Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
CA-45 House election: Derek Tran vote percent
The odds
80%At least 54%
48%56%
How the odds have moved
At least 50%: 96% on Oct 20, 90% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 90% | $1.11 | 1.8K | |||
| At least 52% | 88% | $1.14 | 200 | |||
| At least 54% | 80% | $1.25 | 212 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Derek Tran
Search ›- Derek Tran wins reelection in Congressional District 45, NBC News projectsUNITED STATES – MAY 15: Rep. Derek Tran, D-Calif., walks up the House steps for the last votes of the week in the U.S. Capitol on Friday, May 15, 2026. (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images) Congressman Derek Tran will win…
- Election results: Derek Tran, Chuong Vo face off in 45th Congressional District raceRep. Derek Tran, D-Orange, jumped out to an initial large lead against Republican Chuong Vo Tuesday night, according to early returns released by the California secretary of state’s office. The 45th Congressional District includes Cerritos…
- Election results: Derek Tran jumps to a lead over Chuong Vo in 45th Congressional District raceRep. Derek Tran, D-Orange, jumped out to an initial large lead against Republican Chuong Vo Tuesday night, according to early returns released by the California secretary of state’s office. The 45th Congressional District includes Cerritos…
- CA House Races 2026: Real-Time ResultsLOS ANGELES, CA — The polls have closed, and the results of California's 52 Congressional races will soon begin rolling in even as it's already clear that voters nationwide have handed control of the U.S. House of Representatives to…
- CA House Races To Watch: The Blue Wave And Election InterferenceLOS ANGELES, CA — Heading into Election Day Tuesday, the most heated battles in California's 52 Congressional districts are taking place in courtrooms where the Trump Administration is sandbagging ahead of the coming blue wave. The…
- House of Representatives race winners 2026: Results from pivotal fight for 435 seats between Republicans and DemocratsFollow along with The Post’s live election tracker for real-time results, including winners and losers in the most hotly contested House races across the country. All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives will be contested in the…
- California Congressional District 45 incumbent leads midterm raceCOURTESY OF CHUONG VO (LEFT), COURTESY OF DEREK TRAN (RIGHT) Democrat Derek Tran leads the race for the District 45 U.S. Representative seat with 57.27% of the vote, totaling 66,816 votes, according to OC Vote. Republican Chuong Vo is…
- China Lancang-Mekong CooperationWV News Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, right, and Thailand's Foreign Minister Sihasak Phuangketkeow arrive for a press conference after the Lancang-Mekong Cooperation Foreign Ministers Meeting in Beijing Wednesday, Nov. 4, 2026. There…
- Hakeem Jeffries is on track to make House speaker history. But major challenges lay aheadCloudy. Highs in the upper 50s.. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the middle 40s. House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries interacts with members of the audience after he delivered a speech at Rep. Derek Tran's "Take Back the House" rally for his…
- CA Prop. 1 Real-Time Election ResultsPatch CA Prop. 1 Real-Time Election Results Voters have had their say on Proposition 1, which would authorize the state to issue $11.25 billion in new bonds for housing programs. SACRAMENTO, CA — After polls came to a close Tuesday night…
- CA Prop. 39 Real-Time Election ResultsPatch CA Prop. 39 Real-Time Election Results Voters have had their say on Proposition 39, which would require government-issued identification at the polls and mail-in ballots. SACRAMENTO, CA — California voters rejected Proposition 39…
- OB Rag Live Blog for Election Day — Mid-Terms 20269:10 pm Very close race for mayor of Los Angeles 8:48 Both Props 39 and 40 going down in defeat Other results: Marni von Wilpert has 59.4%, 84,030 to Jim Desmond with 40.6% in CA – House 48. In State Sen. 40th District, Mara Elliott has…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions