Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
59%At least 30%
16%34%
Install
ME-02 House election: Paul LePage vote percent (1st Round)
The odds
49.02%median
44%66%
Median 49.02%Middle half 48.2% – 49.84%
How the odds have moved
Median: 50.8% on Oct 19, 49.02% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46% | 98% | $1.02 | 400 | |||
| At least 48% | 81% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 10.00 | ||
| At least 50% | 20% | 99¢ | $1.01 | 322 | ||
| At least 52% | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 108 |
| At least 54% | 2% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 31.00 | ||
| At least 60% | 2% | ▲ 1 | 4¢ | $25.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: ME- House, Paul LePage
Search ›- Former GOP Maine Gov. Paul LePage vows to take on democratic socialists in CongressFormer Republican Gov. Paul LePage of Maine, the GOP congressional nominee in the state's 2nd Congressional District, told Fox News Digital Tuesday he'll block Democrats' agenda if elected to the U.S. House and "make sure that DSA does not…
- Paul LePage has very early lead in Maine’s 2nd Congressional DistrictThe nationally watched race for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District was too close to call yet Tuesday evening moments after polls closed. Former Republican Gov. Paul LePage and Democratic State Auditor Matt Dunlap were vying to win the…
- Why Paul LePage is on track to be Maine Republicans’ lone bright spot, but barelyFormer Gov. Paul LePage was in position early Wednesday to hand Maine Republicans their only major win of a bruising night, even as he trailed State Auditor Matt Dunlap by about 1,000 votes in the 2nd Congressional District. The rest of…
- Paul LePage, Matt Dunlap race too close to call in Maine’s 2nd Congressional DistrictThe nationally watched race for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District was too close to call yet Tuesday evening moments after polls closed. Former Republican Gov. Paul LePage and Democratic State Auditor Matt Dunlap were vying to win the…
- Maine's CD2 election results: Track battleground race between Matt Dunlap and Paul LePageFULL RESULTS: GOVERNOR | SENATE | 1ST DISTRICT | MAINE LEGISLATURE | ANDROSCOGGIN COUNTY | CUMBERLAND COUNTY | FRANKLIN COUNTY | KENNEBEC COUNTY | KNOX COUNTY | LINCOLN COUNTY | OXFORD COUNTY | SAGADAHOC COUNTY | WALDO COUNTY | YORK COUNTY…
- In Maine’s 2nd District, Paul LePage’s name recognition is a blessing and a curseThe towns were different, but the conversations in each place started to feel similar. Since late August, the Portland Press Herald visited eight communities in Maine’s geographically vast 2nd Congressional District that stretches from…
- Maine U.S. House Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News Maine House Results 2026 The Pine Tree State’s 2nd Congressional District is the state’s most competitive race, and Republicans are hopeful they can flip the red-leaning district now that Democratic Rep. Jared Golden is retiring…
- Maine 2026 election resultsSen. Susan Collins is the only Republican senator up for reelection this cycle in a state that former Vice President Kamala Harris won in 2024. But Collins, a five-term senator, has a record of winning tough races in the typically…
- Paul LePage has failed to make the case | Gov. Janet MillsJanet T. Mills is the 75th governor of Maine, and former District Attorney for Androscoggin, Franklin and Oxford Counties. Nearly eight years ago I took office as the 75th governor of the State of Maine. Immediately it became clear that I…
- Former Gov. LePage hopes experience will give him edge in 2nd District raceWith the polls closed in Maine, CBS13 is tracking all the election results. BANGOR (WGME) – Another race with state and national ramifications is happening in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District. Former Republican Governor Paul LePage is…
- Live election updates: Polls open across Maine Tuesday morningFollow the latest updates and news about Election Day in Maine, from voter turnout and sentiment to live results after polls close. Today’s elections include a U.S. Senate and congressional races, along with state, county and local…
- Democrat falls behind household-name Republican amid Somali fraud scandal in MaineFormer Gov. Paul LePage has turned the tide against Democrat Matt Dunlap, according to a new University of New Hampshire poll. Paul LePage is closing strong in Maine amid a torrent of fraud cases that festered under the state’s Democrat…
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All house ›Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)
14.41%median
8%28%
Median 14.41%Middle half 13.16% – 15.33%
Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)
47.62%median
36%56%
Median 47.62%Middle half 46.71% – 51.57%
Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
11.57%median
7%40%
Median 11.57%Middle half 10.75% – 12.38%
Montana Senate election: Kurt Alme vote percent
46.75%median
30%65%
Median 46.75%Middle half 46.32% – 49.08%
Montana Senate election: Seth Bodnar vote percent
36.06%median
10%50%
Median 36.06%Middle half 35.48% – 36.63%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions