Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Nevada Governor election: Aaron Ford vote percent
The odds
51.02%median
38%60%
Median 51.02%Middle half 50.44% – 51.6%
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.88% on Oct 20, 51.02% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 40% | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 3.6K | ||
| At least 42% | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 2.0K | ||
| At least 44% | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 4.2K | ||
| At least 46% | 99% | 77¢ | $1.01 | 7.3K | ||
| At least 48% | 96% | ▲ 1 | 91¢ | $1.05 | 5.2K | |
| At least 50% | 94% | 17¢ | $1.06 | 14.1K | ||
| At least 52% | 8% | ▼ 47 | 6¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 986 |
| At least 54% | 8% | $13.33 | 5.3K | |||
| At least 56% | 6% | $16.67 | 18.00 | |||
| At least 58% | 3% | 13¢ | $7.69 | 472 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Nevada Governor, Aaron Ford
Search ›- Nevada Governor's Race Deadlocked as Joe Lombardo and Aaron Ford Poll at 47 Pct.Nevada voters are making one of the highest-stakes gubernatorial decisions in the country today, as Republican incumbent Joe Lombardo squares off against Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in a race that election forecasters have…
- Nevada Governor Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsGOP Gov. Joe Lombardo is seeking a second term as governor, four years after he was the nation’s lone GOP candidate to topple a Democratic gubernatorial incumbent. He’s running against Democrat ... Sullivan voted today in Anchorage…
- 2026 Nevada governor's race: Lombardo, Ford campaign to lead stateMidterm elections are underway across the United States, with key races deciding the balance of power in Washington. LAS VEGAS (KSNV) — Voters across Nevada will cast their ballots to determine who will lead the state's executive office…
- Democrats seek to flip Nevada governor's seat in a key test for the party's chances in 2028Nevada Gov. Joe Lombardo listens during a campaign rally Thursday, Oct. 22, 2026, in Las Vegas. FILE - Gubernatorial candidate Aaron Ford, attorney general of Nevada, speaks during a primary election night watch party after winning the…
- Aaron Ford, Nevada attorney general running for Governor in 2026 midterm electionsAaron Ford has often pointed to his working-class upbringing as the foundation of his political career. The Nevada attorney general says his family's struggles with poverty, food insecurity and financial hardship shaped his priorities…
- Culinary Union to host a membership meeting with former Vice President Kamala Harris, Congresswoman Dina Titus, and Attorney General Aaron FordWednesday, October 21, 2026 Bethany Khan: [email protected] ▪ (702) 387-7088 Culinary Union to host a membership meeting with former Vice President Kamala Harris Las Vegas, NV - On Wednesday, October 21, Culinary Union will host a…
- Joe Lombardo, Nevada governor running for re-election in 2026 midterm electionsNevada Governor Joe Lombardo is seeking a second term in office in the 2026 midterm elections, campaigning on his record of economic diversification, public safety and business-friendly policies. Lombardo has spent much more time in a…
- A Democratic win in the Nevada governor race could unlock dozens of twice-vetoed billsMonday, Nov. 2, 2026 | 2 a.m. Twice, Nevada lawmakers passed a bill capping prescription drug prices at Medicare levels. Twice, Gov. Joe Lombardo vetoed it. The same fate met a cap on rent increases for seniors, a ban on people under 21…
- Live Results: Nevada governor midterm electionStand with free and independent journalism. Join Press Pass from PBS News Polls close at 7 p.m. local time, which is 10 p.m. ET, but state law requires polls to stay open until all voters in line by poll closing time have cast their…
- Dead Heat in Nevada Governor’s RaceA new Noble Predictive Insights poll in Nevada finds Joe Lombardo (R) and Aaron Ford (D) tied in the governor’s race, 47% to 47%, with Danielle Ford (D) at 1%. Nevada Governor’s Race Joe Lombardo (R) 47% Aaron Ford (D) 47% Noble Predictive…
- Gaming donors back Lombardo in Nevada governor race as odds shift to FordHome > Casino & games > Gaming donors back Lombardo in Nevada governor race as odds shift to Ford On Tuesday, Nevada voters will decide the state’s gubernatorial race between incumbent Joe Lombardo, a Republican, and Democratic candidate…
- How a pardons board policy change affected the Nevada governor’s raceA closer look at the Norman Smith case shows how Nevada’s clemency process works and how it became a political issue in the governor’s campaign. Steve Wolfson says Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo is the better choice on public safety, while…
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
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Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions