Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 21, 7 PM ETJeremy Matlow: 48% → 38%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Jeremy Matlow
99%
98¢
99¢
$1.01
55.2K
Daryl Parks
2%
$50.00
11.0K
Michael Foust
1%
$100.00
541
Al Lawson
1%
$100.00
870
Loranne Ausley
1%
1¢
$100.00
25.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tallahassee Mayoral, Jeremy Matlow, Loranne Ausley
Jeremy Matlow wins Tallahassee mayoral race in victory for progressives@Fla_Pol · 6 days agoCity Commissioner Jeremy Matlow pulled off an upset Tuesday, defeating former Democratic state Sen. Loranne Ausley in the Tallahassee mayoral runoff and scoring a major victory for the capital city’s progressives. With all precincts…
Jeremy Matlow projected winner of Tallahassee mayoral raceYahoo News · 6 days agoJeremy Matlow is the projected winner of Tallahassee's mayoral race, per results from the Leon County Supervisor of Elections website. In the Senate race, the Democrats take two seats from Republicans - they must flip four for a majority…
Jeremy Matlow has been elected Tallahassee's next MayorWFSU News · 6 days agoTallahassee City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow has defeated former state Senator Loranne Ausley to become the city's next mayor. Matlow received about 51 percent of the vote, maintaining an edge over Ausley by about 1,300 votes. The local…
Jeremy Matlow speaks to the crows during an Election Day watch partyYahoo News · 6 days agoJeremy Matlow speaks to the crowd at a watch part on Election Day. According to unofficial election results, he defeated Loranne Ausley for Tallahassee mayor. National Highways says the vehicle fire between junctions nine and eight has…
Ausley, Matlow in close contest for Tallahassee mayor | ResultsYahoo News · 6 days agoTallahassee City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow has maintained a small lead over former lawmaker Loranne Ausley in the race for Tallahassee mayor, the city's most expensive, closely watched and consequential contest of 2026. With 47 out of 80…
From anticipation to celebration: Tallahassee voters witness a shift in city leadershipThe FAMUAN · 3 days agoAttendees of the Leon Democratic Environmental Caucus’ watch party look on as city commisioner-elect P.J. Perez speaks (Asha Whiting / FAMUAN) The crowded floor of Proof Brewing Company buzzed with anticipation Tuesday night as candidates’…
The TR Daily Briefs: Thursday, November 5, 2026Tallahassee Reports · 4 days agoWeather: Today, mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Tonight, patchy dense fog after 1am with a low around 68. Friday, a 30 percent chance of showers, mainly between 7am and 1pm, with a high near 81. Friday night, cloudy during the early…
TIGHT FLORIDA RACES, BIG LOCAL DECISIONSWTWCFOX · 6 days agoTALLAHASSEE, Fla. -Election-night results show a close Florida governor’s race, a split decision on statewide ballot questions and a dramatic local showdown: Jeremy Matlow is leading Loranne Ausley by just over 1,200 votes in the…
Mayoral Analysis: Southside, Student Voters Propel Matlow to Narrow VictoryTallahassee Reports · 5 days agoAn analysis of Tallahassee’s mayoral election results shows that strong support from Southside and student-area voters propelled Jeremy Matlow to a narrow victory over Loranne Ausley, overcoming significant opposition in Northeast…
Progressives Secure Majority on Tallahassee City CommissionTallahassee Reports · 6 days agoTALLAHASSEE, Fla. — Progressive candidates scored two victories in Tuesday’s city elections, giving the progressive bloc a 3-2 majority on the Tallahassee City Commission and potentially shifting the direction of city government on issues…
The FAMUAN live: 2026 Midterm Election coverageThe FAMUAN · 6 days agoWelcome to The FAMUAN’s 2026 Midterm Election coverage! Stay here for real-time updates, reporting and results straight from our newsroom team. Our very own Autumn Haddox got to hear from Georgia governor-elect Keisha Lance Bottoms during…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions