Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
CA-13 House election: Adam Gray vote percent
The odds
53%At least 58%
48%64%
How the odds have moved
At least 50%: 98% on Oct 20, 90% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 90% | $1.11 | 2.7K | |||
| At least 52% | 81% | $1.23 | 2.1K | |||
| At least 58% | 53% | $1.89 | 298 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Adam Gray
Search ›- Adam Gray faces Kevin Lincoln in California's 13th Congressional District raceNovember 3, 2026 / 6:39 AM PST / CBS Sacramento Democratic Rep. Adam Gray and Republican Kevin Lincoln, former mayor of Stockton, face off Tuesday in California's 13th Congressional District election. Gray is seeking a second term after…
- Rep. Adam Gray declares victory in CD-13 over Republican endorsed by TrumpThis story was originally published by The Merced FOCUS. Democrat incumbent Adam Gray declared victory over his Republican opponent Kevin Lincoln, according to a campaign press release sent out Wednesday morning. “Valley voters have once…
- Democrat Adam Gray wins reelection to U.S. House in California's 13th Congressional DistrictDemocratic incumbent Adam Gray won election Wednesday to the U.S. House of Representatives representing California's 13th Congressional District, defeating Republican Kevin Lincoln. Gray, a moderate Democrat who won his first House term by…
- U.S. Rep. Adam Gray defeats former Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln in California’s 13th Congressional DistrictU.S. Rep. Adam Gray has won reelection to Congress, defeating former Stockton Mayor Kevin Lincoln in California’s 13th Congressional District. The victory gives Gray a second term representing the district, which includes parts of San…
- Rep. Adam Gray leads Congressional District 13 in early voting resultsMerced Democratic Congressman Adam Gray is likely to serve another two year term in the U.S. House of Representatives for District 13, early voting results show. By the end of Tuesday night, results showed Gray held roughly 61% of the…
- Rep. Adam Gray defeats Republican Kevin Lincoln for California’s 13th DistrictRep. Adam Gray, D-Merced, will retain his Central Valley seat by a sizable margin after years of closely contested races. “Valley voters have once again placed their trust in me, and I don’t take that responsibility lightly,” Gray said in…
- Early returns show Rep. Adam Gray leading Kevin Lincoln in 13th District raceEarly voting results appear to signal that Rep. Adam Gray, D-Merced, will retain his background district over Republican challenger Kevin Lincoln. The contest is one of the few California House races that remains competitive after…
- CA House Races 2026: Real-Time ResultsLOS ANGELES, CA — The polls have closed, and the results of California's 52 Congressional races will soon begin rolling in even as it's already clear that voters nationwide have handed control of the U.S. House of Representatives to…
- California Midterm Elections 2026: Who Could Take California’s 13th Congressional District? Adam Gray vs Kevin Lincoln – Check Election Predictions, Polls, Candidate Profiles, Voting Trends & MoreAdam Gray is the Democratic incumbent representing California’s 13th Congressional District. His position in the race is particularly significant because he won the seat in 2024 by a very narrow margin, making the district one of the…
- As progressive campaigns grow more popular, Democrat Adam Gray is focused on the centerThis story was originally published by The Merced FOCUS. Even though California’s Prop. 50 made Congressional District 13 lean more Democratic, incumbent Rep. Adam Gray’s campaign strategy hasn’t changed much, and he’s sticking to his…
- Incumbent Adam Gray and challenger Kevin Lincoln face off in the California 13th Congressional District race.The Lufkin Daily News Incumbent Adam Gray and challenger Kevin Lincoln face off in the California 13th Congressional District race. - Angelina County grand juries hand up 92 indictments - Lufkin man jailed after Livingston Walmart truck…
- Reporter's Notebook: A user’s manual to upcoming leadership elections in the House and SenateSeveral newly elected Democratic senators suggest they are not committed to supporting Sen. Chuck Schumer as Senate Majority Leader. Fox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on the Democratic Party’s priorities and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions