Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
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Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
59%At least 30%
16%34%
How the odds have moved
At least 18%: 97% on Oct 20, 96% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 18% | 96% | $1.05 | 14.00 | |||
| At least 20% | 96% | 82¢ | $1.05 | 2.6K | ||
| At least 22% | 96% | 94¢ | $1.05 | 2.5K | ||
| At least 24% | 94% | $1.06 | 1.6K | |||
| At least 26% | 91% | $1.10 | 1.1K | |||
| At least 28% | 66% | $1.52 | 2.3K | |||
| At least 30% | 59% | $1.71 | 2.2K | |||
| At least 32% | 59% | ▲ 92 | 10¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 601 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Alaska Governor, Bernadette Wilson
Search ›- Trump renews ‘complete and total’ endorsement of Bernadette Wilson on Election DayHome » Trump renews ‘complete and total’ endorsement of Bernadette Wilson on Election Day Nov. 3, 2026 – President Donald Trump delivered an Election Day push for Bernadette Wilson, renewing his endorsement of the Republican candidate for…
- Four candidates make final push in Alaska governor's race ahead of Election DayFour candidates are competing for Alaska governor, with Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Republicans Dave Bronson, Bernadette Wilson and Treg Taylor making their cases to voters. While Alaska’s U.S. Senate race has drawn significant…
- Trump makes final Alaska pitch for Dan S. Sullivan, Nick Begich and Bernadette Wilson on election eveHome » Trump makes final Alaska pitch for Dan S. Sullivan, Nick Begich and Bernadette Wilson on election eve Nov. 2, 2026 – President Donald Trump made a final appeal to Alaska voters Monday, holding a tele-rally with supporters and urging…
- Hilcorp owner donates to governor candidate Bernadette Wilson in final week of campaigningDays before Election Day, the owner of one of Alaska’s major oil and gas producers gave $10,000 to support Republican Bernadette Wilson’s campaign for governor. The contribution from Jeffery Hildebrand, founder and chairman of Hilcorp…
- Alaska governor recalls moment he suspected something was ‘not right’ in 'Decoy Dan' schemeAlaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy speaks about the federal investigation into an alleged ballot-stacking scheme involving the state’s Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Mary Peltola's campaign on ‘The Ingraham Angle.’ Alaska governor recalls moment he…
- Alaska governor details probe into alleged ballot schemeAlaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy joins 'America's Newsroom' to discuss his probe into Democrats' alleged ballot scheme after the Justice Department issued more than 30 subpoenas. Alaska governor details probe into alleged ballot scheme Alaska…
- Alaska could be the key to low gas prices, Trump-backed governor hopeful saysRepublican candidate for Alaska's governor, Bernadette Wilson, told Fox News Digital that her administration's plan to cut the "draconian red tape" the federal government has placed on Alaska's oil industry is the solution to America's gas…
- The buying of the Alaska Governor’s Mansion: JKT’s $5.3 million campaign rides a wave of Outside moneyHome » The buying of the Alaska Governor’s Mansion: JKT’s $5.3 million campaign rides a wave of Outside money Nov. 1, 2026 – Alaska is in the middle of a historic race for governor, unlike anything it has ever seen. The money for Jonathan…
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D), David Bronson (R), Treg Taylor (R), Bernadette Wilson (R), and two other candidates are running in the general election for governor and lieutenant governor of Alaskaon November 3, 2026. In Alaska, candidates for lieutenant governor run on a ticket with candidates for governor. Incumbent Mike Dunleavy (R), first elected in 2018, is not running for re-election. As of November 1, 2026, Dunleavy had not…
- Bernadette Wilson pledges to continue Dunleavy’s election investigation if elected governorHome » Bernadette Wilson pledges to continue Dunleavy’s election investigation if elected governor Oct. 31, 2026 – Republican gubernatorial candidate Bernadette Wilson pledged Friday evening to continue the state investigation into alleged…
- Alaska 2026 election resultsGOP Sen. Dan Sullivan faces Democratic former congresswoman Mary Peltola as her party tries to win an Alaska Senate seat for the first time since 2008. If no candidate wins a majority, the election will be decided through ranked-choice…
- Alaska governor orders investigation into alleged Democrat-linked US Senate election scheme‘Fox News @ Night’ panelists Brianna Lyman and Christina Pascucci discuss allegations that Alaska Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Mary Peltola's campaign recruited another Dan Sullivan to run for Senate Alaska governor orders investigation…
Related markets
All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Nebraska Senate election: Dan Osborn vote percent
43.5%median
36%63%
Median 43.5%Middle half 42.7% – 44.3%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions