Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
IA-03 House election: Sarah Trone Garriott vote percent
The odds
52.95%median
46%60%
Median 52.95%Middle half 52.36% – 53.55%
How the odds have moved
Median: 52.16% on Oct 20, 52.95% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48% | 90% | 42¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 4.6K | |
| At least 50% | 90% | $1.11 | 310 | |||
| At least 52% | 90% | $1.11 | 226 | |||
| At least 54% | 6% | 98¢ | $1.02 | 50.00 | ||
| At least 56% | 5% | $20.00 | 37.00 | |||
| At least 58% | 4% | 41¢ | $2.44 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Sarah Trone Garriott, IA- House
Search ›- Representative-Elect Sarah Trone Garriott (D-IA) News ConferenceRepresentative-Elect Sarah Trone Garriott (D-IA) held a news conference in Urbandale, Iowa after winning the midterm election. She thanked the people of Iowa for electing her to Congress and talked about her priorities in Washington, D.C…
- Election Results: Sarah Trone Garriott wins 3rd Congressional District seatHer win flips the district from red to blue, ousting Republican incumbent Rep. Zach Nunn who trailed 7.3 percentage points behind.Trone Garriott is a state senator and Lutheran minister from West Des Moines. Trone Garriott's win is another…
- Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott Defeats Republican Zach Nunn in IowaProbably not one seen in 60+ years. And it leached into Iowa, where, if it was tariffs, like Indiana and North Carolina, who ran out of patience with Bush and protecting manufacturing, they opted to vote Democrat. In Iowa’s third district…
- Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott wins election to U.S. House in Iowa's 3rd Congressional DistrictKMTV 3 News Now Omaha OMAHA, Neb. —Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott won election Wednesday to the U.S. House of Representatives representing Iowa's 3rd Congressional District, defeating Republican incumbent Zach Nunn. Trone Garriott is a…
- Iowa Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott unseats Rep. Zach Nunn in 3rd District raceDES MOINES, Iowa — Iowa Democrats have flipped the state’s 3rd Congressional District, with state Sen. Sarah Trone Garriott defeating Republican incumbent U.S. Rep. Zach Nunn. “I am so grateful to the voters of this district. Thank you for…
- Sarah Trone Garriott declares victory in race for Iowa’s 3rd Congressional DistrictTrone Garriott is a three-term state Senator who represented portions of Dallas County and ordained chaplain. CEDAR RAPIDS, Iowa (KCRG) - Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott has flipped Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District from Republican incumbent…
- DNC Congratulates Sarah Trone Garriott on Her Election to the U.S. House of RepresentativesIn response to Sarah Trone Garriott’s election to the U.S. House of Representatives, DNC Chair Ken Martin released the following statement: “Congratulations to Sarah Trone Garriott, the Iowa Democratic Party, and all the hardworking…
- Sarah Trone Garriott wins Iowa’s Third Congressional District, AP projectsTrone Garriott has served in the Iowa State Senate for the 14th district, covering parts of Dallas County, since 2021. She is replacing Republican incumbent Zach Nunn, who has held the seat for two terms. Iowa’s third congressional…
- Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott defeats incumbent Zach Nunn in Iowa’s 3rd DistrictPreliminary results from the AP show Trone Garriott pulled in 55% of the vote to 45% for Nunn, with 92% of precincts reporting. Trone Garriott, who joined Iowa Democrats at a watch party in Des Moines, said that Iowans have “so much common…
- Democrats Ran Local. It Worked.During my reporting across America, I found Democratic candidates talking again and again about gas prices, not culture-war issues, writes River Page. I knew Adam Hamilton was on the up when I went to Kansas last month and found that…
- Iowa's new US House delegation: Meet the folks representing western IowaIowa's delegation to the U.S. House of Representatives will be entirely new in January, with four freshman members of Congress heading to Washington D.C. Representing western Iowa will be one Democrat and one Republican — a Lutheran…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions