Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
Vermont Governor election: Phil Scott vote percent
The odds
52.53%median
42%78%
Median 52.53%Middle half 51.75% – 53.31%
How the odds have moved
Median: 51.26% on Oct 19, 52.53% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 45% | 99% | 85¢ | $1.01 | 2.6K | ||
| At least 48% | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 6.4K | ||
| At least 50% | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 640 | ||
| At least 51% | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 2.1K | ||
| At least 54% | 3% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.6K | ||
| At least 57% | 3% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 60% | 3% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 2.0K | ||
| At least 66% | 3% | 14¢ | $7.14 | 400 | ||
| At least 69% | 3% | 14¢ | $7.14 | 28.00 | ||
| At least 72% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 3.6K | ||
| At least 75% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 4.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Vermont Governor, Phil Scott
Search ›- Scott, Janoo face off in Vermont governor’s debateBURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - The top candidates for Vermont governor faced off in a debate on WCAX Wednesday evening, less than a week before Election Day. Incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott and Progressive Democrat Amanda Janoo are vying…
- Final Vermont Governor Poll has Phil Scott Holding a 3-Point LeadThe race for Vermont Governor remains tight, with Phil Scott having a slight edge. This survey was weighted on our standard demographic and party targets, without the 2024 recalled-vote weighting we applied to our early October release…
- With a tight Vermont governor’s race, who is cornering the college vote?Gov. Phil Scott and Amanda Janoo both hope that their messages about affordability can attract younger voters. by Simone Traynor, Community News Service With Election Day creeping up, incumbent Republican Gov. Phil Scott leads by 3…
- Scott Leads Janoo in Vermont Governor’s RaceA new State Navigate poll in Vermont finds Phil Scott (R) leading Amanda Janoo (D) in the governor’s race, 49% to 46%. Vermont Governor’s Race Phil Scott (R) 49% Amanda Janoo (D) 46% State Navigate poll · likely voters · ±2.3% A new State…
- New poll shows Vermont governor’s race in near dead heatMONTPELIER, Vt. (WCAX) - A new poll released Tuesday shows Vermont’s governor’s race in a near dead heat in the final week leading up to the election. To date, four big polls have been released in the race between Republican incumbent Gov…
- Who is Phil Scott? Meet Vermont's 82nd governorVermont Gov. Phil Scott is running for a sixth term in office this Election Day, facing challenger Amanda Janoo. But who is Scott, and what issues is he campaigning on? Scott, 68, is the 82nd governor of the state of Vermont and a…
- Who is Amanda Janoo, the Democratic candidate running for Vermont governor?Democrat Amanda Janoo is running to become the 83rd governor of Vemont, and is facing off against incumbent Republican Phil Scott. But who is Amanda Janoo, and what platform is she campaigning on? Amanda Janoo is an economist from…
- Scott apologizes to Winooski school leaders, says he misspoke in debate commentVermont Gov. Phil Scott apologized to Winooski school leaders on Friday, saying he misspoke. It came after the district pushed back on his comments about language offerings during WCAX’s gubernatorial debate Wednesday. Scott apologizes to…
- Vermont’s pot-growing, gun-toting, party-switching lieutenant governor is on the ropesIn a less partisan era, Lieutenant Governor John Rodgers might be just the kind of character who would waltz to reelection in Vermont, a ticket-splitting state that has simultaneously sent a Brooklyn-born democratic socialist to the Senate…
- Vermont incumbents rarely lose, but polls point to possible upsetsBURLINGTON, Vt. (WCAX) - Holding an office and running for reelection is almost a guarantee of success because incumbents rarely lose in Vermont. But could it happen this year? Based on preelection polls, the races for governor and…
- School districts call out Scott over debate commentWINOOSKI, Vt. (WCAX) - Two Chittenden County school districts are pushing back on comments Vermont Gov. Phil Scott made during WCAX’s gubernatorial debate Wednesday. The comments came when moderators Darren Perron and Cat Viglienzoni asked…
- Motorists help injured red-tailed hawk in WalpoleNORTH WALPOLE, N.H. — Several motorists came to the aid of an injured red-tailed hawk after spotting the bird in distress on Route 12 in North Walpole during the late morning hours of Monday. Concerned citizens stopped their vehicles and…
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All governors ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
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Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
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Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions