Alaska State Senate winner?
98%Republican party
- Republican party98%
- Democratic party2%
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North Carolina State Senate winner?
The odds
97%Republican party
- Republican party97%▲ 4
- Democratic party2%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Republican party: 89% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 11 PM ETRepublican party: 79% → 93%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 31, 11 PM ETRepublican party: 68% → 59%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 27, 11 PM ETRepublican party: 78% → 71%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican party | 97% | ▲ 4 | 95¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 53.2K |
| Democratic party | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 206.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: North Carolina State Senate
Search ›- North Carolina State Senate Election Results 2026Voters in the Piedmont Triad are deciding on several races during the midterm election, including the North Carolina Senate District 26 race that could have major implications for the entire state. The district includes all of Rockingham…
- Why we should obsess over how Latinos voteAmerica’s obsession with the Latino vote has become a ritual as slippery and messy as a grunion run. But who could be blamed for caring too much about how we crushed it in the midterms? Latinos helped Democrats take back the House and…
- Cumberland County's incumbent state senators cruise to victoryBoth incumbents representing Cumberland County in the North Carolina State Senate easily held off challengers to win reelection to their seats, according to unofficial election results. Sen. Val Applewhite, a Democrat from Fayetteville who…
- Hardwick focused on education, immigration, inflationWhat is your profession? How long have you worked in that field/at your present location? Please limit your answer to 150 words. Why are you running for re-election? Please limit your answer to 250 words. What are your legislative…
- Jonathan Miller: North Carolina state Senate candidate live-posts his armed standoff with cops; arrested after fleeing into woodsA North Carolina state Senate candidate live-posted his own armed standoff with police on Monday, October 26. Jonathan D. Miller, the Libertarian candidate for North Carolina’s 16th Senate District in the suburbs of Raleigh, posted…
- Armed Senate hopeful triggers police manhunt near grade school as alarming tweets go viralA panel of independent voters Doug Boyer, Rick Gagliano and Eric Mitchell discuss their top priorities and the key issues impacting their midterm votes on 'Fox & Friends First.' Police arrested a Libertarian North Carolina state Senate…
- North Carolina Libertarian Senate Candidate Arrested After Live-Blogging Armed Standoff With PoliceJonathan D. Miller, the Libertarian Party's nominee for a North Carolina state Senate seat covering much of Cary, was arrested at about 3 p.m. Monday after an hours-long standoff with police that ended in the woods behind his apartment…
- North Carolina Libertarian Candidate in Custody After Armed StandoffJonathan D. Miller was running for the North Carolina state Senate until he ran into the woods on Monday with a revolver and his phone, posting updates to X like this one: "I've got six shots and the high ground. I hope they don't find me…
- ‘I’ve Got Six Shots And The High Ground’: Political Candidate Posts Live Updates While In Shoot-Out With Police OfficersA Libertarian candidate for a North Carolina state Senate seat was taken into police custody Monday after live-tweeting an hours-long armed standoff with police officers. “I’ve got six shots and the high ground. I hope they don’t find me…
- Ilhan Omar's birth year questioned by journalist who flags Congresswoman's memoir stating she was eight during Somali civil warMinnesota Congresswoman Ilhan Omar's birth year has been questioned again by a journalist who referred to her memoir stating she was eight when civil war in Somalia broke out. This led the journalist to question Omar's birth year again…
- Unhinged NC state Senate candidate arrested after live-posting through police standoff: ‘I have 6 rounds and the high ground’ (libertarian)An unhinged North Carolina state Senate candidate live-posted his own armed standoff with cops Monday, posting alarming updates from the woods as he claimed officers were closing in on him. Jonathan D. Miller, the Libertarian candidate for…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions