Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Nebraska Senate election: Dan Osborn vote percent
The odds
43.5%median
36%63%
Median 43.5%Middle half 42.7% – 44.3%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.78% on Oct 19, 43.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 39% | 97% | 92¢ | $1.03 | 62.00 | ||
| At least 42% | 97% | 4¢ | $1.03 | 881 | ||
| At least 45% | 3% | 97¢ | $1.03 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 47% | 3% | 22¢ | $4.55 | 655 | ||
| At least 48% | 3% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 1.1K | |
| At least 51% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.3K | ||
| At least 54% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.8K | ||
| At least 57% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.1K | ||
| At least 60% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nebraska Senate, Dan Osborn
Search ›- Ricketts Leads Osborn in Nebraska Senate RaceA new The New York Times/Siena University poll in Nebraska finds Pete Ricketts (R) leading Dan Osborn (I) in the U.S. Senate race, 49% to 43%. Nebraska Senate Race Pete Ricketts (R) 49% Dan Osborn (I) 43% The New York Times/Siena…
- Independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn holds rally in South Sioux CitySOUTH SIOUX CITY, Neb. (KTIV) - Independent U.S. Senate candidate Dan Osborn brought his campaign to Northeast Nebraska on Oct. 30. Osborn stopped in South Sioux City that afternoon as part of his “Mama, I’m Coming Home” tour. The union…
- Osborn Stumbles as Doubts Grow in Nebraska Senate FightDan Osborn’s pitch to Nebraska voters has run into a stubborn problem, and it is not just the math. The independent Senate candidate is trailing by six points, while many voters still do not appear convinced that he is running outside the…
- Will Independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn vote with Republicans or Democrats if elected?Independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn joins The Lead. Will Independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn vote with Republicans or Democrats if elected? Independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn joins The Lead.
- Independent Dan Osborn gains ground in Nebraska’s 2026 Senate raceEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
- Nebraska Senate race is one of the most expensive political races in state historyLINCOLN — The U.S. Senate race between one of Nebraska's wealthiest elected officials and a former labor union leader is one of the most expensive the state has seen in direct fundraising, according to an Examiner analysis of campaign…
- Dead Heat for Senate in NebraskaA new YouGov poll in Nebraska finds Pete Ricketts (R) and Dan Osborn (I) tied in the U.S. Senate race, 49% to 49%. Nebraska Senate Race Pete Ricketts (R) 49% Dan Osborn (I) 49% YouGov poll · likely voters A new YouGov poll in Nebraska…
- Independent Senate candidate Dan Osborn makes campaign stop in North PlatteNORTH PLATTE, Neb. (KNOP) - Independent U.S. Senate candidate Dan Osborn made a campaign stop in North Platte on Wednesday evening, meeting with area residents as he continues his campaign across Nebraska. Osborn is running for the U.S…
- Here’s how much time Husker fans have spent watching political ads this seasonA mother rejects a box of “liberal cereal.” Dan Osborn delivers 30 seconds of meat-based puns. A rape victim condemns a pardon of her rapist by her former governor. The end of the "cereal" ad plays on Tavern on the Square during the Oregon…
- Independent Dan Osborn outlines priorities in Nebraska US Senate raceU.S. Senate candidate Dan Osborn said he would work to uplift working Nebraska families through legislation like a new farm bill if elected. Rachael Nelson, a former leader of the Nebraska Libertarian Party, speaks during a town hall with…
- Democrats’ Strategy of Backing Independents Faces ReckoningNov 02, 2026 at 05:00 AM EST Democrats’ strategy of supporting independents in traditionally conservative states, rather than running their own candidate, faces a reckoning in this year’s midterms, as difficult headwinds for Republicans…
- Election 2026: Nebraska campaigns knock on doors in final weekend before electionOMAHA, Neb. (WOWT) - Campaigns in Nebraska are making a final push this weekend, three days before Election Day, with volunteers knocking on doors to reach last-minute voters. Union members gathered at a training hall in Omaha on Saturday…
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All senate ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions