Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
AZ-01 House election: Jay Feely vote percent
The odds
45.31%median
38%58%
Median 45.31%Middle half 43.59% – 46.79%
How the odds have moved
Median: 46.57% on Oct 19, 45.31% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 98% | $1.02 | 7.4K | |||
| At least 46% | 40% | 50¢ | $2.00 | 619 | ||
| At least 48% | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 178 | ||
| At least 50% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 4.4K | ||
| At least 52% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 228 | ||
| At least 54% | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 | |||
| At least 56% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Jay Feely
Search ›- How Jay Feely’s Congressional Defeat Reflects the Cardinals’ Current IssuesMichael Bidwill continues to be a polarizing leader. Getty The Arizona Cardinals are having a fascinating 2026 season – both on and off-the-field. This includes for former kicker Jay Feely, who spent the last several months in a campaign…
- The Jets finally win in Amish Shah vs Jay FeelyThey would have anyway. Both candidates in Arizona’s closely fought congressional race had once been with the New York Jets, one as a player, the other as a doctor. But only one was headed to Congress Shah did not work for the Arizona…
- Arizona CD1 goes blue as Amish Shah defeats Jay FeelyPHOENIX (AZFamily) — Democrats are riding the blue wave in Arizona and have flipped a toss-up Congressional seat blue. Shah defeated Republican nominee Jay Feely, a former NFL kicker, for the House seat left open by U.S. Rep. David…
- Jay Feely’s Congressional Dreams Have Doinked Off The UprightsTuesday sure delivered. The blue wave—a bluenami—is a great relief to people with brains and functioning moral senses, but much of the strongest juice produced Tuesday night was drawn from a few individual races. Some of those were…
- Democrat Amish Shah wins Arizona's 1st Congressional District seat over Jay FeelyAs of 10:02 a.m. Thursday, when the AP called the race in Shah’s favor, he led by 53% of the vote to Republican Jay Feely’s 46%. Shah becomes the first Democrat to represent the north Valley area — encompassing Scottsdale and Cave Creek —…
- Democrat Amish Shah holds commanding lead over Republican Jay Feely in Arizona's District OneSCOTTSDALE, AZ — Political experts predicted Arizona's 1st Congressional District would lean blue in this election, and those predictions are likely to become a reality. Voting results released so far shown Democrat Amish Shah with a…
- Ex-Falcons Kicker Jay Feely Learns Congress Voting ResultsJay Feely spent more than a decade kicking in the NFL. But he had a different kind of pressure-packed night on Tuesday. It was Election Night, and the former placekicker was running for a seat in Congress in the state of Arizona. Feely was…
- Arizona CD1 stays close between Amish Shah, Jay FeelyAtlanta News First Arizona CD1 stays close between Amish Shah, Jay Feely Denise Powell becomes second woman elected to represent Nebraska in Congress Abdul El-Sayed declares victory in Michigan's hotly contested US Senate race Garlin…
- Former NFL analyst Jay Feely expected to lose Arizona house raceFormer NFL kicker and CBS analyst Jay Feely looks to be one of many names caught up in the blue tsunami on Election Day. However, like many other races around the country, the district appears to be flipping to Democrats in the 2026…
- Ex-Jets star Jay Feely loses Arizona election to his former doctor Amish ShahFeely and Shah previously worked in tandem at Giants Stadium - the Jets' former home Former NFL kicker Jay Feely has lost the midterm race in Arizona's 1st Congressional District to ex-New York Jets physician, Amish Shah. Feely, running as…
- Amish Shah leads Jay Feely in early CD-1 resultsFOX 10 Phoenix Early returns show Democrat Amish Shah ahead of Republican Jay Feely by nearly 12 points in Arizona's 1st Congressional District. FOX 10's Justin Lum and Taylor Wirtz have the latest.
- Amish Shah, Jay Feely battle for Arizona CD-1 seatFOX 10 Phoenix Democrat Amish Shah and Republican Jay Feely face off in Arizona's 1st Congressional District as Rep. David Schweikert departs, leaving a key House battleground to be decided by independents. FOX 10's Justin Lum and Taylor…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
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Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
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36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions