Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
AZ-01 House election: Amish Shah vote percent
The odds
52.84%median
44%62%
Median 52.84%Middle half 52.06% – 53.63%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.7% on Oct 20, 52.84% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | 471 | ||
| At least 48% | 92% | $1.09 | 650 | |||
| At least 50% | 92% | 80¢ | $1.09 | 1.9K | ||
| At least 52% | 77% | $1.30 | 976 | |||
| At least 54% | 13% | 69¢ | $1.45 | 2.1K | ||
| At least 56% | 8% | 61¢ | $1.64 | 1.5K | ||
| At least 58% | 8% | 61¢ | $1.64 | 720 | ||
| At least 60% | 8% | $13.04 | 57.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Amish Shah
Search ›- Amish Shah seeks to become first Indian-American to represent Arizona in CongressDemocrat Dr Amish Shah is seeking to make history as the first Indian American to represent Arizona in the US Congress. He is campaigning for a closely contested House seat in the November 3 general election and faces Republican Jay Feely…
- Amish Shah, Indian-American doctor facing Jay Feely in Arizona’s 1st district raceHe entered the Arizona House of Representatives in 2019 and served till 2024. During his time in the state legislature, he worked on issues including public health, education and animal cruelty . Before entering politics, Shah worked as a…
- Indian-Americans Amish Shah, Pia Dandiya favoured in key US House racesIndian-American candidates Amish Shah and Pia Dandiya have favourable prospects in their races for the US House of Representatives in Arizona and Florida, according to pre-election predictions reported by news agency Press Trust of India…
- ‘A revolution in slow motion’: is Arizona’s wealthiest district finally done with Trump?Circumstances are ripe for change in this onetime Republican stronghold given the current dissatisfaction with Trump agenda, experts say Donald Trump has repeatedly asked voters to pretend that he is on the ballot in November’s crucial…
- 2026 Election: Who is running for Congress in Arizona? Complete guide to the 2026 House racesPHOENIX - Besides statewide offices and ballot measures, Arizona voters will also be choosing a person this November to represent them in the upcoming Congress. While 33 Senate seats will be up for reelection this November, none of those…
- Democrats are eager to flip 2 congressional seats in ArizonaWith the clock ticking on the midterm elections, Rep. Greg Stanton recently rallied a group of Democrats in North Phoenix with a straightforward message. “Go win,” he said. “Don’t lose!” Stanton was helping volunteers get pumped up to…
- Indian-American Democrat Amish Shah Faces Trump-Backed Jay Feely in Arizona House Race“President Donald Trump and his allies are mounting a last-minute mission to shore up his longtime personal friend in a battleground Arizona district,” Politico reported Friday in an article headlined “Meet Trump’s Favorite House…
- 10 Indian Americans to watch as 2026 midterm elections nearIndian American candidates are seeking to strengthen their presence in Congress and state legislatures, while established political leaders continue to shape Democratic Party contests through endorsements and grassroots organizing. Indian…
- AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in Arizona on Election DayDemocratic Gov. Katie Hobbs of Arizona is seeking a second term on Election Day, but faces a challenge from Republican Rep. Andy Biggs AP Decision Notes: What to Expect in Arizona on Election Day The Arizona governorship is a top takeover…
- Ex-NFL Star Jay Feely’s Political Hopes Get Major Boost After Roger Goodell & Charles Barkley Back Congressional CampaignOct 28, 2026 | 5:09 PM EDT August 5, 2026, Paradise Valley, Arizona, USA: Congressional candidate JAY FEELY speaking at a fundraiser in Paradise Valley, Arizona. Paradise Valley USA – ZUMAg247 20260805_znp_g247_006 Copyright…
- Arizona’s Richest Swing District Slips Away From TrumpDonald Trump has spent years making himself the dominant force in Republican politics. In one of Arizona’s wealthiest congressional districts, that very fact may be helping cost his party a seat. Arizona’s 1st Congressional District, a…
- Arizona's swing districts: What the final polls say one week before Election DayARIZONA — With Election Day one week away, the final polls are in — and they show Democrats ahead up and down the Arizona ballot. Local pollster HighGround's final poll of the cycle has Gov. Katie Hobbs leading Andy Biggs by 12 points. The…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions