Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
AZ-02 House election: Eli Crane vote percent
The odds
50.71%median
48%58%
Median 50.71%Middle half 50.05% – 51.36%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.42% on Oct 19, 50.71% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 77% | 2¢ | $1.30 | 1.4K | ||
| At least 52% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 411 | ||
| At least 54% | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 87.00 | ||
| At least 56% | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AZ- House, Eli Crane
Search ›- STILL COUNTING: MAGA Republican Rep. Eli Crane Takes The LEAD In Tight Election Race In ArizonaWith all the bad news Republicans have received in the midterms, there have been some bright spots. Last night, former Navy SEAL Rep. Eli Crane took the lead in Arizona’s District 2 race. Crane was initially trailing his Democrat…
- CD2 race between Eli Crane and Jonathan Nez too close to callVoters have given Timber Mesa Fire and Medical District the green light to invest $25 million in fire stations, equipment and emergency response capabilities with the passage of Proposition 455 in the Nov. 3 general election. Titan Myers…
- Rosales leads for San Luis Mayor, Sandoval and Cortez lead for AZ House in LD 23San Luis voters will have a new mayor in 2027 and in early results Tuesday night former City Council Member Matias Rosales appears to be headed for that office. As of 9:30 p.m. Rosales had 52 percent of the vote while James Allen Jr. had…
- Crane continues to hold lead over Nez in race for Arizona's 2nd Congressional District seatEli Crane and Jonathan Nez. With another 20,000 votes coming in since Thursday afternoon, current Republican Rep. Eli Crane continued to maintain a lead over Democratic challenger Jonathan Nez in the race for Arizona's 2nd Congressional…
- Mary Peltola’s on Track for the WinI am headed back West this morning (I am at a remarkable conference on community and data centers. More about that next week.) To read more articles by Mark Trahant, go to: Marktrahant.substack.com. A bit of news: Mary Peltola, Yup’ik, is…
- 2026 Election: Republican Abe Hamadeh projected to win new termPer his congressional bio, Hamadeh is the son of immigrants who moved to the U.S. from the Middle East. He once served as a prosecutor in Maricopa County, and prior to his time in Congress, Hamadeh ran against Democrat Kris Mayes in an…
- Resources and Updates for Arizonans Impacted by Severe FloodingLast weekend, historic rainfall caused severe flooding across Arizona. Lives were lost, homes and infrastructure were damaged, and many Arizonans were forced to evacuate. Rep. Eli Crane (R-AZ) is in frequent contact with federal, state…
- Gap between Crane and Nez widensVoters have given Timber Mesa Fire and Medical District the green light to invest $25 million in fire stations, equipment and emergency response capabilities with the passage of Proposition 455 in the Nov. 3 general election. Titan Myers…
- Arizona Attorney General defends tuition cost for DreamersGrant Meyers talks on the phone while walking on the pedway between classes during the first day of the 2026 fall semester at Northern Arizona University. PHOENIX — Lawyers for the state are telling a federal judge it’s none of the…
- Republican Wins Close Race for Open Arizona Seat in US HouseThe Republican candidate triumphed in the race to fill a U.S. House of Representatives seat left open by Rep. Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.). Lamb earned 159,821 votes to Lee’s 150,119, according to unofficial results from Arizona’s secretary of…
- Former Arizona sheriff, GOP candidate Mark Lamb wins US House seatPHOENIX (AZFamily) — One Republican candidate has clinched another Arizona congressional district, while two others remain too close to call. Democrats held early leads in some of Arizona’s traditionally red House districts on election…
- House of Representatives race winners 2026: Results from pivotal fight for 435 seats between Republicans and DemocratsFollow along with The Post’s live election tracker for real-time results, including winners and losers in the most hotly contested House races across the country. All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives will be contested in the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions