-home tax proposal Adam Lehodey from the Manhattan Institute discusses Zohran Mamdani's proposal for a second-home tax in New York City. Adam Lehodey from the Manhattan Institute…
Zohran Mamdani questioned on ties to Hasan Piker in exclusive interviewFox News · 5 days agoFox News Zohran Mamdani questioned on ties to Hasan Piker in exclusive interview Fox News' Shannon Bream previews her 'Fox News Sunday' interview with Zohran Mamdani where she questions his ties to Hasan Piker. 'Fox News Sunday' anchor…
Fact Check: Did Mamdani and JD Vance trade barbs over crime drop in New York City?MEAWW News · 2 days agoNEW YORK CITY, NEW YORK: A rumor has been circulating on social media platforms claiming to show an exchange between New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Vice President JD Vance over the massive drop in crime in the city. The claim has…
Zohran Mamdani, Kathy Hochul travel to Puerto Rico for annual conferenceABC7 New York · 3 days agoPUERTO RICO (WABC) -- Gov. Kathy Hochul and Mayor Zohran Mamdani traveled to Puerto Rico this week, where they joined other elected officials for the annual Somos Conference and discussed support for the U.S. territory following Democrats'…
Mamdani Hosts Media Gaggle in New York CityMirage News · 3 days agoGovernor Kathy Hochul: It's great to be back in Puerto Rico for the 40th gathering of Somos, joined by our chair of Somos, Karines Reyes, also Frankie Miranda, the head of the incredible Hispanic Federation. And a great partner of mine in…
Zohran Mamdani one year on: the limits of Democratic Socialism in the US@soli_aus · 4 days agoJames Supple looks at what socialist mayor of New York Zohran Mamdani has achieved in his first year in office and what it shows about the problems with socialist electoralism The mid-term elections delivered a historic wave of Democratic…
United States Of 'Mamdani-Stan'? All 3 Zohran Mamdani-Backed Candidates Win MidtermsNDTV · 4 days agoAll three congressional candidates backed by New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani have won the US midterm elections and converted a clean sweep in the Democratic primaries into three seats in the House of Representatives. Their victories have…
Gen. Mahoney attends the 29th New York City U.S. Marine Corps Birthday GalaDVIDS · 3 days agoU.S. Marine Corps Gen. Christopher J. Mahoney, the 13th Vice Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, gives remarks during the 29th New York City U.S. Marine Corps Birthday Gala at the Intrepid Sea, Air and Space Museum, Manhattan, Nov. 3…
Thousands of service members to march in New York City Veterans Day ParadeABC7 New York · 4 days agoVeterans Day Parade NYC will be broadcast on Channel 7 and wherever you stream ABC 7 New York starting 12:30 p.m. on November 11 NEW YORK CITY (WABC) -- In honor and celebration of our country's heroes, ABC 7 New York is proud to bring you…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions