Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote percent
The odds
3%At least 46%
44%72%
How the odds have moved
At least 46%: 94% on Oct 20, 3% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 5 PM ETAt least 46%: 57% → 3%
- Oct 25, 10 PM ETAt least 46%: 79% → 86%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 3% | 29¢ | $3.45 | 2.0K | ||
| At least 48% | 2% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 150 | ||
| At least 50% | 2% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 5.4K | ||
| At least 52% | 2% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.7K | ||
| At least 54% | 2% | ▲ 3 | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.3K | |
| At least 56% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.1K | ||
| At least 58% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 801 | ||
| At least 60% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 677 | ||
| At least 62% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.5K | ||
| At least 64% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.4K | ||
| At least 66% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.3K | ||
| At least 68% | 1% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.9K |
| At least 70% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Tennessee Governor, Marsha Blackburn
Search ›- Marsha Blackburn projected to win Tennessee governor's race, Julia Letlow projected to win Louisiana US Senate raceFox News Marsha Blackburn projected to win Tennessee governor's race, Julia Letlow projected to win Louisiana US Senate race Fox News anchor Trace Gallagher reports on projected victories for Sen. Marsha Blackburn, R-Tenn., in Tennessee's…
- Marsha Blackburn elected Tennessee’s first female governorFox Business Marsha Blackburn elected Tennessee’s first female governor Tennessee Gov.-elect Marsha Blackburn joins ‘Kudlow’ to analyze the GOP’s midterm performance, the party’s path forward and the potential impact on President Donald…
- Taylor Swift's Past Criticism of Marsha Blackburn Resurfaces After Republican Wins Tennessee Governor's RaceTaylor Swift's past criticism of Marsha Blackburn has returned to attention after the Republican senator won Tennessee's governor's race on Tuesday, 3 November 2026. Blackburn defeated Democrat Jerri Green, becoming the state's first woman…
- Source Close To Tennessee Governor-Elect Marsha Blackburn Reportedly Shares Pete Hegseth’s Chances Of Being Appointed To SenateSen. Marsha Blackburn (R-TN), the governor-elect of Tennessee, reportedly is not considering Secretary of War Pete Hegseth for her soon-to-be vacant Senate seat. According to Punchbowl News founder Jake Sherman, a source close to Blackburn…
- Marsha Blackburn becomes first woman elected to Tennessee governor’s officeNASHVILLE, Tenn. (WSMV) - Voters have chosen Marsha Blackburn to be the next governor of Tennessee, making her the first woman elected to the state’s highest office. Blackburn, a Republican senator, will succeed Gov. Bill Lee, who has…
- Marsha Blackburn wins Tennessee governor's raceBlackburn said she would begin assembling a team on Wednesday. Republican U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn won the Tennessee governor's race on Tuesday, saying in her victory speech it is time to get to work. With votes still being counted and…
- FOX13 declares US Senator Marsha Blackburn to win Tennessee governor seatMEMPHIS, Tenn. - FOX13 declares that US Senator Marsha Blackburn will win the race for governor in Tennessee. A native of Laurel, Mississippi, Blackburn began her career in politics in 1995 as executive director of the Tennessee Film…
- Sen. Marsha Blackburn elected Tennessee governor. What’s next for schools?U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn is Tennessee’s next governor. Blackburn, a Republican, pulled out a win in the unusually competitive gubernatorial race. The governor-elect netted less than 50% of the total vote, the smallest margin of victory…
- U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn Ekes Out Tennessee Governor’s SeatU.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn scratched out a victory Tuesday to become the first woman governor in Tennessee history, claiming a mandate to govern conservatively even though she failed to capture a majority vote. Blackburn claimed victory at…
- ‘I’m not going anywhere’: Jerri Green falls to Marsha Blackburn in Tennessee governor’s race. Here’s what it means for DemocratsNASHVILLE, Tenn. (WSMV) - By a narrow margin, voters have chosen Marsha Blackburn to be the next governor of Tennessee, making her the first woman elected to the state’s highest office. Blackburn, a Republican senator and the GOP nominee…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions