Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
California Governor election: Xavier Becerra vote percent
The odds
65.24%median
52%70%
Median 65.24%Middle half 64.56% – 65.92%
How the odds have moved
Median: 60.87% on Oct 20, 65.24% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 100% | 99¢ | 3.2K | |||
| At least 56% | 100% | 99¢ | 4.0K | |||
| At least 58% | 97% | ▼ 2 | 92¢ | $1.03 | 8.3K | |
| At least 60% | 97% | 97¢ | $1.03 | 3.6K | ||
| At least 62% | 96% | ▼ 1 | 91¢ | $1.04 | 16.2K | |
| At least 64% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 5.1K |
| At least 66% | 22% | 9¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 901 | |
| At least 68% | 3% | 39¢ | $2.56 | 396 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California Governor, Xavier Becerra
Search ›- WATCH LIVE: California Gov-elect Xavier Becerra holds first post-election briefingCalifornia Governor-elect Xavier Becerra meets with legislative leaders in Sacramento to outline first-term economic priorities and cost-of-living measures before holding his first news conference since winning the gubernatorial election…
- California Governor-Elect Xavier Becerra Holds First Press ConferenceBecerra talks about the multiple issues he will be addressing upon his inauguration Xavier Becerra held his first press conference on Thursday as California Governor- elect to talk about his slated outline of legislative priorities ahead…
- Xavier Becerra and Nithya Raman won their elections — now they’re dodging questions about the promises that got them thereXavier Becerra and Nithya Raman seem to think that they don’t have a responsibility to tell the public what they plan to do in office, now that they have won their respective elections. The governor-elect and mayor-elect both brushed…
- Xavier Becerra Declared Winner of California Governor’s RaceXavier Becerra has been declared the winner of the California governor’s race, easily swatting away a challenge from Republican Steve Hilton. Becerra, the Democrat, ran on a platform of lowering energy costs and working toward universal…
- Democrat Xavier Becerra coasts to victory in California governor’s race after uninspiring campaignDemocrat Xavier Becerra went from an afterthought in the polls earlier this spring to California’s new governor on Tuesday, beating Republican Steve Hilton despite running a campaign offering little in inspiration for the state. Associated…
- Latest on California governor race as Xavier Becerra, Steve Hilton face offDemocrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton are facing off in California's race for governor as locals also vote on what would become the country's first billionaire tax. CBS News' Kris Van Cleave breaks it down. Latest on…
- Former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra wins California governor’s raceBREAKING: James Talarico defeats Republican Ken Paxton in Texas; Democrat Amy Acton defeats Vivek Ramaswamy to win Ohio’s race for governor Democrat Xavier Becerra has been elected governor of California, NBC News projects, defeating…
- California governor commutes death sentences for all 548 people on death rowCalifornia Governor Gavin Newsom has commuted the death sentences of all 548 people on death row in the state, changing them instead with life in prison. "We can now let these offenders die in obscurity while we forever remember and honour…
- CBS News projects Democrat Xavier Becerra winning California governor's raceCBS News: America Decides: Election 2026 CBS News Bay Area: Voters Decide CBS News Colorado: Voters Decide CBS News Los Angeles: Voters Decide CBS News Sacramento: Voters Decide
- Xavier Becerra snaps at reporters for asking about his plans for office in first press conference: ‘Don’t play this game!’California Gov.-elect Xavier Becerra said “everything should be on the table” to make the state more affordable in his first public statement since election night — before bristling over questions about what he’ll actually do. “I’m no…
- Xavier Becerra addresses supporters after project win in California governor's raceCBS News: America Decides: Election 2026 CBS News Bay Area: Voters Decide CBS News Colorado: Voters Decide CBS News Los Angeles: Voters Decide CBS News Sacramento: Voters Decide
- Steve Hilton admits Trump unpopularity sank run for California governor, vows to keep fightingSteve Hilton said there is “no question” that anger at President Trump helped sink his campaign for California governor along with Republicans across the country — but the former Fox News host isn’t done fighting. Hilton said he would…
Related markets
All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions