Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Illinois Governor election: Darren Bailey vote percent
The odds
38.4%median
32%52%
Median 38.4%Middle half 36% – 39.4%
How the odds have moved
Median: 36.24% on Oct 19, 38.4% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 34% | 91% | $1.10 | 831 | |||
| At least 36% | 75% | 26¢ | $1.33 | 93.00 | ||
| At least 38% | 60% | 95¢ | $1.05 | 173 | ||
| At least 40% | 10% | 25¢ | $4.00 | 682 | ||
| At least 42% | 3% | $33.33 | 1.9K | |||
| At least 44% | 3% | 38¢ | $2.63 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 46% | 3% | 38¢ | $2.63 | 714 | ||
| At least 48% | 1% | 21¢ | $4.76 | 1.1K | ||
| At least 50% | 1% | 20¢ | $5.00 | 9.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Illinois Governor, Darren Bailey
Search ›- JB Pritzker favored to win Illinois governor election in rematch against Darren BaileyCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. JB Pritzker favored to…
- Illinois governor election 2026 race between JB Pritzker, Darren Bailey gets under way as voters hit the pollsNovember 3, 2026 / 6:00 AM CST / CBS Chicago The 2026 Illinois governor election is under way on Election Day, as voters flocked to the poll to decide if they'll give incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker a third term in his rematch against…
- Day after winning 3rd term as Illinois governor, JB Pritzker announces 200-point national agenda, but remains mum on presidential ambitionsNovember 4, 2026 / 4:28 PM CST / CBS Chicago The 2026 midterm elections are not even 24 hours old, and already some tea leaves are being read about what's next for Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, who won a third term in office on Tuesday…
- Democrat JB Pritzker Defeats GOP Darren Bailey in Illinois Governor RematchDemocrat Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker won a third term in office Tuesday, defeating Republican Darren Bailey for the second consecutive gubernatorial election. The post Democrat JB Pritzker Defeats GOP Darren Bailey in Illinois Governor…
- JB Pritzker pitches national playbook for Congress after winning 3rd term as Illinois governorCBS News JB Pritzker pitches national playbook for Congress after winning 3rd term as Illinois governor Indiana Democrats score big victories in 2026 midterm elections Florida deputy with “prior alligator experience” wrangles a gator with…
- Illinois Governor's Race: JB Pritzker defeats Darren Bailey, NBC News projectsIllinois Gov. JB Pritzker will make history as he will become the first Democrat to ever be elected to a third term in the state’s highest office, NBC News projects. For the second election cycle in a row, former State Sen. Darren Bailey…
- ‘Don’t Blame Trump For Your Failures’: Illinois Governor JB Pritzker Slammed After Calling Trump and Darren Bailey ‘Too Extreme’Pritzker’s feud against Trump continues Illinois Governor JB Pritzker criticized U.S. President Donald Trump just ahead of the midterms, sparking backlash on social media. Several seemingly conservative users had harsh words for Pritzker…
- JB Pritzker, Darren Bailey face off in Election Day rematch for Illinois governorSPRINGFIELD, Ill. (WLS) -- Illinois voters are heading to the polls on Election Day, with the race for Illinois governor at the top of the ballot. Democratic Governor JB Pritzker is seeking a historic third term facing off once again…
- Illinois Governor Election 2026 Live Results: JB Pritzker WinsNBC News Illinois Governor Results 2026 See how votes are shifting as results come in across Illinois. Arrow size indicates shift magnitude Vote-shift comparisons are shown once enough of the expected vote is in for a county. No matter how…
- JB Pritzker and Darren Bailey square off again in Illinois governor raceA gubernatorial rematch four years in the making comes to a head Tuesday night in Gov. JB Pritzker’s bid for a rare third term over Republican challenger Darren Bailey. Independent candidate Collin Corbett, a fiscal conservative who…
- Pritzker Becomes First Democrat to Win Third Term as Illinois GovernorDecatur Radio Pritzker Becomes First Democrat to Win Third Term as Illinois Governor Illinois Governor JB Pritzker has secured a historic third term, defeating Republican challenger Darren Bailey in yesterday’s election. The win makes…
- JB Pritzker wins 3rd term as Illinois governorCBS News Boston: Voters Decide CBS News Chicago: Voters Decide CBS News Detroit: Voters Decide CBS News Miami: Voters Decide CBS News: America Decides: Election 2026 CBS News New York: Voters Decide CBS News Philadelphia: Voters Decide CBS…
Related markets
All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions