Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Florida Governor election: David Jolly vote percent
The odds
47.15%median
40%58%
Median 47.15%Middle half 46.54% – 47.76%
How the odds have moved
Median: 47.14% on Oct 20, 47.15% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 99% | 62¢ | $1.02 | 2.4K | ||
| At least 44% | 99% | 72¢ | $1.02 | 1.2K | ||
| At least 46% | 97% | 76¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 3.2K | |
| At least 48% | 15% | ▼ 83 | 21¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 2.2K |
| At least 50% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.1K | ||
| At least 52% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 54% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | |||
| At least 56% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 38.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida Governor, David Jolly
Search ›- Byron Donalds vs. David Jolly—Latest Top-Rated Poll as Trump Jr. in FloridaOct 29, 2026 at 12:43 PM EDT Republican Representative Byron Donalds held a 4-point lead over Democrat David Jolly in a new poll of the Florida governor’s race published by The New York Times and Siena University, a top-rated pollster…
- Florida Governor Candidate David Jolly Suggests Boys Have a Constitutional Right to Play on Girls’ Sports TeamsBy Joe Kovacs, WND • Oct. 29, 2026 (WND)–David Jolly, a former Republican congressman who is now running as a Democrat against U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds to replace Ron DeSantis as Florida governor, is raising eyebrows in the Sunshine State…
- David Jolly's Panhandle strategy to pull off upset for Florida governorDavid Jolly's closing strategy for winning Florida's governor's race is to lose by less. With the contest entering its final week in a virtual dead heat, the Democratic nominee spent Oct. 27 making his case for election across the state's…
- Florida Governor Candidates make final campaign push in Sarasota CountySARASOTA, Fla. (WWSB) - With Election Day approaching, the race for Florida governor is entering its final stretch, and both candidates are making stops across the Suncoast to connect with voters. Democratic gubernatorial candidate David…
- David Jolly: a Democratic governor in Florida ‘redefines American politics’Democratic gubernatorial candidate David Jolly passionately spoke Thursday evening to supporters at the Ironworkers Union south of Orlando, calling on Democrats, independents and dissatisfied Republicans alike to vote and make history…
- $5,000 hamburgers and more: In stretch run of Governor’s race, David Jolly sharpens attacks on a ‘lame-duck President’President Donald Trump’s shadow looms large over the race for Governor. His preferred candidate Byron Donalds got the Republican nomination, and Trump has rallied twice in the state for the candidate in recent days. Democrat David Jolly…
- Byron Donalds spends more than $165 million on Governor’s race. Will it be enough to beat David Jolly?Republican gubernatorial nominee Byron Donalds was a fundraising juggernaut this cycle, giving his campaign the resources it needed for ads in heavy rotation seemingly everywhere in the state. That connection with donors fueled the effort…
- WATCH: Florida governor candidate David Jolly suggests boys have a constitutional right to play on girl’s sports teamsSTUART, Florida – David Jolly, a former Republican congressman who is now running as a Democrat against U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds to replace Ron DeSantis as Florida governor, is raising eyebrows in the Sunshine State with his suggestion that…
- ‘You Can Be Anti-Black and Black’: Critics Push Back as Florida Rep. Byron Donalds Mocks David Jolly’s ‘Anti-Black’ Agenda AccusationWell, that didn’t settle it Florida Rep. Byron Donalds mocked gubernatorial rival David Jolly after claiming Jolly had described his agenda as anti-Black. During a campaign speech, Donalds responded with a joke about having been Black his…
- David Jolly doubles down on calling Byron Donalds’ policies ‘anti-Black’he Trump administration’s sweeping efforts to combat noncitizen voting and assert authority over elections came under intense scrutiny in courtrooms across the country on Thursday, as Democrats and voting rights groups alleged federal…
- David Jolly calls on Donalds family to divest from charter school bizAs U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds seeks the governorship, his wife’s multimillion-dollar charter school and virtual education network is drawing heightened scrutiny. His Democratic opponent, David Jolly, is calling for the couple to divest. Erika…
- David Jolly brings statewide Believe in Better Tour to Tampa Bay, South FloridaDemocratic gubernatorial nominee David Jolly and running mate Gwen Graham will make stops across the state through Monday, rallying supporters during the final weekend before Tuesday’s election. The appearances are part of the campaign’s…
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All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions