The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
✓ At least 1
99%
▼ 1
$1.01
2.4K
✓ At least 2
99%
▲ 1
$1.01
10.1K
✓ At least 3
99%
▼ 1
$1.01
17.9K
✓ At least 4
99%
▼ 1
$1.01
2.2K
✓ At least 8
99%
▲ 1
$1.01
2.9K
✓ At least 12
99%
▲ 1
$1.01
4.8K
At least 16
97%
▼ 1
93¢
$1.04
3.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The night Texas turned blue / Texas MonthlyCBS News · 3 days agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. The night Texas turned…
Texas v Musk: how southern state Democrats won against the billionaire – explainerthe Guardian · 3 days agoDemocrat James Talarico won a Senate seat in Texas, breaking a 38-year drought for his party in the Republican stronghold and delivering a stunning blow to Donald Trump. The race became one of the most expensive Senate contests in US…
'We didn't expect this': Texas Democrats stunned as blue wave topples GOP strongholdFox News · 4 days agoJames Talarico voters celebrated his historic upset of Texas AG Ken Paxton, telling Fox News Digital the stunning result should send a warning to Republicans across the state. AUSTIN, Texas — As the Democrats’ blue wave began to slam into…
Democrat who withdrew from Texas House race wins despite felony convictionsCBS News · 4 days agoNovember 5, 2026 / 6:18 PM CST / CBS Texas The Texas midterm elections have wrapped up, but questions about one race in Tarrant County are heating up. A candidate suspended her campaign and still won, but that's not the most controversial…
From "Dragon Ball Z" composer to Texas attorney general, meet Democrat Nathan JohnsonCBS News · 4 days agoUpdated on: November 5, 2026 / 12:33 PM CST / CBS Texas Texas Attorney General-elect Nathan Johnson, a North Texas native who described himself as a "serious guy" on the campaign trail, has promised a back-to-basics approach to the state's…
Youth killed Texas RepublicansWashington Examiner · 4 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
Latino voters help fuel Democrats' historic victories in TexasCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Latino voters help fuel…
Texas turns blue as Democrats score stunning sweepFox News · 5 days agoFox News Texas turns blue as Democrats score stunning sweep A panel joins ‘The Will Cain Show’ to break down Democrats’ sweep of the House and Senate, major victories in Texas and Hakeem Jeffries’ bid to become the next House speaker…
How Democrats pulled off a historic win in TexasCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. How Democrats…
Texas Democrats face new challenges after historic election winsCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Texas Democrats face new challenges after historic election wins Wall Street rallies after midterm elections Dems call midterm victories a "stunning rebuke of MAGA extremism" Gina Hinojosa ends over 3 decades of Republican control…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions