Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
ME-02 House election: Matt Dunlap vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
48.94%median
42%56%
Median 48.94%Middle half 48.37% – 49.5%
How the odds have moved
Median: 48.18% on Oct 20, 48.94% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 92% | 25¢ | $1.09 | 21.00 | ||
| At least 46% | 92% | $1.09 | 76.00 | |||
| At least 48% | 92% | $1.09 | 2.7K | |||
| At least 50% | 3% | 90¢ | $1.11 | 3.2K | ||
| At least 52% | 2% | 40¢ | $2.50 | 215 | ||
| At least 54% | 2% | 40¢ | $2.50 | 5.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ME- House, Matt Dunlap
Search ›- Matt Dunlap concedes in Maine's 2nd District RaceCBS13 is tracking the latest election results. AUGUSTA, Maine (WGME) -- Democrat Matt Dunlap has conceded to former Republican Gov. Paul LePage in the race for Maine’s Second Congressional District even as the race heads for a…
- MDP Thanks Matt Dunlap for His Campaign for CD-2 - Maine Democratic PartyAugusta, Maine – Following the results of Maine’s Second Congressional District race, Maine Democratic Party Chair Charlie Dingman released the following statement: “Matt Dunlap ran a campaign focused on the issues that matter most to…
- Matt Dunlap concedes as 2nd District race heads to ranked-choice runoffDemocrat Matt Dunlap on Thursday conceded to Republican Paul LePage even as the 2nd District race heads for a ranked-choice runoff. In a statement, his campaign acknowledged the tough math, saying the runoff was unlikely to change the…
- Democrat Matt Dunlap Concedes CD2 Race to Republican Paul LePage as Secretary of State Announces Plans for RCV TabulationsThe Maine Secretary of State’s Office announced Thursday morning that the race for the 2nd Congressional District’s seat in the U.S. House of Representatives would be moving on to ranked-choice voting tabulations, as no one candidate…
- Matt Dunlap conceded to Paul LePage, but they’re headed to a ranked-choice runoff anywayThe tight race for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District will head to a ranked-choice runoff after neither candidate secured more than 50% of the vote, Maine Secretary of State Shenna Bellows announced Thursday. And on Thursday afternoon…
- Paul LePage and Matt Dunlap are headed to a ranked-choice runoff. What happens now?Maine’s top source for news and information. You are able to gift 5 more articles this month. Anyone can access the link you share with no account required. Learn more. With a The Portland Press Herald subscription, you can gift 5 articles…
- Former GOP governor heads to Capitol Hill before election count is complete: 'Already at work'Former Republican Gov. Paul LePage of Maine, the GOP congressional nominee in the state's 2nd Congressional District, told Fox News Digital Tuesday he'll block Democrats' agenda if elected to the U.S. House and "make sure that DSA does not…
- Matt Dunlap says Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race remains too close to callPRESQUE ISLE, Maine (WAGM) - Democrat Matt Dunlap has responded to former Gov. Paul LePage’s declaration of victory in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District race, saying the election remains too close to call. In a statement released…
- Paul LePage declares victory over Matt Dunlap in 2nd District raceFormer Gov. Paul LePage declared victory Wednesday afternoon over Democrat Matt Dunlap in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, which would flip the seat to Republicans and hand his party its only win in the state’s marquee races on a night…
- Paul LePage, Matt Dunlap race too close to call in Maine’s 2nd Congressional DistrictThe nationally watched race for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District was too close to call yet Tuesday evening moments after polls closed. Former Republican Gov. Paul LePage and Democratic State Auditor Matt Dunlap were vying to win the…
- Paul LePage heads to DC for new member orientationPORTLAND, Maine (WMTW) - Former Governor Paul LePage says he is headed to Washington, D.C., for new member orientation in the U.S. Congress. “In the coming weeks and months, I will be laser focused on policies that lower your…
- Morning Update: What you need to know in Maine todayWe’ve got a cloudy day ahead, with temperatures ranging from the low 40s up north to the mid-50s in the south. Scattered showers continue across northern Maine, while the rest of the state gets an opportunity to dry out. There’s a chance…
Related markets
All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions