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CT-05 House election: Jahana Hayes vote percent
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 58% on Oct 20, 57.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 96% | $1.04 | 2.9K | |||
| At least 52% | 92% | 75¢ | $1.09 | 2.7K | ||
| At least 54% | 92% | $1.09 | 152 | |||
| At least 56% | 92% | 75¢ | $1.09 | 1.0K | ||
| At least 60% | 6% | $16.67 | 200 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CT- House, Jahana Hayes
Search ›- Jahana Hayes defeats former Navy Seal to win her 5th term in CT's 5th Congressional DistrictChris Shea is the GOP candidate for Connecticut's 5th Congressional District, challenging incumbent Democrat Jahana Hayes. U.S. Rep. Jahana Hayes celebrates with supporters following her win over Republican challenger Chris Shea in the 5th…
- Democrat Jahana Hayes wins reelection to U.S. House in Connecticut's 5th Congressional DistrictKTVO General Election results for November 3, 2026 Northeast Missouri teen killed in Monday morning crash in Scotland County Macon County authorities ask for help in locating man wanted on kidnapping, assault charges Fire departments…
- CT House of Representatives election 2026: Live resultsby Angela Eichhorst, CT Mirror November 3, 2026 Never donated to CT Mirror? Now's the best time to change that! If you make your first gift today, your donation is MATCHED 2X! CT Mirror stories are always free to read. We rely on…
- Contender to lead House education committee pushes to repeal education tax creditRep. Suzanne Bonamici, one of several Democrats running to lead the committee, says the program that’s championed by top Jewish groups favors private schools rather than public education Rep. Suzanne Bonamici (D-OR) speaks during a press…
- Lamont Reelected, Democrats Secure Historic GainsGov. Ned Lamont won a rare third term Nov. 3, as Democrats swept all congressional and statewide races while securing historic margins in the state House and Senate. Connecticut Democrats’ election performance mirrored a sweeping national…
- Candelora Picked To Lead House RepublicansHARTFORD, CT — House Republicans unanimously chose Vincent Candelora to serve a fourth term as their leader Thursday night, backing the North Branford lawmaker to continue guiding the caucus. Candelora said he and his caucus colleagues are…
- Voters choose a Humane World at the ballot boxNow, let’s take a look at the incredible difference you made in this election cycle and the key outcomes that set the stage for our work moving forward. — Jahana Hayes (@JahanaHayesCT) October 11, 2026 Across the board, our movement showed…
- Woodbury/Middlebury Election Results 2026: Vote Totals For Every RaceWOODBURY/MIDDLEBURY, CT — It was a historic night for Democrats across the county and also in Connecticut as the top candidates for state office all rolled to victory. On Election Day, Gov. Ned Lamont, Democrat, received 646,742 votes, and…
- Cheshire Election Results 2026: Vote Totals For Every Race, Ballot QuestionCHESHIRE, CT — It was a historic night for Democrats across the country and also in Connecticut as the top candidates for state office all rolled to victory. On Election Day, incumbent Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont received 646,742 votes, and…
- Hartford Election Results 2026: Vote Totals For Every RaceHARTFORD, CT — It was a historic night for Democrats across the country and also in Connecticut as the top candidates for state office all rolled to victory. On Election Day, Gov. Ned Lamont, Democrat, received 646,742 votes, and his…
- New Milford Election Results 2026: Vote Totals For Every RaceNEW MILFORD, CT — It was a historic night for Democrats across the county and also in Connecticut as the top candidates for state office all rolled to victory. On Election Day, Gov. Ned Lamont, Democrat, received 646,742 votes, and his…
- Meriden Election Results 2026: Vote Totals For Every RaceMERIDEN, CT — It was a historic night for Democrats across the country and also in Connecticut as the top candidates for state office all rolled to victory. On Election Day, incumbent Democratic Gov. Ned Lamont received 646,742 votes, and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions